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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dornochd 1y 27 | F Bryce — 30% R80 W24 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 75 (1) | 53 (4) | 67 (2) | 57 (3) | 76 (1) | 71 (1) | 31 (5) | 32 (1) | 25 (3) | - | 57 | 38 | 27 | 35 | 60 | 45 | 1 | 6/5 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Knockroe Aceb 3y 16 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 40 | 60 (2) | 56 (4) | 47 (3) | 65 (2) | 69 (1) | 58 (2) | 51 (2) | 55 (3) | 20 (5) | 48 (4) | 27 | 30 | 9 | 26 | 57 | 38 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Glory Goodtimed 3y 17 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 51 | 79 (1) | 63 (2) | 53 (5) | 60 (2) | 65 (2) | 50 (5) | 52 (5) | 65 (2) | 63 (4) | 62 (4) | 56 | 43 | 36 | 44 | 63 | 54 | 2 | 11/10F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lynnia Isakd 3y 12 | M J May — 0% R29 W0 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 46 | 34 (2) | 40 (5) | 46 (4) | 67 (2) | 78 (1) | 40 (6) | 35 (4) | 40 (2) | 49 (6) | - | 31 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 51 | 28 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Six By Twod 5y 46 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 64 | 59 (3) | 64 (2) | 58 (3) | 59 (5) | 65 (2) | 80 (1) | 52 (3) | 47 (4) | 62 (3) | 67 (2) | 31 | 24 | 23 | 30 | 62 | 38 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Crokers Graysond 2y 17 | C Darch — 22% R365 W79 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 71 (1) | 49 (5) | 47 (6) | 53 (4) | 69 (2) | 61 (3) | 79 (1) | 56 (3) | 60 (3) | 75 (1) | 29 | 30 | 34 | 34 | 60 | 47 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dornoch | 28.79 | 29.28 | 29.59 | 47 | +0.80 | Best trap in field | |
| 2 | Knockroe Ace | 29.26 | 29.45 | 29.26 | 41 | 0.00 | Weak trap | |
| 3 | Glory Goodtime | 28.82 | 29.07 | 28.90 | 61 | +0.08 | Model pick, top speed | |
| 4 | Lynnia Isak | 29.34 | 29.61 | 29.60 | 32 | +0.26 | Weak trap, weak form | |
| 5 | Six By Two | 28.73 | 29.19 | 29.45 | 52 | +0.72 | Placed last time | |
| 6 | Crokers Grayson | 28.45 | 29.18 | 29.41 | 57 | +0.96 | Won last time out |
Valley's 460m trip is run on a tight circuit with a short run to the first bend, and in this A5 sample trap 1 has been the standout box at 23.7% from 177 runs, with trap 2 (14.3%) and trap 4 (14.4%) the weakest. Glory Goodtime tops both the composite rating and the speed figures - a clean alignment that's been reliable at this grade, where the top-rated dog wins 29.0% of the time. She's a closer who won impressively last time out, and the same running style applies to her main danger, Crokers Grayson, who also scored last time and carries solid course-and-distance form from trap 6. Dornoch gets the best draw of the six but hasn't matched these two on recent figures.
Tops both the composite rating and the speed figures in this field, and she backed that up with an impressive win last time out from trap 3, running the fastest time of anyone in this race in the process. She's a closer with the best closing speed ratio in the field (66), so she wants a true-run race to be produced late in. Course-and-distance form is only one win from ten runs, but the recent trend is sharply upward (form of 79,63,53,60,65,50 - peaking with that big last-time score). The strongest combination of rating and pace in this field.
Won last time out from this exact trap and carries the second-best composite rating and speed figure in the field. Course-and-distance form is solid at three wins from ten runs, and trap 6 has been a genuine plus in this A5 sample at 19.2%. He's a closer with the best closing speed ratio in the race barring the top pick (70), so if the pace up front is strong he has the finish to trouble Glory Goodtime all the way to the line.
Gets the best draw in the field - trap 1 has won 23.7% of A5 races at this trip, clearly the strongest box - and her trainer's 32% strike rate is the best in this race. She's an all-rounder rather than a pure closer, which suits the short run to the first bend here. Form has been steady with a win five weeks back, but she sits behind the top two on both rating and speed. The draw gives her a squeak.
A closer who's been chipping away without winning, one placed effort from her last eight course-and-distance runs. Trap 2 has been the weakest box in this A5 sample at just 14.3%, which compounds a running style that already needs things to fall right at a tight track like this. Low suitability scores across the board don't help her case either.
Sits at the bottom of the ratings here with the slowest recorded time in the field, and her pace figures are erratic - maximum early pace paired with a closing speed ratio of zero suggests a dog who hasn't found a settled running pattern. Trap 4 has been one of the weakest boxes in this grade at 14.4%. No wins from her last three course-and-distance runs. Hard to make a case for her.
Placed last time out and has been racing consistently without quite getting to the front, with one win from ten course-and-distance runs. Trap 5 has been a solid box in this sample at 21.0%, offering some support from the draw. Fades late (closing speed ratio 37) after a fast start, which can work against her if the pace is strong up front. A each-way type rather than a banker.
Key insight: The composite's top pick has a big edge at A5 460m (29.0% vs 17.1% for the runner-up), and here the top-rated dog also owns the fastest recorded speed figure in the field - a clean alignment.
T1:23.7% T2:14.3% T3:18.8% T4:14.4% T5:21.0% T6:19.2%
1,151 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dornoch | 53 | 28 | All-Rounder |
2Knockroe Ace | 35 | 63 | Closer |
3Glory Goodtime | 47 | 66 | Closer |
4Lynnia Isak | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Six By Two | 56 | 37 | Fader |
6Crokers Grayson | 39 | 70 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 460m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (460m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 270m | 460m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dornoch | 0.643 | — | 0.635 | — |
| 2 | Knockroe Ace | 0.647 | — | 0.640 | — |
| 3 | Glory Goodtime | — | — | 0.632 | — |
| 4 | Lynnia Isak | 0.633 | 0.603 | 0.644 | 0.610 |
| 5 | Six By Two | — | — | 0.635 | — |
| 6 | Crokers Grayson | — | — | 0.634 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.