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Thursday 16th July 2026
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Onlyinthejockeyb 3y 16 | C L Hardy — 19% R236 W45 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 48 | 73 (2) | 68 (2) | 76 (1) | 76 (1) | 64 (2) | 58 (4) | 78 (1) | 62 (4) | 68 (4) | 55 (6) | 10 | 30 | 20 | 49 | 69 | 49 | 3 | 6/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bonnie Sues Luckb 2y 19 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 82 (1) | 81 (1) | 78 (1) | 16 (4) | 69 (6) | 78 (3) | 67 (1) | 77 (3) | 63 (1) | - | 41 | 32 | - | 55 | 69 | 52 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fabulous Kimikob 2y 26 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 61 | 59 (4) | 56 (5) | 59 (3) | 58 (5) | 66 (4) | 68 (2) | 87 (1) | 66 (6) | 84 (1) | 54 (6) | 14 | 42 | 18 | 19 | 63 | 41 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ A Bit Of Meganb 1y 16 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 52 | 84 (1) | 64 (4) | 65 (3) | 71 (2) | 51 (5) | 80 (1) | 79 (1) | 45 (5) | 79 (1) | 57 (3) | 35 | 24 | - | 40 | 69 | 53 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Teddys Lassb 4y 36 | S Roberts — 16% R178 W29 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 45 | 55 (5) | 50 (5) | 62 (3) | 84 (1) | 62 (3) | 66 (3) | 72 (2) | 81 (1) | 58 (3) | 63 (4) | 33 | 26 | - | 28 | 66 | 46 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fabulous Kimiko | 28.82 | 29.27 | 29.63 | 43 | +0.81 | ||
| 4 | A Bit Of Megan | 28.82 | 29.33 | 28.82 | 54 | 0.00 | ||
| 5 | Teddys Lass | 28.86 | 29.27 | 29.59 | 43 | +0.73 | ||
| 2 | Bonnie Sues Luck | 29.07 | 29.23 | 29.07 | 48 | 0.00 | ||
| 1 | Onlyinthejockey | 29.10 | 29.28 | 29.10 | 46 | 0.00 |
Newcastle's 480 metres is a fair, galloping test with a lengthy home straight that gives late runners a genuine chance. At A2 grade over this trip, trap 5 has been the best-performing box at 22.7 per cent from 216 runs, while trap 6 is the weakest at 17.2 per cent. The fastest dog in the field wins over 27 per cent of races at this grade — speed is the dominant predictor here, well ahead of the composite. A Bit Of Megan should have enough early pace to sit handy from trap 4 and her versatile running style means she can race prominently or come from just off the pace. Bonnie Sues Luck has an outstanding course and distance record and should be right there at the finish, while Fabulous Kimiko will try to blaze a trail from trap 3 with the best early pace in the field. Onlyinthejockey tends to come from behind and will need the pace to be honest to pick up the pieces late on.
The fastest dog in the field on speed rating and won last time at A3 with an impressive 84-rated performance — her best run in recent memory. Versatile in running style and can race prominently or come from off the pace, which gives her tactical options regardless of how the race unfolds. Course and distance record is strong with four wins from ten runs at Newcastle over this trip. Stepping up from A3 to A2 tonight, but that last-time win was emphatic and suggests she is ready for the rise in class. The trainer's 16 per cent strike rate is modest, but the dog's form speaks for itself.
On the back of two wins from two at A3 grade — won last time with a performance rating of 82, and 81 the time before that. Stepping up to A2 tonight but the form clearly entitles her to take her chance. Outstanding course and distance record with five wins from ten runs, which is a 50 per cent strike rate — one of the best records in the field. Tends to come from behind and the long Newcastle straight plays to that style. The step up in class is the only question mark, but she has proven ability here.
Has been running consistently at A2 level with recent form figures of 73 and 68 — solid without being spectacular. Tends to come from behind and will need others to set a strong gallop. Course and distance form is decent with three wins from nine runs, and she ran a good second last time out. The rail draw doesn't help a closer — trap 1 is below average at A2 here — but the long home straight gives her a chance to pick up the pieces if the leaders go too hard.
Has the sharpest early pace in the field and should lead through the first bend from trap 3. However, she tends to weaken in the closing stages and recent form of 59, 56, 59 and 58 suggests she is well held at this level. Has been competing at OR2 and A2 but without threatening the principals. Course and distance form reads two wins from ten which is modest, and her best days look behind her on current evidence. Likely to set the pace but vulnerable to stronger finishers.
Drawn in the statistically best trap at A2 over this course and distance, with trap 5 winning 22.7 per cent of races. Likes to race prominently and has the early pace to be involved. The concern is recent form — finished 5th last time with a performance rating of just 50, well below her best. She has shown she can perform at this level with a peak of 84 three races ago, but the inconsistency is a worry. Course and distance form reads three wins from ten runs, which is reasonable. Needs to bounce back from that last run to be competitive.
Key insight: Trap 5 is the best-performing box at 22.7% from 216 runs. Trap 6 is the weakest at 17.2%.
T1:18.9% T2:20.3% T3:19.2% T4:20.1% T5:22.7% T6:17.2%
1,629 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Onlyinthejockey | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Bonnie Sues Luck | 50 | 57 | Closer |
3Fabulous Kimiko | 72 | 0 | Fader |
4A Bit Of Megan | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Teddys Lass | 55 | 45 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 590m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Onlyinthejockey | 0.611 | 0.628 |
| 2 | Bonnie Sues Luck | 0.609 | — |
| 3 | Fabulous Kimiko | 0.610 | — |
| 4 | A Bit Of Megan | 0.611 | — |
| 5 | Teddys Lass | 0.611 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.