Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Luna Outof Orbitb 4y 18 | S Maplesden — 14% R251 W35 P148 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 55 (2) | 62 (2) | 68 (1) | 53 (3) | 54 (2) | 46 (5) | 42 (4) | 43 (5) | 38 (5) | 39 (5) | 43 | 36 | 21 | 34 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Streets Of Bonob 3y 17 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 46 (5) | 71 (4) | 39 (5) | 66 (5) | 43 (5) | 67 (3) | 72 (4) | 34 (6) | 75 (1) | 71 (1) | 30 | 26 | 28 | 32 | 56 | 42 | 4 | 20/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Gingers Shadowd 1y 1 | P J Browne — 16% R115 W18 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 29 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 29 | 15 | 6 | 13/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Pierre Gund 1y 32 | P J Browne — 16% R115 W18 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 50 | 61 (3) | 63 (2) | 49 (4) | 68 (1) | 54 (3) | 36 (6) | 55 (4) | 39 (4) | 44 (5) | - | 2 | 15 | 8 | 18 | 55 | 27 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Doubtful Honeyb 3y 16 | G S Byford — 28% R250 W69 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 44 | 48 (5) | 46 (5) | 48 (5) | 76 (1) | 72 (1) | 46 (4) | 63 (1) | 42 (5) | 31 (6) | 61 (2) | 36 | 39 | 34 | 34 | 53 | 45 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Forever Tenderb 2y 18 | R P Rees — 23% R135 W31 P76 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 53 (3) | 58 (4) | 46 (2) | 69 (4) | 48 (1) | 45 (4) | 62 (5) | 50 (2) | - | - | 53 | 26 | 6 | 29 | 54 | 47 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luna Outof Orbit | 30.10 | 30.37 | 30.13 | 52 | +0.03 | Very consistent | |
| 2 | Streets Of Bono | 30.04 | 30.42 | 30.40 | 48 | +0.36 | Volatile form | |
| 3 | Gingers Shadow | Only one recent run on file, over 285m at a much lower grade — a huge step up in both distance and class, with no time data at this trip. | — | Steps up sharply | ||||
| 4 | Pierre Gun | 29.64 | 30.35 | 30.25 | 58 | +0.61 | Fastest in field | |
| 5 | Doubtful Honey | 30.00 | 30.40 | 30.46 | 48 | +0.46 | Drops from A4 | |
| 6 | Forever Tender | 29.89 | 30.39 | 30.35 | 52 | +0.46 | Worst trap 15.5% | |
Hove's bumpy surface rewards a strong, honest stride, and the trap picture at this A5 level has the inside boxes on top — trap three edges it at 23.6%, trap one close behind at 22.9%, while trap six is the one to avoid at just 15.5%. Both the composite model and raw speed work reasonably well at this level, unlike the grades either side of it. Luna Outof Orbit gets a strong draw and has been the most consistent runner in the field, finishing second last time out and rarely straying outside the 50s in her recent form. Pierre Gun holds the fastest recorded time of anyone here and could easily lead home if his suspect trap position doesn't cost him ground, while Gingers Shadow steps up sharply in both grade and distance from a single sprint run and looks the one to leave out.
Drawn in trap one, the second-best box at this course, distance and grade at just under 23%. Form has been remarkably tight and consistent, rarely straying outside the 50s across her last six starts, and she was runner-up last time out. A balanced runner who can race on the pace or track just behind it, which gives her options in a race that could be run at a decent gallop. The most dependable form line in the field allied to a strong draw.
Holds the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field by a clear margin and finishes his races off strongly from off the pace. Form has been solid, sitting in the mid-50s to low-60s for the most part, with a third-place effort in his last outing. Trap four is a fairly modest draw at this course and distance, and his own suitability figures for this trap and track are on the low side despite the raw pace — worth noting given how fast he's shown he can be. The clear pace threat to the selection.
Carries the best average performance figure in the field on paper, but the form underneath it is genuinely up and down — alternating between the high 60s and high 30s over his last six starts, including a well-beaten fifth last time out. Finishes strongly from off the pace when conditions suit. Trap two doesn't offer any real structural boost at this course and distance. The ability is there in patches, but he needs to find his better form again.
Sent out by the best-performing trainer in the race at 26% strike rate, and her own personal suitability figure for trap six is actually strong despite that box being statistically the weakest at this course, distance and grade. Form has been fairly steady in the high 40s to high 60s, with a third-place finish last time out. The general trap bias works against her, but her individual record from this box offers some reassurance.
Drops down from A4 grade, so there's a touch of class in hand on paper, but her recent form has cooled — her last three runs are all in the high 40s, a step down from two much stronger efforts rated in the 70s a few races back. Trap five has been a weak draw at this course and distance too. The ability to find a big performance is there in her history, but the most recent evidence points the other way.
Steps up sharply from a sprint over 285 metres at a much lower grade to this considerably longer trip and tougher level, on the back of just a single recent run. There's no course and distance record to speak of and her suitability figures are close to zero across the board. Drawn in the best box at this course and distance, which is the only thing in her favour, but the jump in class and distance is too big to ignore.
Key insight: Trap 3 is marginally the best draw at this course, distance and grade (23.6%), with trap 1 close behind (22.9%). Both the composite model (25.5%) and raw speed (26.0%) are reasonably reliable here, unlike the surrounding grades at this track.
T1:22.9% T2:19.9% T3:23.6% T4:19.7% T5:15.9% T6:15.5%
1,426 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Luna Outof Orbit | 54 | 31 | All-Rounder |
2Streets Of Bono | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Gingers Shadow | — | — | No data |
4Pierre Gun | 50 | 58 | Closer |
5Doubtful Honey | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Forever Tender | 53 | 36 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 285m | 500m | 695m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luna Outof Orbit | — | 0.607 | — |
| 2 | Streets Of Bono | — | 0.608 | 0.623 |
| 3 | Gingers Shadow | 0.598 | — | — |
| 4 | Pierre Gun | — | 0.607 | — |
| 5 | Doubtful Honey | — | 0.608 | — |
| 6 | Forever Tender | — | 0.608 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.