Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crokers Harryd 3y 7 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 33 (2) | 100 (1) | 43 (1) | 44 (1) | 28 (5) | 44 (1) | 43 (1) | 43 (1) | 42 (1) | 88 (2) | 50 | 67 | 71 | 70 | 39 | 45 | 4 | 4/5F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Quivers Blondieb 2y 6 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 53 (5) | 38 (2) | 28 (5) | 37 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 38 | 28 | 18 | 25 | 34 | 34 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cathals Rockd 4y 26 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 38 (5) | 31 (3) | 39 (1) | 26 (5) | 35 (2) | 30 (3) | 33 (2) | 31 (4) | 31 (2) | 30 (4) | 37 | 40 | - | 32 | 32 | 31 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lynnia Isakd 3yN/R 22 | M J May — 0% R29 W0 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 76 | - | 34 (2) | 40 (5) | 46 (4) | 67 (2) | 78 (1) | 40 (6) | 35 (4) | 40 (2) | 49 (6) | - | 31 | 14 | 11 | - | 35 | 19 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Faithb 4y 110 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 42 (1) | 100 (1) | 99 (1) | 32 (4) | 44 (1) | 33 (2) | 30 (5) | 42 (1) | 32 (3) | 35 (2) | 43 | 41 | 42 | 55 | 35 | 35 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Pandy Chrisd 3y 26 | C Darch — 22% R365 W79 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 70 (4) | 67 (3) | 89 (1) | 65 (2) | 44 (1) | 39 (3) | 27 (5) | 32 (6) | 59 (4) | 43 (1) | 39 | 43 | 33 | 37 | 39 | 28 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crokers Harry | 16.00 | 16.21 | 16.43 | 50 | +0.43 | 7 wins from 9 at C&D | |
| 2 | Quivers Blondie | 16.22 | 16.32 | 16.22 | 47 | 0.00 | Weak trap | |
| 3 | Cathals Rock | 16.05 | 16.42 | 16.54 | 43 | +0.49 | Modest form | |
| 4 | Lynnia Isak | Only a single recorded time at this trip and track - treat the headline speed rating with real caution. | — | Unreliable - no C&D form | ||||
| 5 | Hawkfield Faith | 16.05 | 16.40 | 16.58 | 43 | +0.53 | Dropping from OR wins | |
| 6 | Pandy Chris | 15.86 | 16.18 | 15.86 | 61 | 0.00 | Closer - avoid at 260m | |
Valley's 260-metre trip is one of the shortest sprints in the country, run on a tight circuit where there's no time to make up lost ground - the draw and the early pace decide it far more than raw ability. In this D2 sample trap 6 has been the standout box at 26.7%, with trap 1 next best at 20.7% and trap 2 the weakest at 16.2%. Crokers Harry holds the rail in trap 1 and has been simply unstoppable at this exact track and trip, winning seven of his last nine course-and-distance runs. Hawkfield Faith drops sharply in grade after winning twice at Open level and looks the biggest danger, while Pandy Chris - the market's likely favourite - is a confirmed closer, the one pace profile that struggles badly at this trip regardless of how he's rated.
Has been utterly dominant at this exact track and trip - seven wins from his last nine course-and-distance runs, including a run of five wins in six starts through May and June. Every suitability marker is elite: track, class, trap and distance scores all sit in the high 60s to 70s, about as strong a structural profile as this data ever produces. Trap 1 has been the second-best box in this D2 sample at 20.7%, comfortably supporting the pick, and his trainer's 28% strike rate rounds out a complete case. Only a below-par run in a big field last time (second, beaten by a head) interrupts an otherwise perfect recent record.
Drops sharply in grade here after winning back-to-back at Open level, the toughest company on this card - form figures of 100 and 99 in those runs dwarf anything else in this field. She has four wins from ten course-and-distance runs and a trainer strike rate of 28%. Trap 5 is only middling in this sample at 16.4%, but the sheer weight of current form, coming down several grades, makes her the clear threat to the top pick.
Modest form so far with only one win from her last four runs at this track and trip, and trap 2 has been the weakest box in this D2 sample at just 16.2%. Her suitability scores are unremarkable across the board. Needs plenty to go right to trouble the leaders here.
Stepping down from a 460-metre A4 contest last time, having been racing mostly at D3 grade over this sprint trip before that. One win from nine course-and-distance runs and modest performance ratings throughout suggest she's not quite at this level. Trap 3 is moderate here at 18.2%. Others have stronger claims.
The headline speed rating of 76 is the fastest in the field on paper, but it's built from a single recorded run at this track and trip - there's no course-and-distance history to back it up, and her distance suitability score sits at zero. Her pace figures are wildly inconsistent (maximum early pace paired with a closing speed ratio of zero), which points to a dog who hasn't settled into a reliable pattern yet. Trap 4 is only moderate in this D2 sample at 16.8%. Too unproven to trust on a single number.
Likely to be well backed given his strong recent figures and the best trap in the field - trap 6 has won 26.7% of D2 sprints here - but he's a confirmed closer, finishing strongly from off the pace with a closing speed ratio of 72. That's the one pace profile that struggles badly over this trip, where there's no time to make up lost ground once the leaders are clear. His course-and-distance sample is small (two wins from four) and his last run came over the longer 460m trip, adding a distance-change question too. Respect the market position but the pace profile is a real concern.
Key insight: Trap 6 dominates at D2 260m (26.7%), with trap 1 the next best box (20.7%). Speed rank 1 wins 29.6% here, comfortably ahead of composite rank 1 (26.1%) - pace on the clock is the sharper signal at this trip.
T1:20.7% T2:16.2% T3:18.2% T4:16.8% T5:16.4% T6:26.7%
1,305 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 305m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crokers Harry | 0.623 | 0.596 | — |
| 2 | Quivers Blondie | 0.634 | — | — |
| 3 | Cathals Rock | 0.631 | — | 0.647 |
| 5 | Hawkfield Faith | 0.629 | — | — |
| 6 | Pandy Chris | 0.622 | — | 0.632 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.