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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blackhouse Lewid 2y 35 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 54 | 59 (5) | 93 (1) | 57 (5) | 76 (3) | 86 (2) | 75 (2) | 57 (6) | 80 (6) | 65 (3) | - | 37 | 52 | 37 | 30 | 72 | 50 | 1 | 5/6F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Senahel Jetd 2y 16 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 57 | 90 (1) | 65 (3) | 77 (2) | 54 (4) | 61 (5) | 87 (2) | 87 (1) | 74 (3) | 69 (3) | 48 (4) | 38 | 17 | 12 | 35 | 73 | 56 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Slingshot Majord 2y 17 | B Fairbairn — 32% R78 W25 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 52 (6) | 58 (5) | 88 (1) | 66 (4) | 64 (4) | 88 (1) | 58 (5) | 71 (3) | 75 (2) | 62 (3) | 38 | 40 | 10 | 25 | 67 | 49 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Slingshot Blued 2y 27 | B Fairbairn — 32% R78 W25 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 45 | 75 (2) | 50 (5) | 89 (1) | 63 (3) | 77 (2) | 72 (3) | 66 (3) | 71 (3) | 68 (4) | 59 (3) | 28 | 26 | 20 | 31 | 70 | 34 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Winhaw Tamd 2y 27 | B Fairbairn — 32% R78 W25 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 50 | 48 (6) | 62 (5) | 90 (1) | 90 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 50 | - | 31 | 69 | 44 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Senahel Jet | 28.62 | 29.13 | 28.62 | 58 | 0.00 | ||
| 1 | Blackhouse Lewi | 28.68 | 28.91 | 29.09 | 55 | +0.41 | ||
| 4 | Slingshot Blue | 28.75 | 29.08 | 28.94 | 53 | +0.19 | ||
| 3 | Slingshot Major | 28.82 | 29.10 | 29.24 | 47 | +0.42 | ||
| 5 | Winhaw Tam | 28.99 | 29.24 | 29.32 | 40 | +0.33 |
Newcastle 480 metres at A1 grade — the top graded level below open racing. From 864 runs, trap 6 is the best-performing box at 24.3 per cent and trap 1 is the weakest at 16.7 per cent. Speed rank 1 wins 26.8 per cent — a strong signal at this grade. Unusually, composite rank 2 outperforms rank 1 at 24.0 per cent versus 21.1 per cent, suggesting the second-best rated dog can often surprise. Senahel Jet has the best speed rating in the field and won last at A2 grade, putting him in top form for this level. Slingshot Blue is the consistent threat from a good draw. Winhaw Tam is the intriguing outsider — he ran earlier tonight in the A4 grade and now steps up massively to A1, an unusually bold move that signals real belief from the kennel. The pace should be moderate with no dog showing genuinely sharp early speed.
Has the best speed rating in the field at 58, which is a meaningful edge when speed rank 1 wins 26.8 per cent of A1 races at Newcastle. Won last time at A2 grade with a 90-rated performance — winning at a higher grade and dropping back to A1 is the strongest possible form indicator. The average performance of 75 is decent and recent form of 90, 71, 81, 86, 73, 49 shows good consistency with that one dip to 49 the only real concern. Tends to come from behind and the long Newcastle straight suits his finishing style. Drawn in trap 2 which is the second-best draw at A1 here. Course and distance form is limited to one win from two runs. Trainer Heilbron at 26 per cent. The combination of best speed, form at a higher grade, and a good draw makes him the pick.
The most consistent dog in the field — recent form of 70, 76, 77, 77, 64, 74 shows barely any variation, and that level of reliability at A1 grade is valuable. Performance average of 73 matches the field average. Has the sharpest early pace in the field and tends to lead to the first bend, though can weaken in the closing stages. Speed rating of 54 is the second-best in the field, close to the pick. Won one of four course and distance starts with three places — always competitive. Drawn in trap 4 which is reasonable. Trainer Fairbairn at 32 per cent is the best strike rate in the field. The consistency, good trainer, and front-running style make him the main threat.
Has a decent performance average of 74 with a peak of 82 showing solid A1 ability. Drawn in the worst trap at A1 Newcastle, with trap 1 winning 16.7 per cent — not catastrophic like OR1 but still a disadvantage. Won one of two course and distance starts. Tends to come from behind with moderate early pace. Speed rating of 34 is the lowest in the field by some distance, which is a real concern — in a grade where speed rank 1 wins 26.8 per cent of races, being the slowest dog is a significant handicap. Trainer Johnson at 24 per cent. Will need everything to fall perfectly and would need the front runners to stop to have a chance.
Has a solid performance average of 73 and a peak of 85 showing A1 capability. Won one of two course and distance starts. Recent form of 68, 52, 73, 82, 85, 62 shows improvement over the last three runs which is a positive sign. Tends to come from behind with virtually no early pace. Speed rating of 40 is modest. Drawn in trap 3 which is neutral at A1 Newcastle. Trainer Heilbron at 26 per cent — same trainer as the pick. The upward form trajectory is encouraging but the lack of early pace means he will need everything to fall right on the long straight.
The most intriguing runner on the card tonight — he ran earlier in Race 2 at A4 grade and now steps up three grades to A1, which is an extraordinary jump. His performance average of 73 is competitive at A1 level and peaks of 84 and 83 show he has the ability. Speed rating of 44 is mid-field. However, the step up from A4 to A1 is massive — the pace will be significantly faster and the quality of opposition immeasurably higher. Won one of two course and distance starts at this grade. Tends to come from behind. Trainer Flaherty at 22 per cent. If his earlier race has sharpened him up rather than tired him out, the form figures say he can compete at this level. But running twice in one evening is demanding.
Drawn in the best trap at A1 Newcastle, with trap 6 winning 24.3 per cent — a significant structural advantage. Has a decent performance average of 73 with a peak of 87. Won two of four course and distance starts. Tends to come from behind with moderate early pace. Speed rating of 46 is mid-field. Recent form of 73, 38, 87, 74, 61, 67 is inconsistent — the 38 and 61 are genuine poor runs. Trainer Gaskin at 26 per cent. The best draw is a genuine advantage but the inconsistency makes him unreliable. He is the type to run a big race one day and disappoint the next.
Key insight: T6 best at 24.3% from 103 runs. T1 weakest at 16.7%. Speed R1 wins 26.8% — a strong signal at A1 grade. 864 runs gives solid sample size.
T1:16.7% T2:18.9% T3:18.5% T4:19.3% T5:23.3% T6:24.3%
864 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Blackhouse Lewi | 54 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Senahel Jet | 51 | 45 | All-Rounder |
3Slingshot Major | 48 | 54 | All-Rounder |
4Slingshot Blue | 45 | 64 | Closer |
5Winhaw Tam | 50 | 38 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.