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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yougo Laddied 3y 11 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 67 (1) | 61 (1) | 41 (4) | 52 (4) | 58 (2) | 28 (5) | 36 (5) | 68 (1) | 62 (1) | 43 (3) | 28 | 22 | 23 | 35 | 50 | 48 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Im Justa Rarityd 4y 16 | C Gardiner — 19% R341 W66 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 45 | 51 (2) | 42 (5) | 40 (5) | 66 (1) | 60 (1) | 47 (4) | 48 (3) | 53 (6) | 59 (4) | - | 36 | 36 | 14 | 24 | 50 | 46 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Southafrikkab 3y 33 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 52 (2) | 36 (1) | 27 (3) | 22 (4) | 30 (4) | 28 (5) | 35 (2) | 25 (5) | 16 (5) | 37 (1) | 30 | 31 | - | - | 29 | 34 | 6 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cloheena Rodneyd 4y 22 | R J Holloway — 17% R288 W50 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 42 | 42 (3) | 71 (2) | 64 (2) | 65 (3) | 58 (1) | 58 (3) | 45 (4) | 43 (4) | 47 (3) | 44 (3) | 32 | 45 | 2 | 17 | 59 | 47 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Oioiperfectoladsd 4y 26 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 66 | 33 (5) | 48 (2) | 45 (3) | 62 (1) | 47 (2) | 35 (4) | 47 (3) | 40 (4) | 34 (5) | 58 (1) | 27 | 27 | 10 | 36 | 47 | 44 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kerrs Delilahb 3y 26 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 65 | 53 (2) | 49 (3) | 40 (5) | 56 (3) | 59 (3) | 43 (5) | 53 (4) | 58 (3) | 45 (5) | 58 (2) | 30 | 27 | - | 10 | 51 | 40 | 1 | 9/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cloheena Rodney | 30.17 | 30.46 | 30.17 | 56 | 0.00 | Danger | |
| 6 | Kerrs Delilah | 30.05 | 30.30 | 30.63 | 55 | +0.58 | Model pick | |
| 1 | Yougo Laddie | 30.12 | 30.57 | 30.35 | 52 | +0.23 | ||
| 2 | Im Justa Rarity | 30.26 | 30.48 | 30.68 | 47 | +0.42 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 5 | Oioiperfectolads | 30.20 | 30.60 | 30.57 | 47 | +0.37 | ||
| 3 | Southafrikka | No 500m form recorded - all previous runs over 285m. Times not directly comparable, though she did trial over the 500m trip recently. | — | 285m to 500m | ||||
Hove's 500m trip looks like a fair galloping circuit on paper, but the bumpy surface and a first bend that catches out lighter-striding dogs mean it plays tighter than the dimensions suggest. Trap one dominates the wider Hove 500m picture at over 23%, with trap five the weak draw at around 15%, and in this specific A6 grade trap three has actually been the standout box while trap five again brings up the rear. A6 is also smack in the middle of Hove's problem zone for the ratings, where the top-rated dog wins barely more than one in seven at this level, so speed and early pace count for more than the raw rating tonight. Yougo Laddie and Kerrs Delilah both show early pace and should share the front running, with Cloheena Rodney the clear closer of the group who needs it run at a true gallop if she's to get involved.
Finished third last time out at this exact grade and trip, and recent form of 49, 40, 56 and 59 shows a dog capable of more than the string of minor placings suggests - the peaks of 56 and 59 are the ones to note. Drawn in trap six, which has quietly been one of the better boxes in this specific grade at Hove, producing winners better than one in five times. The concern is the trainer, whose runners have managed only a handful of winners from over 60 attempts in these conditions - a mediocre record that tempers confidence. On the clock this is close to the fastest in the race and shows early pace before tending to fade late, which matters at a track where the first bend and the closing stages both create trouble. This grade is one where the ratings alone are unreliable at Hove, so the speed and the draw carrying this pick matter more than the number on paper.
Dropping in sharply from open racing at 435 metres, where a runner-up finish last time out was achieved against much stronger opposition than tonight's field will provide - that class edge is significant. Finishes strongly from off the pace rather than racing prominently, and with the fastest recorded time and the best average in this race, the raw speed backs up the placing. Trainer R J Holloway has an excellent record in these conditions, winning roughly one in three, comfortably the best trainer percentage of anyone in this field. Trap four hasn't been among the stronger draws in this grade, but the class in hand and the trainer's touch make this the biggest threat to the selection. If the gallop is strong enough to bring the closer into it, this is the one capable of reversing the form.
A significant step up in trip tonight - every previous race has come over 285 metres, and this is a first attempt at 500 metres in open competition, so there's no direct form to lean on. What stands out is a recent solo trial run over this exact 500-metre trip at Hove, where a clocked time comparable to a fast racing performance suggests the raw pace to cover the extra ground is there. Drawn in trap three, which has actually been the best-performing box in this specific grade and trip, a workable structural boost if the distance switch pays off. The trainer's record in these conditions is one of the better ones in the field. This is a genuine unknown - either the pace seen in the trial translates to a truly run race, or the extra 215 metres finds her out, and the market on the night will tell the real story.
Won last time out at the grade above, leading from the quarter and staying on well, though this does represent a step back up in company today after that success. Drawn in trap one, a solid enough box in this specific grade at around 21%, and this dog raced prominently in that last success, which suits a track where getting away cleanly matters. The trainer's record in these conditions is decent without being outstanding, sitting close to a quarter of winners. Recent history has been mixed beneath that last success, with a run of minor placings before it, so the form is more volatile than the win last time suggests, but there is genuine place claims on offer.
Placed second last time out and has been racing consistently without threatening to win, with the sharp early pace typical of a dog that shows plenty early before fading. Drawn in trap five, which has been comfortably the weakest box in this exact grade and trip, winning under 12% of races - a real structural disadvantage to overcome. The trainer's record at this course, distance and grade is one of the weaker in the field, adding to the concerns. On the clock this isn't among the quickest here either, sitting mid-pack on both best and average times. The poor draw combined with a modest trainer record leaves plenty to find against the pace-setters drawn more favourably.
Finished fifth last time out and hasn't won in six starts, though there was a win at this same grade back in May to show the ability is there when things click. Drawn in trap two, a fair enough box in this grade, and the running style is versatile, capable of racing on the pace or coming from off it. The trainer's record in these conditions matches the field average, offering little either way. On the clock this sits toward the rear of this field on both best and last-time figures, and the lack of a recent win is a genuine concern heading into a competitive race. Needs a career-best effort to feature prominently.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins one in four races at this grade and trip, comfortably outperforming the top-rated dog on the ratings - speed is the sharper tool here.
Trap 3: 22.8%, Trap 1: 20.9%, Trap 6: 21.4%, Trap 2: 19.9%, Trap 4: 16.2%, Trap 5: 11.7%
1,359 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Yougo Laddie | 48 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Im Justa Rarity | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Southafrikka | — | — | No data |
4Cloheena Rodney | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Oioiperfectolads | 63 | 0 | Fader |
6Kerrs Delilah | 65 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 285m | 435m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yougo Laddie | — | — | 0.611 |
| 2 | Im Justa Rarity | — | — | 0.609 |
| 3 | Southafrikka | 0.599 | — | 0.607 |
| 4 | Cloheena Rodney | — | 0.620 | 0.609 |
| 5 | Oioiperfectolads | — | — | 0.613 |
| 6 | Kerrs Delilah | — | — | 0.607 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.