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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pawsome Bulletd 2y 39 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 42 | 80 (1) | 57 (5) | 59 (4) | 70 (4) | 61 (4) | 49 (4) | 51 (5) | 86 (1) | 58 (4) | 72 (2) | 17 | 24 | - | 11 | 62 | 46 | 3 | 13/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Sussex Villanb 1y 1 | J T Kingsley — 13% R118 W15 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 82 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Montalto Gloryb 2y 35 | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 41 | 55 (4) | 23 (5) | 50 (5) | 59 (4) | 75 (4) | 69 (4) | 62 (3) | 94 (1) | 71 (2) | 77 (3) | 12 | 20 | 23 | 13 | 67 | 41 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kevinsfort Awayd 1y | A Herbert — 10% R51 W5 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Candolim Spiceb 4y 18 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 68 | 46 (5) | 66 (3) | 41 (6) | 74 (2) | 43 (5) | 71 (2) | 86 (1) | 63 (2) | 38 (2) | 33 (3) | 36 | 39 | 26 | 33 | 62 | 49 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Untold Aaveb 2yN/R 8 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 57 | 50 (5) | 88 (1) | 88 (1) | 69 (3) | 49 (6) | 64 (3) | 78 (3) | 89 (1) | 61 (4) | 68 (4) | 46 | 51 | - | 46 | 75 | 61 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pawsome Bullet | 29.62 | 30.04 | 30.18 | 50 | +0.56 | 1 win from 9 at C&D | |
| 2 | Sussex Villan | Only one recorded career start — almost no form to assess. | — | Only 1 career start | ||||
| 3 | Montalto Glory | 29.99 | 30.14 | 30.18 | 43 | +0.19 | Last run was 285m sprint | |
| 4 | Kevinsfort Away | No recorded race form — likely a first-time runner. No clock to compare. | — | No recorded form | ||||
| 5 | Candolim Spice | 29.67 | 30.14 | 30.04 | 50 | +0.37 | 1 win, 4 places from 7 at C&D | |
| 6 | Untold Aave | 29.58 | 29.79 | 29.78 | 62 | +0.20 | Clear model favourite | |
Hove's 500-metre trip is a bumpy, physical circuit where heavier, stronger-striding types tend to cope best with the traffic around the home turn, and in this A3 sample the middle boxes have the edge — traps two and three both win close to a quarter of the time, while trap five lags well behind at just over twelve per cent. Candolim Spice has the sharpest early pace figures in the field and will look to make the running from the fence side, but she has a habit of fading once the race gets serious, while Untold Aave races in the same fast-early, fade-late style from the widest draw and has the raw pace to go with front-runners rather than chase them. If the leaders go too hard early this becomes a race for whoever holds the most in reserve, and on that measure the class difference in this field is stark.
Won last time out and has been in excellent form, with wins in two of his last three starts and a peak performance rating well clear of anything else in this field. He's also the fastest dog in this race on the clock by a wide margin, and owns a strong course and distance record, winning four of his last ten starts at this trip and track. His trainer has a decent record in these conditions too. He fires fast and can weaken late if the pace is truly strong, but on the numbers here he's simply working off a different level to the rest of this field — the class gap is the story of this race.
Finished third last time out and has been a solid if unspectacular performer, with one win and three further places from seven starts at this course and distance — a strong place record even without many wins. She shows the sharpest early pace of anyone in this field and the best first-bend figures behind the top selection, meaning she should be involved from the gate. Her trainer has a fair record in these conditions. The concern is the draw in trap five, statistically the weakest box in this sample, and she does tend to fade once the sustained pace kicks in. Still, on early speed alone she's the biggest threat to the selection getting first run.
Finished fifth last time out, though that run came over a much sharper 285-metre trip rather than tonight's stamina test, making it hard to read across directly. She has no wins from five attempts at this course and distance and her pace figures have been inconsistent from race to race. Trainer Richards has a small sample in these conditions but a decent strike rate within it. Drawn in trap three, one of the better boxes in this sample, which is a point in her favour, but the recent sprint form and lack of course and distance wins make her hard to trust at this trip.
Finished fifth last time out at a tougher grade and his form has been up and down, with one win from nine starts at this course and distance. He finishes his races from off the pace rather than making it, and his trainer has a fair overall record, though not one that stands out in these specific conditions. Not among the fastest in this field on the clock, which limits how forward he can be judged against a field with a clear standout at the top.
Just the one recorded career start so far, finishing fourth at this same course, distance and grade, which offers only the barest form to go on. Drawn in trap two, one of the better-performing boxes in this sample, which is a point in his favour given how little else there is to assess. Trainer Kingsley has a reasonable record in these conditions. The market on the day will likely tell us more than the sparse form book can at this stage.
No recorded race form to assess here, which makes this a complete unknown in open company. Trainer Herbert has a small and winless sample in these specific conditions, adding to the difficulty of fancying this runner on paper. With nothing on the clock and nothing in the form book, the market is likely to be the only useful guide on the day.
Key insight: The top-rated dog here is streets clear of the rest of the field on the ratings — a gap of this size at this course, distance and grade is a strong positive signal in its own right.
Traps 2 and 3 strongest at 23-24%, trap 5 weakest at 12%
1,417 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Pawsome Bullet | 39 | 78 | Closer |
2Sussex Villan | — | — | No data |
3Montalto Glory | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Kevinsfort Away | — | — | No data |
5Candolim Spice | 72 | 0 | Fader |
6Untold Aave | 61 | 22 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 285m | 500m | 515m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pawsome Bullet | — | 0.601 | 0.604 | — |
| 2 | Sussex Villan | — | 0.594 | — | — |
| 3 | Montalto Glory | 0.609 | 0.603 | — | 0.616 |
| 4 | Kevinsfort Away | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Candolim Spice | 0.590 | 0.603 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.