| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Annie Eva Aftab 2y 5 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 31 | 18 (6) | 43 (2) | 41 (1) | 25 (5) | 29 (5) | 20 (6) | 25 (5) | 24 (2) | 20 (3) | - | 29 | 27 | 14 | 28 | 33 | 40 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Chisem Mayurab 2y 7 | R J Holloway — 17% R288 W50 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 59 | 46 (1) | 32 (4) | 44 (1) | 37 (2) | 29 (6) | 24 (4) | 26 (4) | 23 (5) | 26 (5) | - | 29 | 35 | 19 | 35 | 33 | 39 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Chisem Tobyd 2y 16 | R J Holloway — 17% R288 W50 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 48 | 37 (2) | 28 (5) | 44 (1) | 37 (2) | 32 (3) | 40 (3) | 34 (4) | 38 (3) | 30 (4) | 33 (4) | 17 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 36 | 36 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Petite Ossied 4y 32 | M J Richards — 14% R163 W23 P86 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 29 (6) | 27 (2) | 25 (2) | 21 (3) | 26 (6) | 29 (4) | 41 (5) | 28 (1) | 41 (5) | - | 31 | 17 | - | - | 28 | 32 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Chisem Dodgerd 2y 6 | R J Holloway — 17% R288 W50 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 28 (5) | 25 (5) | 34 (4) | 34 (5) | 41 (5) | 32 (3) | 38 (5) | 21 (4) | 48 (6) | - | - | 16 | 23 | 12 | 32 | 39 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Easy Lashesd 3y 33 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 48 | 39 (4) | 33 (3) | 43 (3) | 24 (4) | 22 (5) | 24 (5) | 27 (3) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 26 (4) | 28 | 29 | - | - | 38 | 33 | 2 | 1/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chisem Dodger | 30.48 | 30.91 | 30.82 | 51 | +0.34 | Danger | |
| 2 | Chisem Mayura | 30.67 | 31.16 | 30.78 | 44 | +0.11 | Model pick | |
| 1 | Annie Eva Afta | 30.62 | 31.16 | 30.62 | 48 | 0.00 | ||
| 6 | Easy Lashes | 30.74 | 30.90 | 30.74 | 49 | 0.00 | ||
| 3 | Chisem Toby | 30.47 | 30.84 | 31.39 | 45 | +0.92 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 4 | Petite Ossie | No 500m form recorded - every previous run has come over 285 metres at D3/D4 grade. A big step up in trip and class with nothing directly comparable on the clock. | — | 285m to 500m | ||||
Hove's 500m trip carries a real inside bias despite its fair reputation - trap one dominates the wider picture at over 23%, trap five is the weak draw at around 15%, and collisions at the first bend and again in the closing stages are common on this bumpy surface, so firm, strong-striding types cope best. This A10 grade sits in the lower grades where the ratings recover some reliability but trial-contaminated form and grade-droppers are the main risk, so every runner's recent grades need checking before trusting the numbers. Three of the six runners here - Chisem Mayura, Chisem Toby and Chisem Dodger - are trained out of the same yard, which often signals a stable with a genuine chance of dominating the finish between them. Chisem Toby shows the sharpest early speed of that trio and should lead into the first bend, with Chisem Dodger the closer of the three who profits if the pace up front is strong enough to set it up.
Finished fourth last time out at this same grade, having led to the quarter before being crowded, and the pattern of leading early before fading is a consistent feature of the recent form. One of three runners from the same successful yard tonight, and that trainer wins a quarter of races in these conditions - comfortably the best figure in the field, whichever of the three comes out on top. The draw in trap two is only middling at this grade, and this isn't the fastest of the trio on the clock, sitting behind both stablemates on recorded times. Recent grades have all been honest A10 and A11 form with no trial contamination to discount. The case here rests more on the stable's overall strength and consistent front-running instincts than on any single standout figure.
Finished fifth last time out but the recorded time was close to his personal best, and he finishes strongly from off the pace rather than needing to lead - a running style that plays well at this fair-galloping trip. The fastest of the field on the clock, and shares the same excellent trainer record as his two stablemates in this race, winning a quarter of the time in these conditions. Trap five hasn't been among the better draws at this specific grade, sitting below average, which is the one mark against him. Recent form has been honest graded racing throughout with no trial contamination. If the gallop up front is strong enough for a closer to pick up the pieces, this is the one with the pace to do it.
A major step up tonight in every sense - every previous start has come over the minimum 285 metres at D3 and D4 grade, and this represents both a huge jump in trip and a significant rise in class in one move, with nothing on the clock to compare against tonight's rivals. Recent form at the sprint trip has been modest, with a fall in her last start and a string of finishes toward the back of the field, which doesn't inspire confidence that she's ready for tougher graded company over more than double the distance. The trainer's record in these conditions is unremarkable. There is no course and distance form to lean on whatsoever, and the jump is severe enough that this looks more of a market experiment than a serious each-way threat, though the draw in trap four is fair enough if she takes to the new challenge.
Finished second last time out at this same grade and trip, and races prominently before tending to weaken late, a pattern that has been consistent across her recent starts. Drawn in trap one, a reasonably productive box in this grade at close to 21%, which suits a dog that likes to get across from the boxes. Her time last time out matches her recorded best, so there's no hidden reserve of extra pace to find, and the trainer's record in these conditions is modest. Grade-wise this is her level, with recent form all coming from A10 and A11 company, so there's no contamination from tougher or trial-based form to worry about. A fair each-way type without standing out on the clock.
Finished fifth last time out after being baulked at the first bend, but the run before that saw a clear lead taken early - the third member of the strong three-runner entry from the same yard tonight. Quick away and tends to lead, which combined with trap three, the best-performing draw in this exact grade at over 25%, gives a genuine chance of dictating matters from the front. Hasn't won in his last six starts and the most recent time was well down on his best, which tempers the case somewhat. The trainer's strong record applies here too. If he can find the early lead the draw suggests he should, he could prove hard to catch on this galloping trip.
Finished fourth last time out, dropping down from the grade above, and tends to finish strongly from off the pace rather than racing prominently early. Drawn in trap six, a reasonable enough draw at 20% in this grade, and her recorded time last time out matched her career best, so there's no hidden improvement to find but no obvious decline either. Runs wide through the race, which can cost ground on a track where the first bend claims plenty of runners. The trainer's record in these conditions is solid without being outstanding. Recent grades show a drop from A8/A9 level, which is a positive class angle even if the running style and wide tendencies are a slight concern.
Key insight: One trainer, R J Holloway, sends three runners into this race and wins 25% at this course, distance and grade - comfortably the best trainer figure of anyone here, and it's split across three different dogs.
Trap 3: 25.5%, Trap 1: 20.9%, Trap 6: 20.0%, Trap 5: 17.9%, Trap 2: 17.7%, Trap 4: 17.3%
617 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Annie Eva Afta | 0 | 29 | Fader |
2Chisem Mayura | 57 | 20 | Fader |
3Chisem Toby | 56 | 50 | Front Runner |
4Petite Ossie | — | — | No data |
5Chisem Dodger | 49 | 77 | Closer |
6Easy Lashes | 50 | 71 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 285m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annie Eva Afta | — | 0.604 | 0.624 |
| 2 | Chisem Mayura | — | — | 0.623 |
| 3 | Chisem Toby | — | — | 0.618 |
| 4 | Petite Ossie | 0.609 | 0.596 | — |
| 5 | Chisem Dodger | — | — | 0.618 |
| 6 | Easy Lashes | — | 0.598 | 0.618 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.