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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pandy Daffyd 3y 15 | C Darch — 22% R365 W79 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 27 | 50 (6) | 45 (4) | 47 (4) | 46 (5) | 68 (1) | 55 (2) | 24 (2) | 50 (4) | 17 (5) | 47 (4) | 27 | 29 | 25 | 23 | 50 | 46 | 3 | 11/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Carrigmore Scottd 1y 11 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 25 | 63 | 46 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 46 | 20 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Pure Panfilad 3y 3 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 47 | 42 (5) | 51 (3) | 69 (1) | 50 (3) | 40 (5) | 54 (5) | 42 (3) | 69 (6) | 19 (1) | - | 27 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 51 | 46 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Breffni Tinab 3y 25 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 51 | 46 (4) | 66 (1) | 56 (3) | 30 (1) | 39 (4) | 16 (5) | 20 (6) | 19 (4) | 20 (5) | 25 (2) | 24 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 52 | 34 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Waittillweseed 3y 18 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 59 | 45 (2) | 48 (2) | 57 (2) | 44 (5) | 35 (5) | 52 (2) | 43 (3) | 54 (2) | 43 (3) | 50 (4) | 9 | 26 | 23 | 28 | 47 | 41 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Affleck Airborneb 3y 16 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 53 | 44 (5) | 47 (3) | 62 (2) | 53 (3) | 49 (5) | 51 (2) | 43 (6) | 70 (1) | 61 (2) | 47 (2) | 33 | 27 | 45 | 32 | 54 | 49 | 2 | 13/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pandy Daffy | 29.20 | 29.52 | 29.68 | 61 | +0.48 | Down from 645m marathon | |
| 2 | Carrigmore Scott | 30.18 | 30.18 | 30.18 | 25 | 0.00 | Only 1 career run | |
| 3 | Pure Panfila | 29.24 | 29.64 | 29.97 | 54 | +0.73 | Steady form | |
| 4 | Breffni Tina | 29.50 | 29.89 | 30.20 | 41 | +0.70 | Weak trap | |
| 5 | Waittillwesee | 29.36 | 29.82 | 30.06 | 47 | +0.70 | Best trap, no C&D wins | |
| 6 | Affleck Airborne | 29.06 | 29.51 | 29.87 | 60 | +0.81 | Model pick, fastest time |
Valley's 460m trip is run on a tight circuit with a short dash to the first bend, and in this A6 sample trap 5 has been the best box at 22.0% with trap 2 the weakest at 15.8%. Affleck Airborne tops the composite rating here and also clocks the fastest recorded time of anyone in the field, a combination that's been solid at this grade (the top-rated dog wins 26.2% at A6). Pandy Daffy has the highest raw speed rating but drops down sharply from a 645m marathon last time out, which makes her formful but a slight unknown over this shorter trip. Carrigmore Scott is fancied by the model but has raced just once in this form and looks far too unproven to trust off a single run.
Tops the composite rating in this field and also clocks the fastest raw recorded time of anyone here - a strong combination of rating and pace. She's a closer with a healthy closing speed ratio of 66, and trap 6 has been one of the better boxes in this A6 sample at 21.2%, just behind the very best. Her course-and-distance win rate is modest at one from ten, but her overall form has been solid and consistent (form of 47,62,53,49,51,43), and the composite plus clock combination gives her the strongest overall case in this field.
Owns the highest raw speed rating in the field, but that comes with a caveat - her last run was over a 645-metre marathon trip, nearly 200 metres further than this, so there's a genuine question over how that pace translates back down to a sharp 460m dash. She's a closer with the best closing speed ratio in the race (100), which suits if the pace up front is strong. One win from seven course-and-distance runs at this trip. The obvious wildcard danger given the raw pace involved.
The model's technical favourite, but he's raced just once in this form with no career history to lean on beyond a single third-place effort, and his suitability scores for class, track and distance all sit at zero. That single run was also the slowest recorded time in this field. Far too little evidence to trust regardless of what the model prefers.
A closer with a share of the second-best composite rating in the field, and two wins from her last nine course-and-distance runs shows she can get the job done at this level. Trap 3 is only moderate here at 16.8%. Steady rather than spectacular, but not without a squeak if the pace sets up for her.
Won at this exact track and trip earlier in the month but has been below that level either side of it, with the second-slowest recorded time in this field. Trap 4 has been one of the weaker boxes in this A6 sample at 16.5%. Capable of a big run but not the most reliable type.
Gets the statistically best box in this A6 sample - trap 5 has won 22.0% here - but despite ten runs at this exact track and trip she's yet to actually win one, with places and minor efforts making up the whole record. She's a fader with decent early speed but weak closing figures. The draw offers hope but the lack of a course-and-distance win is hard to ignore.
Key insight: Trap 5 edges it as the best box at A6 460m (22.0%), with trap 6 close behind (21.2%). The composite's top pick has a healthy edge here (26.2% vs 21.0% for the runner-up).
T1:21.3% T2:15.8% T3:16.8% T4:16.5% T5:22.0% T6:21.2%
989 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Pandy Daffy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Carrigmore Scott | 66 | 0 | Fader |
3Pure Panfila | 49 | 57 | Closer |
4Breffni Tina | 49 | 43 | All-Rounder |
5Waittillwesee | 63 | 26 | Fader |
6Affleck Airborne | 51 | 66 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | 645m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pandy Daffy | 0.656 | 0.642 | 0.661 |
| 2 | Carrigmore Scott | — | 0.656 | — |
| 3 | Pure Panfila | 0.657 | 0.644 | — |
| 4 | Breffni Tina | 0.652 | 0.650 | — |
| 5 | Waittillwesee | — | 0.648 | — |
| 6 | Affleck Airborne | — | 0.643 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.