| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Alien Chieftand 2y 34 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 42 | 90 (1) | 46 (6) | 90 (1) | 93 (1) | 49 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 36 | 62 | - | 47 | 75 | 45 | 3 | 6/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Moody Rudyd 2y 8 | G S Byford — 28% R250 W69 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 44 | 79 (2) | 88 (1) | 81 (2) | 59 (5) | 90 (1) | 64 (1) | 41 (2) | 55 (6) | 90 (5) | - | 67 | 70 | 62 | 61 | 74 | 61 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cloheena Boyced 2y 26 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 52 | 47 (5) | 77 (2) | 90 (1) | 72 (3) | 59 (6) | 47 (6) | 73 (3) | 56 (5) | 50 (6) | 92 (1) | 36 | 46 | 31 | 49 | 66 | 44 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fastlane Blud 2y 18 | P M Donovan — 17% R132 W23 P81 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 63 | 88 (1) | 74 (2) | 65 (3) | 72 (2) | 74 (3) | 65 (3) | 73 (3) | 83 (2) | 81 (2) | 89 (1) | 58 | 37 | 42 | 47 | 76 | 60 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballymac Kingab 3y 36 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 54 | 69 (4) | 65 (3) | 53 (6) | 89 (1) | 81 (2) | 68 (2) | 61 (5) | 89 (1) | 61 (4) | 90 (1) | 35 | 35 | 28 | 37 | 71 | 44 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alien Chieftan | 29.58 | 29.89 | 29.59 | 49 | +0.01 | Best trap 27.7% | |
| 2 | Moody Rudy | 29.53 | 29.85 | 29.53 | 51 | 0.00 | Elite personal suitability | |
| 3 | Cloheena Boyce | 29.34 | 29.88 | 30.41 | 40 | +1.07 | Much slower LTO | |
| 5 | Fastlane Blu | 29.34 | 29.81 | 29.34 | 58 | 0.00 | Fastest + won LTO | |
| 6 | Ballymac Kinga | 29.55 | 29.75 | 30.02 | 45 | +0.47 | Consistent all-rounder |
Hove rewards a strong, bumpy-track stride and trap one has been the standout draw at this course, distance and grade, winning almost 28% of the time from nearly 300 runs — a full nine points clear of the weakest box. Alien Chieftan gets that plum draw and arrives full of running, having won his last start in open company. Fastlane Blu is the biggest threat, though — he carries the fastest recorded time in the field and the highest average performance figure, fresh from a win at A2 last week, but he's drawn in a below-average box and tends to fade in the closing stages. Moody Rudy boasts an outstanding personal record at this exact course, trap and distance combination despite a moderate draw, while Cloheena Boyce and Ballymac Kinga make up the numbers without the standout factor either leader possesses.
Drawn in trap one, the standout box at this course, distance and grade, winning almost 28% of the time from nearly 300 runs. Form has been volatile but the peaks are exactly what you want to see — three rated 90 or better in his last five starts — and he won his most recent race in open company, a step up from this level. Goes fast from the traps but can weaken in the closing stages, though the best draw in the field should help him get the run of the race. A strong course record backs up the pick.
Carries the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field and the highest average performance figure too, fresh from a win last week at A2 that means he arrives on the back of some serious form. Goes early and tends to lose ground late, which is a slight concern over the trip, but the times and recent scoreline speak for themselves. Trap five hasn't been a strong draw at this course and distance, which is really the only thing holding him back from a stronger vote of confidence.
Boasts the standout personal suitability profile in the field — his figures for this trap, track, distance and class are all comfortably the best of the six, suggesting a dog who has consistently performed well in exactly these conditions before. Form has been strong too, with a runner-up finish last time out in open company and two ratings in the high 80s among his last six. Finishes strongly from off the pace, which should suit if the pace up front is genuine. A solid alternative without the standout draw of the market leaders.
Drawn in trap six, the second-best box at this course, distance and grade, winning close to a quarter of the time. A versatile runner who can race prominently or come from just off the pace, and his form has been solid without ever looking spectacular, sitting in the high 60s to low 70s range for the most part. Not the fastest in the field but consistent enough to be involved in the finish. Others have stronger claims but he shouldn't be dismissed.
The slowest recorded time in the field and a form line that has cooled recently — his last two runs are his weakest of the sequence, including a well-beaten fifth last time out. There were much better performances earlier in his recent form, rated as high as 90, so the ability is clearly there, but on the most recent evidence he needs to bounce back. Trap three is a below-average draw at this course and distance too. Others look more solidly in form tonight.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the standout draw at this course, distance and grade, winning almost 28% of the time from 289 runs — comfortably the best box in the race.
T1:27.7% T2:21.3% T3:19.1% T4:16.9% T5:18.4% T6:24.4%
1,404 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Alien Chieftan | 57 | 24 | Fader |
2Moody Rudy | 46 | 64 | Closer |
3Cloheena Boyce | 50 | 100 | Closer |
5Fastlane Blu | 65 | 0 | Fader |
6Ballymac Kinga | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 285m | 400m | 450m | 500m | 515m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alien Chieftan | — | — | 0.537 | — | 0.598 | — |
| 2 | Moody Rudy | — | — | — | — | 0.597 | 0.600 |
| 3 | Cloheena Boyce | 0.606 | 0.590 | 0.620 | 0.607 | 0.598 | — |
| 5 | Fastlane Blu | — | — | — | — | 0.596 | — |
| 6 | Ballymac Kinga | — | — | — | — | 0.595 | 0.596 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.