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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Patokad 3y 16 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 82 (1) | 61 (4) | 54 (5) | 52 (5) | 82 (1) | 50 (5) | 56 (4) | 77 (1) | 58 (4) | 62 (4) | 32 | 28 | - | 31 | 65 | 49 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kilara Kopeckd 2y 19 | N J Hunt — 18% R346 W64 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 55 | 82 (1) | 67 (4) | 69 (3) | 66 (6) | 79 (2) | 82 (2) | 84 (3) | 67 (5) | 71 (2) | 57 (4) | 27 | 27 | - | 49 | 73 | 55 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sugar Kingd 1y 15 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 50 | 50 (5) | 82 (1) | 77 (1) | 71 (1) | 63 (1) | 53 (1) | 45 (2) | 37 (4) | 43 (2) | - | 49 | 59 | - | 59 | 62 | 44 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Good Maverickd 4y 37 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 33 | 65 (3) | 68 (2) | 43 (6) | 71 (3) | 86 (1) | 58 (4) | 61 (3) | 86 (1) | 74 (3) | 66 (3) | 31 | 34 | 25 | 28 | 66 | 49 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Westway Hitmand 1y 12 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 52 | 67 (2) | 79 (1) | 56 (6) | 72 (4) | 57 (1) | 49 (6) | 51 (3) | - | - | - | 19 | 28 | 18 | 31 | 64 | 52 | 3 | 6/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Longacres Arielb 2y 26 | P J Doocey — 17% R150 W26 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 100 (1) | 56 (6) | 60 (4) | 66 (2) | 59 (5) | 70 (4) | 87 (1) | 45 (6) | 45 (5) | 54 (6) | 45 | 40 | 46 | 31 | 68 | 51 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patoka | 28.76 | 29.05 | 28.72 | 50 | -0.04 | 3 C&D wins from 10 | |
| 2 | Kilara Kopeck | 28.70 | 28.86 | 28.40 | 56 | -0.30 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Sugar King | 28.79 | 29.22 | 29.42 | 40 | +0.63 | 5 C&D wins from 9 | |
| 4 | Good Maverick | 28.72 | 28.97 | 29.18 | 50 | +0.46 | Consistent closer | |
| 5 | Westway Hitman | 28.64 | 28.88 | 29.07 | 55 | +0.43 | 2nd on the ratings | |
| 6 | Longacres Ariel | 28.56 | 29.03 | 29.03 | 50 | +0.47 | Best trap, LR off-trip |
Monmore's 480m trip plays fairer than the sprint but trap 6 has quietly been the standout box in this grade this season, winning close to 28% of the time, with the inside trap 1 the weakest on just over 16%. This is a grade where the model earns its keep - the top-rated dog wins over 22% of the time and the fastest dog in the field an even better 25%, so there's real substance behind the numbers tonight. Kilara Kopeck ticks every box: fastest recent time in the race, the top rating, and the best first-bend figure, and her overall form has barely dipped in six starts. Westway Hitman and Longacres Ariel both have claims of their own, but the shape of this race looks set up for Kopeck to lead the market and deliver on it.
The complete package tonight - fastest recorded time in the field by some way, the top rating, and the best first-bend figure of any runner. Her form has barely wavered in six starts, cycling through the 60s to 80s with a win at the grade above last time out. She's also drawn in the second-best box at this trip. When the speed, the ratings and the bend figure all point at the same dog, that's about as strong a case as this grade produces.
Second last time out and second-best in this field on both the ratings and raw speed, with a strong first-bend figure to match. His last two starts have both been to a good standard, and while his box hasn't been a big plus at this grade, he has more than enough pace and form to be the closest thing to a match for the selection if she doesn't have things all her own way.
Won impressively at the grade above last time out, which shows the engine is there, but he's drawn in the weakest box at this grade and trip and steps back up to face better opposition than the one he beat. Three wins from his last ten runs at this course and distance is a solid record, though nothing in this field's speed figures suggests he can match the pace up front tonight.
Fifth last time out and his overall speed figures lag behind this field, but he owns a remarkable course and distance record - five wins from his last nine starts over this exact track and trip, by far the best in the race. That kind of course knowledge counts for something even when the raw numbers look ordinary, and he can't be dismissed purely on recent form.
Third last time out and a strong finisher who does his best work from off the pace, with two wins from ten course and distance runs. His form has been solid rather than spectacular, and his first-bend figure is the weakest of any runner here, meaning he'll need the race to be run at a sensible pace up front to have a chance of getting there in time.
Drawn in the best-performing box at this grade and trip by a distance, winning almost 28% of the time from trap 6. Her last start was a win, but it came over a much longer marathon trip and shouldn't be read too literally as a form guide for tonight's 480 metres - her figures at more suitable distances have been steady without being outstanding. The draw alone gives her some claims.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the clear structural plus at this grade (27.7% from 83 runs), while trap 1 lags at 16.4%. The fastest dog in the field wins 25% of these races - the strongest single factor - and the top-rated dog isn't far behind at 22.3%, making this a grade where both speed and the model carry real weight.
T1:16.4% T2:21.3% T3:20.5% T4:17.0% T5:16.7% T6:27.7%
592 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Patoka | 55 | 36 | Fader |
2Kilara Kopeck | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Sugar King | 55 | 24 | Fader |
4Good Maverick | 45 | 64 | Closer |
5Westway Hitman | 60 | 12 | Fader |
6Longacres Ariel | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 480m | 500m | 575m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Patoka | — | 0.605 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Kilara Kopeck | — | 0.601 | 0.611 | 0.625 | 0.618 |
| 3 | Sugar King | — | 0.609 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Good Maverick | — | 0.604 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Westway Hitman | 0.546 | 0.602 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Longacres Ariel | — | 0.605 | — | — | 0.615 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.