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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Craftyd 2y 36 | C Gardiner — 19% R341 W66 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 82 (1) | 60 (4) | 56 (5) | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 62 (2) | 69 (3) | 77 (1) | 55 (3) | 72 (1) | 54 | 48 | 40 | 52 | 71 | 37 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Isabellas Bulletb 2y 34 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 44 | 70 (3) | 44 (5) | 61 (5) | 47 (5) | 81 (1) | 57 (4) | 33 (2) | 54 (5) | 32 (3) | 36 (1) | 25 | 24 | - | 16 | 59 | 38 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Breffni Unab 3y 14 | J T Kingsley — 13% R118 W15 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 59 | 65 (3) | 78 (5) | 81 (2) | 51 (1) | 73 (4) | 66 (2) | 53 (4) | 64 (6) | 71 (3) | - | 52 | 33 | 29 | 44 | 69 | 53 | 2 | 6/5F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Clonkeen Jimd 2y 27 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 71 (2) | 83 (1) | 80 (1) | 56 (3) | 65 (2) | 63 (3) | 65 (2) | 62 (3) | 76 (2) | 81 (1) | 45 | 39 | 31 | 49 | 71 | 36 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Rosterd 4y 46 | R J Holloway — 17% R288 W50 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 41 (5) | 49 (5) | 55 (6) | 48 (4) | 85 (5) | 62 (1) | 74 (4) | 85 (2) | 76 (1) | - | 36 | 35 | 31 | 31 | 63 | 44 | 1 | 12/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Isabellas Bullet | 29.72 | 30.19 | 30.38 | 46 | +0.66 | Fast best, streaky | |
| 4 | Clonkeen Jim | 29.78 | 30.02 | 29.99 | 50 | +0.21 | 109 days off | |
| 6 | Droopys Roster | 29.76 | 29.98 | 30.24 | 46 | +0.48 | Model's top pick | |
| 1 | Droopys Crafty | 29.76 | 29.95 | 30.01 | 49 | +0.25 | Won last time out | |
| 3 | Breffni Una | 29.80 | 29.96 | 29.93 | 51 | +0.13 | Fastest in field |
Hove's 500-metre trip is a fair, galloping test where the track-wide trend usually favours trap one, but this particular A2 grade slice bucks that pattern – trap six is actually the standout box at this level, winning close to 23% against 16.5% from the weakest draw, and it's a bumpy circuit that rewards a strong, consistent stride over a flashy one. Droopys Crafty is the fastest away from the traps and will look to make all from the rail, but he tends to lose ground late, and on a track where collisions and knocks are common in the closing stages that pace profile is a genuine risk. Breffni Una and Droopys Roster both finish stronger than they start, and if the pace up front goes too hard, either is well placed to come through it late.
Recent form has been up and down – 49, 55, 48, 85, 62, 74 – but there's an 85 sitting four runs back that shows this one has a level well above what the raw average suggests, and volatile form of this kind is a reason to take notice rather than look away. His own speed figure is nothing special this time, sitting mid-pack, but the case here is built on the draw and the stable. Trap six is the standout box at this exact grade and trip, winning close to 23% – noticeably better than anywhere else in the six – and trainer R J Holloway has an outstanding record in these specific conditions, winning better than one in three compared with a much more modest career figure overall. When the best trap and a red-hot trainer-at-conditions record line up on the same dog, that combination carries real weight even without the fastest raw times.
Rated 78 last time out – the best figure anyone in this field has produced recently – but finished only fifth, which points to a difficult passage rather than a lack of ability. Form of 78, 81, 51, 73, 66, 53 shows genuine quality with two efforts in the high seventies and eighties among the six. Fastest in the field on the clock and carries the best first-bend rating of anyone here, so if she gets the run of the race she has the raw pace to be involved right to the line. The concern is the trainer – J T Kingsley's record in these specific conditions is modest, some way below the leading handlers in this race, so it isn't all one-way traffic.
Won last time out with a big performance rating of 82, but that was six weeks ago and he hasn't run since – some freshness question marks after the gap. Form of 82, 60, 56, 85, 81, 62 shows a dog capable of hitting the high eighties, comfortably the strongest ceiling in this field on paper. Tends to go fast early and lose ground in the closing stages, which is a real concern on a bumpy circuit where the finish often goes to whoever's still travelling strongest, not whoever led early. Has the best average time in the race, so the raw pace is there – the question is whether the finishing profile suits this specific track.
Placed second last time out but that was back in late March – well over three months ago, one of the longest layoffs in this field, and it's genuinely hard to know what to expect fitness-wise. Form beforehand read 83, 80, 56, 65, 63, showing solid capability at this level when fit and in form. Third-fastest in the field on the clock and a fair trap at this grade and trip. If he's retained his sharpness through the break he has claims, but the time off is the swing factor.
Placed third last time out, with form reading 70, 44, 61, 47, 81, 57 – an 81 four runs back shows genuine ability but the picture since has been inconsistent. Actually owns the fastest recorded best time in the entire field, but her recent and average times are well off that mark, meaning she isn't reproducing her fastest form regularly. Trainer B S Green has a fair overall record. Trap two is an unremarkable box at this grade and trip. The pure speed is there somewhere, but the recent evidence doesn't back it up.
Key insight: This is one of those grades where the top-rated dog on paper actually wins less often than the second-best – the ratings alone are a weak guide at this exact level, so the trap draw and trainer record carry more weight than usual.
Trap 6 22.8%, Trap 4 20.0%, Trap 3 19.7%, Trap 2 19.3%, Trap 1 19.2%, Trap 5 16.5%
1,327 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Droopys Crafty | 55 | 38 | Fader |
2Isabellas Bullet | 47 | 46 | All-Rounder |
3Breffni Una | 50 | 100 | Closer |
4Clonkeen Jim | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Droopys Roster | 49 | 60 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 285m | 400m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Droopys Crafty | — | — | 0.599 |
| 2 | Isabellas Bullet | 0.597 | — | 0.604 |
| 3 | Breffni Una | — | 0.615 | 0.599 |
| 4 | Clonkeen Jim | — | — | 0.600 |
| 6 | Droopys Roster | — | — | 0.601 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.