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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Spot On Lizzieb 4y 27 | K Dodington — 19% R113 W22 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 45 (5) | 70 (2) | 83 (1) | 37 (3) | 86 (3) | 47 (1) | 37 (3) | 46 (1) | 57 | 45 | 35 | 50 | 40 | 40 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Millbank Busterd 1y 12 | J T Kingsley — 13% R118 W15 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 30 (6) | 75 (4) | 100 (1) | 27 (6) | 42 (1) | 25 (5) | 41 (1) | 22 (5) | - | - | - | 32 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mob Morettid 2y 25 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 58 (4) | 35 (2) | 30 (4) | 42 (1) | 39 (2) | 36 (3) | 40 (3) | 34 (4) | 25 (5) | 100 (1) | 16 | 26 | 23 | 37 | 35 | 28 | 4 | 15/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Barley Mod 2y 7 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 37 (2) | 44 (1) | 41 (1) | 38 (2) | 28 (4) | 31 (4) | 28 (4) | 25 (6) | 37 (2) | 42 (2) | 29 | 39 | 32 | 49 | 36 | 37 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Elite Libertyd 2y 13 | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 34 (3) | 36 (3) | 38 (3) | 36 (4) | 46 (1) | 46 (1) | 41 (1) | 39 (3) | 36 (2) | 37 (3) | 34 | 34 | 22 | 35 | 39 | 35 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Curtin Raiserd 3y 10 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 42 (1) | 38 (2) | 28 (4) | 33 (3) | 25 (6) | 34 (4) | 37 (2) | 30 (5) | 44 (1) | 35 (2) | 42 | 30 | 25 | 38 | 35 | 36 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spot On Lizzie | 16.73 | 16.78 | 16.73 | 48 | 0.00 | 2 wins from 2 at C&D | |
| 2 | Millbank Buster | 16.43 | 16.95 | 16.96 | 45 | +0.53 | Worst trap draw | |
| 3 | Mob Moretti | 16.42 | 16.77 | 16.82 | 51 | +0.40 | Fastest raw time | |
| 4 | Barley Mo | 16.53 | 16.82 | 16.78 | 49 | +0.25 | Won last time out | |
| 5 | Elite Liberty | 16.51 | 16.71 | 16.88 | 50 | +0.37 | 3 wins from 10 at C&D | |
| 6 | Curtin Raiser | 16.50 | 16.75 | 16.50 | 55 | 0.00 | Fastest & best trap |
Hove's sprint trip is one of the most productive tracks in the country for backing the fastest dog in the field, and the outside boxes have the edge here: trap six wins nearly a third of the time in this sample and trap five is close behind, while trap two is by far the weakest draw at under eleven per cent. Over a sharp 285 metres there's no time for a slow-starting dog to make amends, so early pace and raw speed decide matters far more than trap-one draws or trainer reputation. Curtin Raiser and Mob Moretti are the two with genuine gate speed and clock form, and whichever of them gets to the rail first past the opening bend is likely to be doing the winning. The rest need things to fall apart in front of them.
Won last time out and is the fastest dog in this field on the clock, backed up by matching that time again in his most recent outing rather than just recording a one-off fast run. Drawn in trap six, which has been the single best-performing box in this sprint sample, winning close to a third of all races. His trainer has a respectable record in these conditions too. Over a sharp 285 metres, that combination of raw speed and the best draw in the field is normally enough to get the job done — the clear standout on the numbers here.
Has the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field, even though his average sits a little below that best effort. He shows the strongest early pace figures here too, which matters enormously at just 285 metres where there's no time to make up lost ground. His trainer has a solid record in these conditions, and while last time out in stronger company he could only manage fourth, the raw pace claims are real. The one most likely to trouble the selection out of the traps.
Won last time out and has an unblemished record at this course and distance, winning both starts here so far. She fires fast but has a tendency to lose ground late, which at this sharp trip is less of a concern than it would be over further. Trap one is a fair rather than outstanding draw in this sample. A solid each-way claim on a perfect course and distance slate, even without the outright best speed figures.
Consistent without winning lately, placing third last time out and rarely running a bad race by the look of her form line. Three wins from ten at this course and distance is a reasonable record, and trap five has actually been the second-best draw in this sample. Her trainer's record in these conditions is modest, and she isn't among the fastest in this field on the clock, which caps her claims somewhat.
Won last time out to end a modest run of form, and has two wins from ten starts at this course and distance. Trap four sits in the middle of the pack for this sprint sample, neither helping nor hurting his cause much. He isn't among the fastest in this field on the clock, so he'll need last time's improvement to be genuine rather than a one-off to figure prominently here.
Form has been up and down, finishing sixth last time out after a run of wildly inconsistent efforts either side of it. Three wins from eight at this course and distance is a fair record on paper, but he's drawn in trap two, the weakest-performing box in this sprint sample by a distance at under eleven per cent. His times last time out were also the slowest of anyone in this field relative to his own best. A difficult watch from that draw.
Key insight: Speed rank one wins 30% of races in this sample — the strongest single signal at this course and distance, well clear of the top-rated dog by the model at 25%.
Trap 6 strongest at 31%, trap 2 weakest at 11%
519 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 285m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (285m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 285m | 400m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spot On Lizzie | 0.600 | 0.589 | — | 0.611 |
| 2 | Millbank Buster | — | 0.592 | — | — |
| 3 | Mob Moretti | — | 0.587 | 0.617 | — |
| 4 | Barley Mo | — | 0.590 | — | — |
| 5 | Elite Liberty | — | 0.587 | — | — |
| 6 | Curtin Raiser | — | 0.588 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.