| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sparta Kingdomd 2y 7 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 54 | 41 (4) | 66 (3) | 48 (4) | 70 (2) | 35 (6) | 62 (2) | 62 (4) | 79 (1) | 58 (2) | 68 (2) | 52 | 39 | 25 | 24 | 56 | 45 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Darley Pantherd 3y 31 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 12 | 45 | 38 (5) | 55 (6) | 59 (6) | 75 (6) | 82 (3) | 46 (3) | 36 (1) | 41 (2) | 42 (2) | - | 35 | 41 | 13 | 6 | 58 | 17 | 6 | 18/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Swanb 2y 17 | A K Jenkins — 15% R164 W25 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 53 | 66 (2) | 29 (4) | 31 (3) | 66 (2) | 62 (4) | 79 (1) | 62 (3) | 63 (2) | 76 (1) | 74 (3) | 38 | 43 | 45 | 42 | 68 | 57 | 1 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Common Canterd 3y 4 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 69 (2) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 66 (3) | 57 (3) | 58 (3) | 69 (2) | 43 (5) | 66 (3) | 51 (5) | 25 | 19 | 11 | 13 | 61 | 50 | 3 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Portlaoise Jackd 2y 34 | A J Slater — 18% R11 W2 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 42 | 50 (5) | 56 (2) | 60 (3) | 76 (2) | 89 (2) | 85 (2) | 79 (2) | 73 (3) | 67 (1) | - | 11 | 36 | 37 | 29 | 67 | 41 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Bertied 2y 111 | P J Doocey — 17% R150 W26 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 60 | 63 (2) | 53 (4) | 38 (6) | 48 (5) | 63 (2) | 74 (1) | 64 (2) | 55 (4) | 69 (1) | 51 (4) | 30 | 30 | 31 | 33 | 57 | 51 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Kingdom | 28.67 | 29.20 | 29.63 | 43 | +0.96 | Best trap here | |
| 2 | Darley Panther | 29.87 | 29.87 | 29.87 | 12 | 0.00 | Alarmingly slow LTO | |
| 3 | Swift Swan | 28.65 | 28.99 | 29.15 | 58 | +0.50 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Common Canter | 28.85 | 29.21 | 29.25 | 52 | +0.40 | 0 C&D wins from 10 | |
| 5 | Portlaoise Jack | 28.95 | 29.15 | 29.36 | 49 | +0.41 | Form has cooled off | |
| 6 | Longacres Bertie | 28.89 | 29.16 | 29.02 | 53 | +0.13 | Best first bend |
The closing race of the night is an A5 grade over 480 metres, a level where the ratings model needs backing up by raw pace rather than trusted on its own at Monmore. The trap split is fairly flat this season, with trap 1 the mild standout at just over 21% and nothing much separating the rest. Swift Swan tops both the ratings and the clock, a rare case at this grade where the two lead indicators point at the same dog, and she was placed second last time out. Longacres Bertie owns the best first-bend figure in the field and isn't far behind on the numbers. Darley Panther's clock reading from her last outing was alarmingly slow and needs treating with real caution. A workable, if not overwhelming, case for the shortlist.
Tops both the ratings and the clock in this field, a rare alignment at this grade, and she was placed second last time out. Her form has swung around a fair bit across her last six starts, but the peaks have been genuinely high, touching the high 70s, and her most recent run backs up that she's currently in good order. When the top rating and the fastest recorded time point at the same dog, that combination carries real weight.
Second last time out and owns the best first-bend figure of anyone in this field, giving him every chance of being involved from the first stride. He's second only to the selection on both the ratings and the clock, and two wins from ten course and distance runs backs up a solid overall profile. The clear alternative if the selection doesn't have things her own way.
Fourth last time out and drawn in the best-performing box at this grade, but his overall ratings and clock times lag behind the two leaders in this field. One win from ten course and distance runs is a modest record, and there's little in his recent form to suggest he can bridge the gap despite the favourable draw.
Fifth last time out and her most recent recorded time was alarmingly slow, well down on anything else in this field - worth treating with real caution until she shows it was a one-off. Her form further back showed a useful peak in the low-80s, so there's ability there, but on the very latest evidence she's hard to trust tonight.
Second last time out and remarkably consistent across his last six starts, rarely straying from the mid-50s to high-60s. The one query is that none of his ten course and distance runs have produced a win despite the steady overall form, which tempers the case built on raw consistency alone.
Fifth last time out and his form has cooled steadily over his last six starts, dropping from figures in the mid-80s down to the 50s. There's clear evidence he can perform at a much higher level than his latest efforts show, but the trend has been consistently downward rather than a one-off blip, which is a genuine concern.
Key insight: A fairly flat trap split this season, with traps 1 and 6 the mild standouts (around 21%). The fastest dog in the field wins 22.8% of these races, clearly ahead of the top-rated dog on 20.0% - speed is the more useful lean at this grade.
T1:21.2% T2:17.4% T3:17.2% T4:17.5% T5:19.4% T6:21.0%
1,620 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sparta Kingdom | 56 | 32 | Fader |
2Darley Panther | 48 | 25 | All-Rounder |
3Swift Swan | 52 | 59 | Closer |
4Common Canter | 48 | 60 | Closer |
5Portlaoise Jack | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Longacres Bertie | 56 | 41 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sparta Kingdom | — | 0.608 | — |
| 2 | Darley Panther | 0.596 | 0.622 | — |
| 3 | Swift Swan | 0.605 | 0.604 | — |
| 4 | Common Canter | — | 0.609 | — |
| 5 | Portlaoise Jack | — | 0.607 | 0.621 |
| 6 | Longacres Bertie | — | 0.608 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.