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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Skylars Chloeb 1y 18 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 52 (1) | 47 (1) | 32 (1) | 22 (5) | 27 (3) | 27 (2) | 18 (4) | 26 (2) | 33 (3) | - | 29 | 35 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 48 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Moorstown Braed 3y 15 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 38 (6) | 50 (3) | 53 (3) | 54 (3) | 37 (6) | 34 (4) | 39 (5) | 51 (4) | 53 (3) | 53 (3) | 19 | 34 | - | 7 | 46 | 44 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Aero Vigild 1y 16 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 41 | 94 (1) | 45 (2) | 45 (4) | 48 (2) | 58 (2) | 52 (2) | 48 (2) | 46 (4) | 44 (2) | 61 (2) | 19 | 40 | 39 | 42 | 57 | 55 | 1 | 4/7F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Bang On Bonnieb 3y 14 | N J Hunt — 18% R346 W64 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 49 | 38 (5) | 42 (4) | 32 (5) | 47 (1) | 33 (4) | 32 (3) | 27 (5) | 25 (6) | 43 (6) | - | 13 | 22 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 39 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Angleseyparadiseb 2y 9 | N J Hunt — 18% R346 W64 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 33 (5) | 45 (4) | 62 (1) | 36 (5) | 62 (1) | 41 (5) | 50 (6) | 57 (2) | 50 (1) | - | 34 | 41 | 54 | 41 | 47 | 48 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skylars Chloe | 29.41 | 29.56 | 29.41 | 51 | 0.00 | 2 C&D wins from 2 | |
| 2 | Moorstown Brae | 29.28 | 29.55 | 30.18 | 47 | +0.90 | 0 C&D wins from 10 | |
| 4 | Bang On Bonnie | 29.52 | 29.74 | 29.61 | 43 | +0.09 | Worst trap here | |
| 5 | Aero Vigil | 29.22 | 29.44 | 29.08 | 58 | -0.14 | Model pick, LR off-trip | |
| 6 | Angleseyparadise | 29.26 | 29.50 | 30.17 | 49 | +0.91 | Best first-bend figure |
Another A8 grade race, and this is a level where the ratings model has a patchy record at Monmore, so raw speed and trap position need to carry more weight than usual. Trap 4 has been the weak box at this grade, with trap 3 - not represented tonight - usually the strongest. Aero Vigil is clearly the fastest dog in this field on the clock, though her big recent effort came in a marathon race over 630 metres that isn't a fair guide to tonight's shorter trip, and she hasn't yet turned nine course and distance runs into a win. Skylars Chloe is unproven at this exact combination but has won both her starts here and looks to be building form. Angleseyparadise owns the sharpest first-bend figure of anyone in the race. This looks a competitive, hard-to-split affair.
Comfortably the fastest dog in this field on the clock, with the highest overall rating too. Her last start was a win, but it came in a marathon race over 630 metres, a completely different puzzle to tonight's 480, so it shouldn't be read too literally. More of a concern is that none of her nine runs at this exact course and distance have yet produced a win. The raw speed is the clear standout factor here, in a grade where the model itself isn't especially reliable at this track.
Won last time out, albeit at the grade below, and her form has been on an upward curve across her last three starts after a couple of quieter runs earlier in the sequence. Both her starts at this course and distance have produced wins, though that's a small sample to lean on heavily. Stepping up in grade tonight, but the improving trend is hard to ignore.
Sixth last time out in a below-par run, and despite ten starts at this course and distance she's yet to convert any of them into a win. Her overall form has been steady without ever threatening to win, and there's little here to suggest tonight is the night that changes.
Fifth last time out and comfortably the weakest on the ratings in this field, and she's drawn in the trap that has been the clear dead box at this grade all season. A tough combination of modest form and a poor draw makes her hard to fancy tonight.
Fifth last time out but owns the sharpest first-bend figure of anyone in this field, and her form has shown two peaks in the low 60s across her last six starts, albeit with some inconsistency in between. Three wins from ten course and distance runs is a fair record. If the pace up front is contested, her early bend speed could see her involved throughout.
Key insight: This grade has been a weak spot for the ratings model at Monmore - the top-rated dog wins just 20.2%, barely different from the second-rated dog. Trap 4 remains the clear dead box (13.4%), a genuine factor to weigh.
T1:16.2% T2:20.0% T3:25.5% T4:13.4% T5:16.2% T6:16.9%
1,876 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Skylars Chloe | 65 | 28 | Fader |
2Moorstown Brae | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Aero Vigil | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Bang On Bonnie | 42 | 70 | Closer |
6Angleseyparadise | 57 | 35 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 450m | 480m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Skylars Chloe | 0.611 | 0.633 | 0.616 | — |
| 2 | Moorstown Brae | — | — | 0.616 | — |
| 3 | Aero Vigil | — | — | 0.613 | 0.617 |
| 4 | Bang On Bonnie | — | — | 0.620 | — |
| 6 | Angleseyparadise | — | — | 0.615 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.