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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Emers Marnieb 2y 7 | P M Donovan — 17% R132 W23 P81 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 61 | 56 (4) | 81 (1) | 69 (2) | 77 (1) | 57 (2) | 50 (4) | 62 (5) | 49 (2) | 38 (5) | - | 49 | 39 | - | 41 | 63 | 54 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Antigua Luigid 3y 5 | J J Heath — 21% R347 W72 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 49 | 71 (3) | 84 (1) | 46 (5) | 70 (2) | 62 (3) | 68 (2) | 65 (4) | 80 (2) | 56 (5) | 75 (3) | 42 | 44 | 44 | 31 | 68 | 57 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Deluxd 2y 9 | C Gardiner — 19% R341 W66 P178 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 53 | 64 (3) | 57 (5) | 79 (2) | 71 (3) | 48 (5) | 83 (1) | 80 (1) | 71 (2) | 35 (6) | 66 (2) | 33 | 38 | 26 | 33 | 66 | 55 | 2 | 7/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Gorgeous Girlb 4y 23 | D D Knight — 18% R234 W43 P136 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 42 | 56 (5) | 80 (1) | 43 (5) | 73 (2) | 74 (1) | 80 (1) | 66 (2) | 76 (2) | 64 (3) | 44 (5) | 39 | 34 | 19 | 47 | 66 | 50 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Boom Boom Bulletb 3y 35 | B S Green — 21% R422 W89 P249 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 46 | 52 (5) | 51 (4) | 56 (5) | 53 (6) | 54 (5) | 59 (4) | 88 (1) | 88 (1) | 60 (4) | 68 (3) | 20 | 28 | 17 | 21 | 59 | 24 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emers Marnie | 29.79 | 30.13 | 30.10 | 50 | +0.31 | Fades late | |
| 2 | Antigua Luigi | 29.66 | 29.91 | 29.83 | 60 | +0.17 | Drops from A1 | |
| 3 | Droopys Delux | 29.70 | 29.99 | 29.70 | 60 | 0.00 | Matches top speed | |
| 4 | Gorgeous Girl | 29.80 | 30.13 | 30.28 | 47 | +0.48 | Slower recently | |
| 6 | Boom Boom Bullet | 29.80 | 30.14 | 30.21 | 48 | +0.41 | Best trap, long layoff |
This looks a genuinely tight A2 renewal at Hove — the trap bias is unusually flat for this course, distance and grade, with trap six only a modest leader at 22.5% and nothing else standing out much either way. The model itself doesn't strongly separate the field here, with the second-rated dog historically outperforming the top pick at this exact combination, so this is a race to be decided on individual factors rather than a clean composite readout. Antigua Luigi arrives dropping down from A1 grade having been competitive there last time out, and combines that class edge with the best average performance and joint-fastest times in the field. Droopys Delux matches him for pace and has flashed similarly big performances in patches, while the rest of the field are fairly closely matched without a standout factor.
Drops down from A1 grade, a level above today's race, having been competitive there with a third-place finish last time out — a favourable class angle. Carries the highest average performance figure in the field and matches the joint-fastest recorded time too. Finishes strongly from off the pace and has been a very consistent performer, rarely straying far from his level. Trap two is a moderate draw at this course and distance rather than a standout, but the class drop and strong all-round figures make him the pick in an open-looking race.
Matches the fastest recorded time in the field and has flashed some big performances in patches, with efforts rated 83 and 79 among his last six starts, though the form in between has been more moderate. A balanced runner who can race on the pace or from just behind it. Trap three is a fair draw at this course and distance. The ceiling on show in his best runs makes him a live danger if he brings his A-game.
A very consistent runner with solid peaks of 80, 80 and 74 among her recent form, and a balanced runner who can race on the pace or from just off it. She was well beaten last time out in fifth and her most recent times have been a touch below her best. Trap four is a fair draw at this course and distance. The ability to hit those peaks again is the case for her, but she needs to find that level.
Goes fast early but tends to lose ground badly in the closing stages, a pattern that could be exposed over the full trip if she doesn't get an easy lead. Form has been solid, sitting in the 50s to high 70s across her recent starts, with a fourth-place finish last time out. Trap one has been the weakest draw at this course, distance and grade, which adds to the concerns about her finishing the race off strongly.
Drawn in trap six, the best draw at this course, distance and grade, though the overall bias here is fairly flat so it's a modest edge rather than a decisive one. Hasn't raced since late May, a notable gap, and his form beforehand was steady but modest, sitting in the low-to-mid 50s throughout. Finishes strongly from off the pace. The layoff is the biggest question mark heading into tonight.
Key insight: The trap bias is unusually flat at this course, distance and grade, and the composite model's second-rated dog (23.26%) actually outperforms its top pick (20.6%) historically — a race where individual factors matter more than the raw ranking.
T1:18.9% T2:19.5% T3:19.8% T4:20.2% T5:16.4% T6:22.5%
1,342 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Emers Marnie | 57 | 0 | Fader |
2Antigua Luigi | 50 | 56 | Closer |
3Droopys Delux | 52 | 46 | All-Rounder |
4Gorgeous Girl | 47 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Boom Boom Bullet | 39 | 70 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 515m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emers Marnie | 0.603 | — | 0.561 |
| 2 | Antigua Luigi | 0.598 | — | — |
| 3 | Droopys Delux | 0.600 | — | — |
| 4 | Gorgeous Girl | 0.603 | — | — |
| 6 | Boom Boom Bullet | 0.603 | 0.601 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.