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HAPPY 13th BIRTHDAY CORA
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Yougo Laddied 3y 110 | S A Cahill — 21% R378 W81 P231 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 53 (2) | 61 (1) | 41 (4) | 52 (4) | 58 (2) | 28 (5) | 36 (5) | 68 (1) | 62 (1) | 43 (3) | 29 | 27 | 26 | 39 | 51 | 45 | 3 | 15/8 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Daring Duchessb 2y 10 | R P Rees — 23% R135 W31 P76 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 57 (1) | 42 (4) | 61 (1) | 49 (2) | 39 (5) | 57 (1) | 31 (5) | 51 (2) | 49 (1) | 43 (2) | 33 | 29 | 16 | 55 | 49 | 49 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fastlane Regd 1y 6 | P M Donovan — 17% R132 W23 P81 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 45 | 35 (5) | 62 (1) | 62 (1) | 45 (4) | 38 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 34 | 11 | 36 | 49 | 46 | 4 | 7/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rapido Willowb 5y 26 | A J Taylor — 18% R293 W52 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 57 | 41 (6) | 40 (6) | 67 (1) | 62 (1) | 49 (2) | 41 (6) | 60 (1) | 44 (4) | 45 (3) | 57 (2) | 22 | 26 | 20 | 36 | 50 | 40 | 5 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Grouchos Princed 3y 5 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 53 | 43 (4) | 46 (5) | 57 (2) | 48 (4) | 51 (3) | 51 (5) | 70 (1) | 47 (5) | 51 (5) | 83 (3) | 26 | 25 | 14 | 16 | 52 | 46 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yougo Laddie | 30.12 | 30.57 | 30.34 | 51 | +0.22 | Best trainer rate | |
| 2 | Daring Duchess | 30.28 | 30.49 | 30.28 | 51 | 0.00 | Fades late | |
| 3 | Fastlane Reg | 30.15 | 30.48 | 30.77 | 46 | +0.62 | Best trap, poor LTO | |
| 5 | Rapido Willow | 30.25 | 30.57 | 30.78 | 42 | +0.53 | Worst trap 11.6% | |
| 6 | Grouchos Prince | 30.04 | 30.36 | 30.48 | 54 | +0.44 | Fastest + best form |
This is A6 grade at Hove, one of the toughest combinations in the database for the composite model to call — dogs at this level are often in transition, and the raw ratings here should be treated as a guide rather than gospel. Trap three has been the best draw at this course, distance and grade at just under 23%, with trap five a long way adrift at under 12%. The fastest recorded time in the field wins over a quarter of these races, a notably stronger signal than the composite score at this level. Grouchos Prince holds both the fastest time and the best average performance figure in the race, the strongest stack on offer even without the very best draw. Yougo Laddie, with the best trainer strike rate in the field, is the type most likely to go close if the leaders don't have it their own way, while Fastlane Reg has the best box but comes into this on a poor run last time out.
Holds the fastest recorded time in the field and the highest average performance figure too, a genuine stack of the two most reliable factors at this level. Recent form has been steady through the high 40s and low 50s, and he finishes his races off strongly from off the pace. Trap six is a reasonably useful draw at this course, distance and grade, even if it isn't the very best on offer. In a grade where the composite model struggles, leading with speed and form gives the strongest case in the race.
Runner-up last time out and consistent enough through the 50s and 60s recently, with the best-performing trainer in the race at 26% strike rate. Ties for the second-fastest recorded time in the field and a balanced runner who can race on the pace or track just behind it. Trap one is a moderate draw rather than a stand-out. A solid, well-supported type who could easily be involved at the finish.
Drawn in the best box at this course, distance and grade, winning just under 23% of the time from 248 runs. That's a genuine structural plus, but he was well beaten in fifth last time out having also managed only a 45 the run before that — a rough patch of form to be climbing out of. Finishes strongly from off the pace when things go right. The draw keeps him interesting despite the recent dip.
Won last time out at a lower grade and has generally been a fast-starting sort who can lead early, though she tends to lose ground badly in the closing stages. Recent form has been consistent in the high 40s to high 50s. Trap two doesn't carry any real structural advantage at this course and distance. A fair yardstick for the grade but not obviously good enough to trouble the leading pair over the full trip.
Drawn in trap five, comfortably the weakest box at this course, distance and grade, managing under 12% from 138 runs. Goes fast early but loses ground badly late on, and last time out he faded to finish last of the six. The slowest recent times of anyone in this field compound an already difficult draw. Hard to make a case for him tonight.
Key insight: The composite model is a fairly weak lead factor at this grade and track (23.16%), while the fastest recorded time in the field wins 26.51% of these races — speed is the more reliable factor to lead with at this level.
T1:20.7% T2:20.1% T3:23.0% T4:16.1% T5:11.6% T6:21.2%
1,370 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Yougo Laddie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Daring Duchess | 61 | 3 | Fader |
3Fastlane Reg | 44 | 76 | Closer |
5Rapido Willow | 64 | 0 | Fader |
6Grouchos Prince | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yougo Laddie | 0.611 | — |
| 2 | Daring Duchess | 0.610 | — |
| 3 | Fastlane Reg | 0.610 | — |
| 5 | Rapido Willow | 0.611 | — |
| 6 | Grouchos Prince | 0.607 | 0.619 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.