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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Romantic Richyd 2y 8 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 52 | 39 (4) | 53 (1) | 40 (2) | 35 (4) | 39 (3) | 39 (5) | 45 (4) | 37 (5) | 47 (2) | - | 33 | 40 | 26 | 32 | 42 | 45 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crohane Pearlb 3yN/R 25 | G S Byford — 28% R250 W69 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 37 (5) | 47 (2) | 48 (1) | 42 (2) | 42 (2) | 29 (4) | 27 (6) | 48 (1) | 34 (4) | 34 (4) | 32 | 32 | 11 | 39 | 40 | 36 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Adamant Stard 2y 3 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 41 | 40 (4) | 41 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 40 | 31 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Stone Cold Punkd 3y 5 | S Maplesden — 14% R251 W35 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 49 | 49 (2) | 40 (5) | 44 (3) | 39 (4) | 44 (4) | 43 (4) | 37 (5) | 57 (2) | 48 (4) | 52 (2) | 36 | 34 | 36 | 21 | 44 | 48 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Adachi Freddied 1y 4 | P J Browne — 16% R115 W18 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 56 | 53 (2) | 46 (3) | 50 (2) | 48 (2) | 56 (2) | 42 (4) | - | - | - | - | 21 | 39 | 26 | 35 | 50 | 50 | 1 | 1/2F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Romantic Richy | 30.27 | 30.67 | 30.63 | 50 | +0.36 | Worst trap 18.9% | |
| 2 | Crohane Pearl | 30.32 | 30.71 | 30.77 | 46 | +0.45 | Weakest on form | |
| 3 | Adamant Star | 30.73 | 30.79 | 30.73 | 39 | 0.00 | Only 2 runs on file | |
| 4 | Stone Cold Punk | 30.16 | 30.53 | 30.46 | 57 | +0.30 | Best trap + top speed | |
| 6 | Adachi Freddie | 30.27 | 30.55 | 30.45 | 55 | +0.18 | Best average form |
Hove's bumpiness and need for a strong, honest stride matter here, but the trap picture flips at this A8 level — trap four is the pick of the draws at just under 25%, with trap one, usually a source of comfort at this track, actually the weakest at under 19% from 159 runs. This is exactly the kind of race where Hove's model struggles — A7-A8 grade at this track is one of the least reliable combinations in the database, with the raw model barely beating a coin flip. Stone Cold Punk carries the fastest recorded time in the field and sits in the best box, a genuine stack of two solid factors. Adachi Freddie has been the most consistent performer of the six and holds the second-best draw, while the rest are fairly bunched behind them.
Holds the fastest recorded time of anyone in this race and sits in trap four, statistically the strongest draw at this course, distance and grade from almost 150 runs. Form has been admirably consistent through the 40s, and he was runner-up last time out having also finished second twice more in his last six starts. Finishes his races off well from off the pace, which suits Hove's longer run to the line. The combination of the best trap and the fastest time makes him the one to beat, even in a grade where the raw numbers can be misleading.
The most consistent performer in the race on recent figures, with five of his last six runs rated between 42 and 56 and a strong second-place finish last time out. Sits in trap six, the second-best draw at this course, distance and grade, and carries the second-fastest recorded time in the field too. A balanced runner who can race on the pace or come from just off it, which gives him options whatever shape the race takes. The clear alternative if the pick doesn't have his own way up front.
Drawn in trap one, which has actually been the weakest box at this course, distance and grade recently, managing under 19% from 159 runs — a reversal of Hove's usual inside bias. Form has been steady through the high 30s and low 50s without threatening to win, and he stepped up a grade to A7 last time out rather than dropping. A versatile runner but the draw works against him tonight.
The weakest average performance figure in this field and a modest recent sequence in the high 20s to high 40s without ever getting competitive. Trap two offers a moderate draw at just over 20%, not enough to compensate for being outpaced by most of these on the clock. Hard to make a case for her taking a hand in the finish.
Only two runs showing in recent form, both at this course, distance and grade, and both modest efforts in the low 40s. There's no course and distance record of note and the suitability figures are close to nothing across the board, pointing to a dog who hasn't shown much yet at this level. The slowest recorded time in the field too. Very much the outsider on the evidence available.
Key insight: Composite R1 wins only 22.16% at this grade and track — one of the weaker combinations in the dataset — while the fastest dog in the field (Speed Rank 1) wins 27.09%, making raw speed the more reliable lead factor here.
T1:18.9% T2:20.3% T3:19.2% T4:24.8% T5:19.8% T6:24.1%
925 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Romantic Richy | 53 | 33 | All-Rounder |
2Crohane Pearl | 50 | 43 | All-Rounder |
3Adamant Star | 45 | 56 | Closer |
4Stone Cold Punk | 50 | 60 | Closer |
6Adachi Freddie | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.