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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lucky Lucianod 3y 14 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 27 (3) | 33 (2) | 37 (1) | 27 (5) | 31 (2) | 25 (4) | 37 (1) | 33 (1) | 33 (1) | 26 (4) | 29 | 34 | 32 | 50 | 31 | 33 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Reel Berettad 4y 15 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 25 (3) | 28 (4) | 22 (5) | 17 (5) | 27 (6) | 32 (2) | 29 (1) | 27 (2) | 28 (3) | - | 42 | 32 | - | 23 | 25 | 29 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Back Ofthe Netd 2y 2 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 26 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 3 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Only Live Onced 3y 34 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | - | 91 (1) | 70 (2) | 63 (4) | 75 (2) | 69 (3) | 52 (4) | 66 (4) | 43 (2) | 44 (1) | 62 (2) | 31 | 44 | - | 20 | 43 | 13 | 3 | 4/6F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Dark Trooperd 4y 13 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 32 (3) | 22 (5) | 64 (6) | 20 (5) | 31 (3) | 42 (1) | 100 (1) | 39 (1) | 28 (3) | 24 (5) | 12 | 31 | 15 | 25 | 29 | 28 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Spread The Gloryb 3y 16 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 36 (1) | 20 (5) | 56 (6) | 30 (2) | 38 (1) | 30 (2) | 20 (6) | 32 (1) | 25 (4) | 23 (3) | 44 | 37 | 23 | 35 | 27 | 28 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucky Luciano | 16.32 | 16.49 | 16.57 | 51 | +0.25 | 4 wins from 10 at C&D | |
| 2 | Reel Beretta | 16.31 | 16.69 | 16.62 | 47 | +0.31 | Modest form | |
| 3 | Back Ofthe Net | No recorded races - debut runner with nothing to assess. | — | First-time runner | ||||
| 4 | Only Live Once | 16.04 | 16.13 | 16.23 | 68 | +0.19 | Off 4+ months, class drop | |
| 5 | Dark Trooper | 16.09 | 16.59 | 16.53 | 53 | +0.44 | Solid C&D record | |
| 6 | Spread The Glory | 16.26 | 16.71 | 17.09 | 40 | +0.83 | Best trap, weak form | |
Valley's 260-metre trip is one of the shortest sprints in the country, and with the first bend arriving almost immediately there's no time to make up lost ground - trap and early speed decide it more than raw rating. In this D3 sample trap 6 has been the best box at 22.7%, with trap 1 the weakest at 14.9%. Lucky Luciano has been in outstanding recent form with four wins from his last ten runs at this exact trip, but he's drawn in that weak trap 1 today, which tempers the case slightly. Only Live Once carries by far the fastest speed figure and is the market's likely fancy, but she hasn't raced in over four months and is dropping in sharply from a much higher grade over a longer trip - a serious unknown. Back Ofthe Net is a first-time runner with no form to assess at all.
Has been in tremendous recent form at this exact track and trip - four wins from his last ten runs, including a run of consecutive victories through June. His composite rating tops this field and his suitability scores are strong across the board, led by a distance score of 50. The one knock is the draw - trap 1 has been the weakest box in this D3 sample at 14.9% - but the sheer weight of recent winning form makes him the pick even with that against him.
By far the fastest recorded speed rating in this field and likely to be well backed on the back of it, having won an Open-grade race the last time she raced. But that run was over four months ago and came over the longer 460m trip at a much higher level - this is a big step down in distance and grade after a long absence, and her course-and-distance record at this exact trip is just two runs, both from last December. A dangerous unknown rather than a confident selection.
Owns the fastest raw recorded time in the field but hasn't been able to convert that into wins, with just one from ten course-and-distance runs. Trap 2 has been a solid box in this sample at 21.6%, offering some support from the draw. Modest without being hopeless.
A first-time runner with no recorded races to assess - every suitability score sits at zero and there's simply nothing to go on beyond the draw. Trap 3 is only moderate in this D3 sample at 19.0%. Impossible to make a genuine case either way; treat purely as an unknown.
A consistent performer at this trip with three wins from his last ten course-and-distance runs, including a win at Open grade back in May. Trap 5 is only middling in this D3 sample at 16.6%. Not the flashiest profile but has enough proven ability at this exact test to be respected.
Gets the best box in this D3 sample - trap 6 has won 22.7% here - but the form doesn't back it up, with the slowest recorded time in the field and just two wins from ten course-and-distance runs. The draw offers some hope but there's little else to recommend her on current evidence.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the strongest box in this D3 sample at 22.7%, trap 1 the weakest at 14.9%. Speed rank 1 wins 27.8% here, ahead of composite rank 1 (26.0%).
T1:14.9% T2:21.6% T3:19.0% T4:17.3% T5:16.6% T6:22.7%
1,944 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 264m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lucky Luciano | 0.634 | — | — |
| 2 | Reel Beretta | 0.642 | — | — |
| 3 | Back Ofthe Net | 0.645 | — | — |
| 4 | Only Live Once | 0.621 | 0.608 | 0.629 |
| 5 | Dark Trooper | 0.636 | — | — |
| 6 | Spread The Glory | 0.642 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.