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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Hawkfield Ninab 2y 6 | D S Davy — 21% R435 W93 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 24 (2) | 49 (4) | 11 (6) | 19 (3) | 34 (5) | 14 (5) | 24 (6) | 14 (3) | 19 (3) | 25 (1) | 1 | 20 | 19 | 12 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 11/10F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lady Smithb 4y 15 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 12 (5) | 18 (3) | 17 (4) | 15 (6) | 16 (4) | 13 (5) | 20 (2) | 19 (3) | 15 (4) | 14 (4) | - | 12 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Wet Morningd 4y 25 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | - | 15 (6) | 21 (3) | 20 (4) | 19 (4) | 17 (5) | 14 (6) | 22 (3) | 18 (5) | 28 (4) | - | 38 | 29 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 20 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Comer Rangerb 2y 5 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 20 (2) | 18 (3) | 24 (2) | 17 (5) | 21 (3) | 20 (2) | 19 (3) | 16 (5) | 21 (2) | 18 (2) | 27 | 26 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 23 | 1 | 13/8 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Astro Maryb 3y 6 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 19 (4) | 16 (5) | 17 (4) | 15 (5) | 13 (5) | 8 (6) | 16 (5) | 17 (4) | 15 (5) | 12 (5) | 12 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 15 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hawkfield Nina | 17.14 | 17.35 | 17.72 | 44 | +0.58 | Weak trap, fader pattern | |
| 3 | Lady Smith | 17.09 | 17.43 | 17.34 | 49 | +0.25 | 0 wins from 10 | |
| 4 | Wet Morning | 16.56 | 17.15 | 17.35 | 62 | +0.79 | Best trap, fastest time | |
| 5 | Comer Ranger | 16.85 | 17.22 | 17.14 | 60 | +0.29 | Model pick, 0 wins from 10 | |
| 6 | Astro Mary | 17.28 | 17.65 | 17.48 | 39 | +0.20 | Slowest in field |
The last race of the night is the weakest grade on the card, run over the minimal 260m trip where trap and early pace dominate more than anywhere else at this track. In this D6 sample trap 4 has been the best box at 21.6%, with trap 2 the weakest at 13.4%. Wet Morning gets that strong draw and backs it up with the fastest recorded time of anyone in this five-dog field, even though her overall rating sits below the model's favourite. Comer Ranger carries the top composite score and has been remarkably consistent without ever actually winning at this trip - ten runs, ten places, no wins - and is drawn in a below-average box today. This is a field with little quality, so the trap and the clock carry extra weight.
Gets the best box in this D6 sample - trap 4 has won 21.6% here - and clocks the fastest recorded time of anyone in this weak field by a clear margin. Her overall rating sits below the market leader, but at a bottom grade like this one where the composite barely separates the field, the trap and the clock carry more weight than usual. One win from ten course-and-distance runs, but she's rarely far off it. The strongest combination of draw and pace in a field short on genuine quality.
Tops the composite rating and has been remarkably consistent - ten runs at this exact trip and every single one a place, including second last time out - but he's never actually won here. Trap 5 is only moderate in this D6 sample at 15.5%. The consistency makes him a persistent threat even without a course-and-distance win to his name.
A fader with an extreme pattern - maximum early pace paired with a closing speed ratio of zero - which points to a dog that goes fast early and has nothing left late. Trap 2 has been the weakest box in this D6 sample at 13.4%, compounding the concern. One win from seven course-and-distance runs. A tough watch at the shortest trip in the book.
Been racing consistently at this level without ever winning at this exact trip - no victories from ten course-and-distance runs, though rarely too far off the pace. Trap 3 has been a solid box in this D6 sample at 20.1%. A place chance rather than a confident win selection given the grade she's racing at.
Sits at the bottom of this field on every measure - the slowest recorded time and the lowest rating - with no wins from ten course-and-distance runs. Trap 6 is only fair in this D6 sample at 17.5%. Hard to make any case for her on the evidence here.
Key insight: Trap 4 is the best box in this D6 sample at 21.6%. The composite is essentially flat at this bottom grade (R1 and R2 are almost identical), so trap and pace on the clock matter more than the rating.
T1:20.3% T2:13.4% T3:20.1% T4:21.6% T5:15.5% T6:17.5%
937 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Hawkfield Nina | 0.665 | 0.658 |
| 3 | Lady Smith | 0.670 | — |
| 4 | Wet Morning | 0.660 | — |
| 5 | Comer Ranger | 0.662 | — |
| 6 | Astro Mary | 0.677 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.