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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Magical Motionb 1y 5 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 53 | 49 (6) | 42 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 46 | 44 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bloos Boy Kerryd 4y 39 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 49 | 48 (2) | 56 (2) | 38 (4) | 52 (2) | 54 (2) | 43 (5) | 49 (3) | 55 (3) | 51 (3) | 61 (2) | 26 | 39 | 26 | 39 | 50 | 54 | 2 | 6/5F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Crafty Technod 2y 14 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 46 | 48 (4) | 45 (4) | 59 (1) | 39 (3) | 47 (2) | 48 (3) | 42 (4) | 28 (2) | 24 (4) | 46 (3) | 44 | 30 | 37 | 21 | 47 | 50 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Jimmytheconmand 1y 1 | D J Page — 22% R117 W26 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 27 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hard Copyd 1y 7 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 55 | 58 (3) | 47 (3) | 49 (2) | 36 (5) | 49 (1) | 34 (4) | 40 (4) | 34 (3) | - | - | 24 | 17 | 11 | 20 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magical Motion | Only two starts on file for this course and distance - a very short formline to judge him on. | — | Only 2 starts | ||||
| 2 | Bloos Boy Kerry | 29.17 | 29.34 | 29.18 | 60 | +0.01 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Crafty Techno | 29.19 | 29.50 | 29.44 | 53 | +0.25 | Best trap here | |
| 4 | Jimmytheconman | No assessable graded form on file, and lands in the weakest trap at this grade. | — | No form, worst trap | ||||
| 6 | Hard Copy | 29.42 | 29.69 | 29.92 | 44 | +0.50 | Best first-bend figure | |
A8 grade is traditionally one of the hardest to call at Monmore - the ratings model has a patchy record at this level here, so raw pace needs to do more of the talking than usual. Trap 3 has been the standout box this season at 25%, with trap 4 the one to avoid on just 13%. Bloos Boy Kerry is the clear leader on the clock, comfortably the fastest recorded time of anyone in this field, and his overall form has been the steadiest in the race too. Crafty Techno holds the best draw and isn't far behind on the figures, so the pair look the two to focus on. Jimmytheconman arrives with no assessable form at all and lands in the worst trap on the track, a tough combination to overcome on debut at this level.
Comfortably the fastest dog in this field on the clock, and his overall form has been the most consistent in the race, rarely dropping outside the high-30s to mid-50s across his last six starts. Second last time out at the grade above, which shows he's competitive at a higher level than tonight's. The one query is that none of his ten runs at this course and distance have yet produced a win, but the raw pace and current form are too strong to ignore.
Drawn in the standout box at this grade and trip, winning a quarter of the time from this trap alone. Fourth last time out but his form has been steady throughout, rarely too far away from the pack. Not quite the pace of the selection but the draw gives him a real chance of being involved right to the finish.
Just two starts on record so there's very little to judge him on, and his trap tonight has been a poor performer at this grade. Sixth last time out having been a bit better the run before, there's not enough evidence here to make a strong case either way, and the shortage of experience is a genuine concern stepping into this company.
No assessable graded form exists for this runner at all, so there's nothing concrete to build a case on. To make matters harder, he's drawn in the weakest trap at this grade, which has produced barely one winner in eight. A genuine unknown facing a real structural disadvantage from the boxes alone.
Third last time out and owns the best first-bend figure of anyone in this field, so he won't be far from the action in the early stages. His overall ratings lag behind the pace-setters here though, and his times have drifted slightly off his best across his last couple of starts. A watching brief if the pace up front turns fast and he can use that early speed to stay involved.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the standout box at this grade (25.5% from 310 runs), trap 4 the weak spot (13.4%). The model is only modestly reliable at this grade at Monmore - the top-rated dog wins just 20.2%, barely ahead of the second-rated dog on 20.0% - so raw speed (21.6% for the fastest dog) is the more useful lean.
T1:16.2% T2:20.0% T3:25.5% T4:13.4% T5:16.2% T6:16.9%
1,876 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Magical Motion | 51 | 43 | All-Rounder |
2Bloos Boy Kerry | 49 | 70 | Closer |
3Crafty Techno | 48 | 57 | Closer |
4Jimmytheconman | — | — | No data |
6Hard Copy | 55 | 24 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magical Motion | — | 0.616 |
| 2 | Bloos Boy Kerry | — | 0.611 |
| 3 | Crafty Techno | 0.613 | 0.615 |
| 4 | Jimmytheconman | — | 0.621 |
| 6 | Hard Copy | — | 0.617 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.