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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Moanteen Aced 1y | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | - | - | 10 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tommys Targetd 3y 35 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 72 (3) | 80 (4) | 76 (3) | 43 (2) | 63 (3) | 57 (4) | 41 (6) | 56 (3) | 55 (5) | 34 (4) | 30 | 39 | - | 5 | 66 | 47 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Dixieb 1y 5 | D J Page — 22% R117 W26 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 50 | 67 (4) | 42 (1) | 51 (5) | 67 (2) | 69 (2) | 74 (1) | 53 (3) | - | - | - | 2 | 54 | - | 28 | 63 | 50 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Tromora Diamondd 2y 210 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 51 | 77 (1) | 73 (1) | 49 (5) | 63 (2) | 27 (5) | 31 (5) | 45 (5) | 59 (6) | 58 (4) | - | 29 | 22 | - | 38 | 63 | 44 | 6 | 18/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Longacres Boycied 2y 26 | P J Doocey — 17% R150 W26 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 69 (2) | 43 (5) | 58 (3) | 38 (3) | 99 (1) | 98 (1) | 57 (4) | 69 (4) | 79 (1) | 73 (1) | 38 | 41 | 10 | 43 | 69 | 51 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Wandb 1y 8 | A K Jenkins — 15% R164 W25 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 79 (1) | 76 (2) | 61 (2) | 73 (1) | 51 (3) | 68 (1) | 57 (2) | 55 (2) | 68 (3) | - | 52 | 54 | - | 67 | 68 | 54 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moanteen Ace | No assessable graded form on file - a complete unknown despite the good draw. | — | No form, best trap | ||||
| 2 | Tommys Target | 28.76 | 29.02 | 28.76 | 50 | 0.00 | 3 strong runs in a row | |
| 3 | Ballymac Dixie | 28.72 | 29.05 | 28.72 | 51 | 0.00 | Dropping from open class | |
| 4 | Tromora Diamond | 28.88 | 29.10 | 28.88 | 45 | 0.00 | Won LTO (A4) | |
| 5 | Longacres Boycie | 28.68 | 29.08 | 28.78 | 50 | +0.10 | Best first bend | |
| 6 | Swift Wand | 28.73 | 29.03 | 28.83 | 51 | +0.10 | Model pick, worst trap | |
This is a grade where the ratings model at Monmore has actually underperformed its usual standard - the top-rated dog has won under 18% of these A3 races over the 480m trip, well below the track norm. Trap 1 has been the best box this season at nearly 22%, with trap 6 the weakest on just 13%, which puts the highest-rated runner, Swift Wand, in the least helpful draw on the track. He does carry an outstanding course and distance record to offset that concern. Tommys Target arrives with the strongest recent trend in the race, three good runs on the bounce, while Moanteen Ace has no assessable form at all despite drawing the prime box. A genuinely open, hard-to-call race where the raw ratings need treating with real caution.
Tops the ratings in this field and owns an outstanding course and distance record - four wins from his last ten starts over this exact track and trip, the best mark of any runner in the race. Won last time out at the grade below and his overall form has been steady, rarely dropping outside the 50s to high 70s. The concern is the draw - trap 6 has been the weakest box at this grade all season - but his course knowledge and current form are strong enough to take a chance on overcoming it.
Third last time out but his last three starts have all been strong, cycling through the high-60s to low-80s - the best recent trend of anyone in this field. His trap tonight is a touch below average for this grade, but the sheer momentum in his form makes him hard to leave out, and he looks the biggest threat to the selection if the draw doesn't matter as much as usual tonight.
No assessable graded form exists for this runner, so there's nothing concrete to judge him against tonight's opposition. He does at least land in the best-performing box at this grade, which gives him a puncher's chance if he's better than his blank formline suggests, but backing a complete unknown at this level is a real leap of faith.
Fourth last time out, but that run came in open company against much stiffer opposition than tonight, so it reads better than the bare finishing position suggests. His form across six starts has been solid, and dropping back into this grade could see him find more room to operate.
Won last time out at the grade below, and his last two starts have shown a clear improvement after a couple of quieter runs earlier in the sequence. His overall speed figures are the weakest of this group though, and stepping up in grade tonight is a stiffer task than the one he's just won.
Second last time out and owns the best first-bend figure in this field, with two wins from six course and distance runs. His form has shown some big peaks in the past, and he's second only to the selection on the ratings tonight. A fair alternative if the pace up front doesn't suit the top two.
Key insight: The model has genuinely struggled at this grade and trip - the top-rated dog wins under 18%, actually below the second-rated dog on 20.2%. Trap 1 remains a solid structural plus (21.7%), while trap 6 has been the weak spot (13.4%) - unhelpful for whoever ends up there.
T1:21.7% T2:17.2% T3:18.1% T4:20.0% T5:18.1% T6:13.4%
969 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Moanteen Ace | — | — | No data |
2Tommys Target | 50 | 53 | All-Rounder |
3Ballymac Dixie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Tromora Diamond | 55 | 34 | Fader |
5Longacres Boycie | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Swift Wand | 47 | 61 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moanteen Ace | — | — |
| 2 | Tommys Target | 0.600 | 0.605 |
| 3 | Ballymac Dixie | 0.587 | 0.605 |
| 4 | Tromora Diamond | 0.599 | 0.606 |
| 5 | Longacres Boycie | 0.598 | 0.606 |
| 6 | Swift Wand | — | 0.605 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.