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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fauna Raeb 3y 25 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 33 (4) | 29 (4) | 30 (5) | 43 (3) | 32 (5) | 39 (3) | 43 (3) | 44 (2) | 44 (3) | 30 (5) | 22 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 35 | 36 | 3 | 13/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Agincourt Owlb 4y 33 | R H Tungatt — 16% R51 W8 P34 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 43 | 25 (3) | 30 (3) | 22 (6) | 28 (4) | 42 (1) | 22 (5) | 20 (6) | 34 (2) | 32 (3) | 35 (3) | 12 | 12 | 19 | 14 | 28 | 25 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fwesh Julie Roseb 2y 9 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 38 | 39 (2) | 30 (4) | 29 (2) | 43 (1) | 29 (4) | 36 (3) | 27 (5) | 24 (5) | 18 (5) | - | 10 | 12 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 36 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Monbeg Mysteryb 1y 7 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 56 | 27 (4) | 36 (2) | 33 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 20 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 35 | 43 | 1 | 7/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ashwood Shelbyd 1y 17 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 52 | 23 (6) | 30 (3) | 28 (4) | 28 (4) | 23 (4) | 17 (6) | 34 (3) | 33 (2) | 34 (3) | 34 (3) | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 32 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Gun Makerd 3y 18 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 55 | 41 (1) | 30 (4) | 32 (5) | 28 (5) | 43 (1) | 31 (4) | 30 (3) | 26 (5) | 32 (4) | 30 (4) | 23 | 19 | 21 | 14 | 32 | 21 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fauna Rae | 30.53 | 30.84 | 31.46 | 54 | +0.93 | 0 wins from 10 at C&D | |
| 2 | Agincourt Owl | 30.99 | 31.23 | 31.46 | 39 | +0.47 | 1 win from 10 at C&D | |
| 3 | Fwesh Julie Rose | 30.86 | 31.26 | 31.04 | 47 | +0.18 | 1 win from 10 at C&D | |
| 4 | Monbeg Mystery | 30.80 | 31.04 | 30.80 | 56 | 0.00 | Only 2 career starts | |
| 5 | Ashwood Shelby | 30.85 | 31.25 | 30.98 | 48 | +0.13 | 0 wins from 10 at C&D | |
| 6 | Gun Maker | 30.72 | 30.89 | 31.03 | 56 | +0.31 | Tied fastest, proven form |
Hove's 500-metre trip is normally an inside-friendly track, and that shows up strongly at this lower grade — trap one wins nearly a third of the time in this sample, while traps five and six struggle at around thirteen per cent. Unusually for this course and distance combination, the top-rated dog by the ratings actually underperforms here while the second-rated dog does noticeably better than expected, so this is a race where the raw numbers need a second look rather than a blind follow. None of the six runners shows any trial-form contamination — all recent races are genuine graded form, which is reassuring at this level where trial-heavy fields are common. Several of these are fast-away types who fade, so whoever leads through the first bend will need support from the pack thinning out behind, and it should be a proper tussle into the straight.
Only two starts to her name so far, but both have come at this exact course, distance and grade, finishing second and third in tight company each time — genuine graded form rather than anything soft. She shares the fastest speed rating in this field and carries the strongest early pace figures of any runner here, matching her recorded best time in her latest start rather than tailing off. Trainer Heath has a reasonable record in these conditions. The sample is small, and trap four hasn't been a particularly strong draw at this course and distance, but the raw ability on show in two competitive runs stands out. The one with most going for her on what little we've seen, even if the small sample warrants some caution.
Shares the fastest speed rating in the field with the selection, but arrives with six times the experience — ten runs at this course and distance including a win, compared to the top pick's two starts. His trainer has a fair record in these conditions and he's shown himself to be a very consistent performer, rarely running a bad race even if he tends to fade having led early. The concern is the draw — trap six has been one of the weaker boxes in this sample — but the proven speed and established form make him the biggest threat to the less experienced market leader.
Finished fourth last time out at a tougher grade and has been a model of consistency without ever quite getting her head in front — no wins from ten starts at this course and distance despite plenty of racing here. Trap one has been by far the best-performing draw in this sample, winning close to a third of the time, which does give her a genuine structural edge. She finishes strongly from off the pace rather than making the running, so she'll be relying on the fast starters in front weakening. The draw is in her favour even if the form book shows no wins here yet.
Finished fourth last time out and has managed one win from ten starts at this course and distance, a modest but not disgraceful record. She finishes her races strongly from off the pace, which could suit if the faster starters in this field fold as they often do at this level. Trainer Heath, who also handles the market pick, has a reasonable record in these conditions. Not the fastest in the field on the clock, which caps her upside somewhat.
Finished third last time out and has raced consistently at this level without ever winning at this course and distance from ten attempts. Trainer Taylor has a poor record in these conditions, one of the weaker figures in this race. She races in a balanced style rather than leaning on pure pace, and drawn in trap five, one of the two weakest boxes in this sample. Others have stronger claims on the data.
Finished third last time out and has one win from ten starts at this course and distance. The slowest in this field on the clock by some way, which is hard to overlook at this level, and trainer Tungatt's record in these conditions is only moderate. She finishes from off the pace, but with the least raw speed of anyone here, that closing effort has less to work with. One of the more difficult to fancy on today's figures.
Key insight: Unusual pattern here: the top-rated dog wins only 21% at this course, distance and grade, while the second-rated dog actually wins 30% — the ratings are a less reliable guide than usual at this level.
Trap 1 strongest at 32%, traps 5 and 6 weakest at 13-14%
553 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fauna Rae | 52 | 59 | Closer |
2Agincourt Owl | 42 | 67 | Closer |
3Fwesh Julie Rose | 38 | 91 | Closer |
4Monbeg Mystery | 57 | 7 | Fader |
5Ashwood Shelby | 48 | 41 | All-Rounder |
6Gun Maker | 58 | 28 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.