Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mind The Mouseb 4y 15 | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | - | 24 (5) | 31 (1) | 29 (2) | 22 (5) | 20 (5) | 31 (1) | 27 (3) | 25 (3) | 26 (2) | 27 (2) | 51 | 38 | 36 | 43 | 27 | 32 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Courty Ivyb 3y 6 | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 26 (2) | 29 (2) | 28 (2) | 23 (4) | 26 (3) | 31 (1) | 25 (3) | 18 (4) | 44 (6) | 29 (4) | 46 | 23 | 31 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 2 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Paddyjoes Lochd 3y 17 | K Dodington — 19% R113 W22 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 29 (1) | 20 (5) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 24 (6) | 88 (2) | 54 (5) | 31 (4) | 41 (1) | 35 (2) | 79 | 5 | - | - | 27 | 29 | 3 | 15/8 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Third Generationb 1y 1 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 22 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bling Bling Dorab 4y 16 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | - | 16 (6) | 15 (5) | 14 (6) | 19 (5) | 17 (4) | 22 (3) | 15 (5) | 16 (6) | 18 (5) | 20 (5) | 16 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 5 | 40/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Leahys Boltd 3y 16 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 16 (5) | 18 (6) | 22 (3) | 21 (4) | 26 (3) | 18 (6) | 26 (2) | 19 (6) | 21 (4) | 18 (6) | 21 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mind The Mouse | 16.93 | 17.07 | 17.05 | 59 | +0.12 | Best in the field | |
| 2 | Courty Ivy | 16.97 | 17.13 | 17.06 | 57 | +0.09 | Tightest off-best | |
| 3 | Paddyjoes Loch | 17.03 | 17.19 | 17.49 | 49 | +0.46 | Drops from D3 | |
| 4 | Third Generation | No recorded form at all – appears to be a debutant or has no data captured. Impossible to assess on the clock. | — | Unraced / no data | ||||
| 5 | Bling Bling Dora | 17.34 | 17.61 | 17.92 | 29 | +0.58 | Slowest in the field | |
| 6 | Leahys Bolt | 17.07 | 17.29 | 17.54 | 47 | +0.47 | 0 wins from 6 | |
Hove's 285-metre sprint is one of the most reliably predictable races in the book – the inside box is king here, trap one winning close to a third of the time against roughly 16% from the poorest draw, and there's no long straight to let a slow-starting closer make amends. Over a trip this sharp, early pace and a clean break decide almost everything before the back straight. Mind The Mouse has the inside box, the fastest recorded time in the field, and a string of recent runs over this exact trip and distance, so the expectation is she's gone before anyone else gets going. Courty Ivy, drawn next door, is the only one with the pace to live with her at the bend, and everything else in this race is playing for the places unless the front two clash.
Won last time out from this same box over this same trip, and every one of her last six starts has come at Hove over 285 metres – about as specialist a course-and-distance record as you'll find, with two wins and a place from that recent sample. Fastest in the field on the clock, both on her best and on her most recent outing, and drawn in the one box at this track and trip that dominates above all others – trap one wins close to a third of the time here, nearly double the worst draw. Trainer M J Richards saddles the runner-up too, so the box gives this one every chance to get across cleanly and never be seen again. There's very little not to like: right trip, right trainer, right box, and the form to match.
Placed second last time out and has been a picture of consistency over this course and distance, finishing in the frame in five of her last six starts here. Second-fastest in the field on the clock and has the tightest gap between her best and most recent times of anyone in the race, suggesting she's racing right at her limit already. Same trainer as the selection, which cuts both ways – it means the stable clearly rates this dog too, but she's drawn one box further out than the one that dominates here. If the leader is caught napping at the break, this is the one with the pace to pounce.
Arrives without a single recorded form line, so there's no clock, no grade history and no way to assess this one conventionally. Could be a fresh debutant or simply a dog whose form hasn't been captured in the data – either way, this is pure speculation. The trainer's overall figures are respectable, which offers a sliver of encouragement, but there's nothing concrete to hang an assessment on. The market on the day will know far more than any form study can.
Drops in from D3 grade after a modest run last time, finishing fifth – the class drop is a mild plus, but the form itself (20, 24, 26, 24, 88, 54) has been indifferent aside from one flat-out effort a while back. Third-fastest in the field on the clock but well off the top two, and trap three has been one of the weaker boxes at this trip historically. No stand-out signal in her favour beyond the class drop.
Form has been poor, finishing fifth last time out and never higher than fifth in her last six starts, with ratings in the teens throughout. Comfortably the slowest in this field on every measure – best time, last time and speed figure all trail the rest by some distance. Drawn in the weakest box at this trip too, which compounds an already difficult task. Nothing in the data supports her here.
Finished last time out in sixth and hasn't shown much recently, with ratings in the high teens to low twenties across his last six runs. Fourth-fastest in the field on the clock, some way off the pace at the top, though he does carry a little more speed than the bottom two in this line-up. Trap six is a moderate draw at this trip. Nothing stands out to suggest he troubles the front two.
Key insight: Trap one is a monster draw at this trip and grade, winning close to one in three – almost double the worst box – and it's exactly where the fastest, form-suited dog in this field happens to be drawn.
Trap 1 30.9%, Trap 4 20.9%, Trap 2 20.2%, Trap 6 17.8%, Trap 3 17.0%, Trap 5 16.1%
734 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 285m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (285m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 260m | 270m | 285m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mind The Mouse | — | — | — | 0.599 |
| 2 | Courty Ivy | — | — | 0.608 | 0.602 |
| 3 | Paddyjoes Loch | 0.610 | 0.647 | — | 0.604 |
| 4 | Third Generation | — | — | — | 0.605 |
| 5 | Bling Bling Dora | — | — | — | 0.619 |
| 6 | Leahys Bolt | — | — | — | 0.608 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.