| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Spot On Amethystd 4y 23 | K Dodington — 19% R113 W22 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 20 (4) | 31 (1) | 24 (5) | 23 (5) | 31 (1) | 24 (4) | 23 (3) | 76 (4) | 63 (4) | 31 (3) | 33 | 23 | 16 | 32 | 28 | 23 | 2 | 9/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Selker Bay Belleb 4y 32 | K Dodington — 19% R113 W22 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 27 (4) | 14 (5) | 24 (3) | 32 (1) | 20 (5) | 100 (1) | 68 (5) | 29 (5) | 37 (2) | 29 (5) | 28 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 25 | 18 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Riverside Adab 1y 5 | J T Kingsley — 13% R118 W15 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 78 (1) | 23 (4) | 21 (5) | 57 (4) | 78 (2) | 70 (3) | 53 (5) | 77 (1) | 65 (2) | 50 (5) | 21 | 22 | - | - | 22 | 15 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Highfield Lassb 3y 5 | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 31 (4) | 24 (6) | 36 (1) | 33 (2) | 32 (1) | 27 (2) | 20 (5) | 28 (2) | 29 (2) | 17 (5) | 45 | 52 | 39 | 47 | 28 | 34 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cecil Devilled 3y 27 | R H Tungatt — 16% R51 W8 P34 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 33 (2) | 24 (5) | 37 (1) | 29 (3) | 37 (1) | 31 (3) | 28 (3) | 27 (4) | 33 (2) | 23 (6) | 26 | 32 | 37 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 3 | 1/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Highfield Lass | 16.76 | 16.90 | 16.94 | 56 | +0.18 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Cecil Deville | 16.59 | 16.97 | 17.83 | 44 | +1.24 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 2 | Selker Bay Belle | 16.75 | 17.25 | 17.10 | 47 | +0.35 | ||
| 1 | Spot On Amethyst | 16.96 | 17.08 | 17.00 | 49 | +0.04 | Danger | |
| 3 | Riverside Ada | 17.04 | 17.08 | 17.12 | 46 | +0.08 |
Hove's minimum trip over 285 metres is one of the sharpest sprints in the country for trusting the raw clock - when the fastest dog in the field also tops the ratings here, that combination has historically fired at close to 37% strike rate, one of the strongest signals anywhere in the sport. Trap one has been the dominant draw in this specific D3 grade, winning well over one in four races, with trap five a well-established weak box managing barely one in ten - an 18-point spread that makes the outside boxes a serious structural disadvantage over the minimum trip. Spot On Amethyst gets that prized inside draw and has shown she can lead throughout from there. Highfield Lass, by contrast, races from off the pace in the middle of the track, so she needs the inside runners to set things up rather than dictate matters herself. Riverside Ada and Cecil Deville both show sharp early speed but have struggled to convert it into finishes.
Finished last of six on her latest outing, but that followed a win and a second in the two starts before it, so this is a much better story than the most recent line alone suggests. The best on the clock in this field for both fastest and average time, and top of the ratings here too - when those two things line up over this exact 285-metre trip at Hove, it has historically been one of the strongest combinations in the sport. She finishes strongly from off the pace rather than racing up with the leaders, and drops back down from the grade above tonight, which should help. The trainer's record in these conditions is modest and trap four is only a middling draw, so this isn't overwhelming on every count, but the raw pace and the ratings both point the same way.
Won last time out at the grade below, leading throughout from the rails, and the pattern of alternating wins and mid-pack finishes shows a dog capable of leading a race when everything falls right. Drawn in trap one, by some distance the best box in this exact grade, producing winners well over one in four times - the biggest structural edge in the entire field. Second on the clock for early speed and races prominently, which combined with the inside draw gives every chance of setting the fractions from the front. The trainer's win rate in these conditions is solid without being spectacular. If Highfield Lass doesn't find the gaps she needs from off the pace, this is the one best placed to make the running count.
Finished fifth last time out, well below the fastest recorded time of his career, though he did win twice earlier in this same run of races, showing genuine ability at this level. Drawn in trap five, which has been comfortably the weakest box in this grade, winning barely one in ten races - a serious structural obstacle to overcome from the widest berth. The trainer has a fair record in these conditions with a healthy placing percentage, suggesting the yard gets these dogs to finish even when they don't win. On the clock the fastest single time recorded is decent, but the recent times have been well down on that best effort, a concerning trend heading into a well-contested sprint.
Finished fourth last time out and hasn't won at this grade in her recent starts, though a big career-best effort at a different track a few runs back shows there's talent in there somewhere. Drawn in trap two, a reasonably productive box in this grade, winning close to one in five races. The trainer's record in these conditions is similar to the field average. On the clock this sits mid-pack for both best and recent times, without the standout speed figure that would make a stronger case. A workmanlike form line without a recent win is hard to get fully behind in this company.
Finished fourth last time out and has struggled at this grade recently, though the earlier record at the grade above over the full 500-metre trip shows a completely different profile of dog previously. Shows sharp early pace but tends to fade late, which at the minimum trip leaves little margin for error if she doesn't get across cleanly. Drawn in trap three, one of the weaker boxes in this specific grade. The trainer has managed only a handful of winners in these conditions, one of the poorer records in the field. On the clock she isn't the quickest here either, and the overall picture makes her hard to fancy in this company.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins one in four races here, and when speed and the ratings agree on the same dog, Hove's 285-metre sprint is one of the strongest combinations on the whole circuit.
Trap 1: 28.4%, Trap 6: 21.1%, Trap 2: 20.5%, Trap 4: 18.4%, Trap 3: 17.0%, Trap 5: 10.2%
605 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 285m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (285m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 260m | 285m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spot On Amethyst | 0.615 | 0.644 | 0.602 | — |
| 2 | Selker Bay Belle | 0.610 | 0.632 | 0.605 | — |
| 3 | Riverside Ada | — | — | 0.599 | 0.602 |
| 4 | Highfield Lass | 0.650 | — | 0.593 | — |
| 5 | Cecil Deville | — | — | 0.596 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.