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The Time Greyhound Nutrition Northern Flat - Semi Final Two
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grouchos Cossied 2y 27 | D Henry — 23% R90 W21 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 83 | 83 | 84 (2) | 70 (1) | 66 (5) | 91 (1) | 64 (1) | 64 (1) | 63 (1) | 57 (2) | 38 (6) | 40 (6) | 52 | 18 | 32 | 40 | 69 | 62 | 2 | 13/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kellies Emeraldd 2y 13 | J Gray — 21% R203 W42 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 43 | 80 (3) | 92 (1) | 94 (1) | 38 (5) | 63 (1) | 70 (3) | 58 (5) | 91 (1) | 71 (4) | 94 (1) | 44 | 25 | 20 | 24 | 76 | 48 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Bookemd 3y 8 | T C Heilbron — 17% R234 W39 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 70 | 95 (1) | 93 (1) | 93 (1) | 55 (5) | 63 (6) | 72 (4) | 91 (1) | 89 (1) | 78 (2) | 75 (2) | 50 | 75 | 34 | 76 | 82 | 70 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Deerjet Rocketd 2y 26 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 47 | 96 (1) | 71 (3) | 89 (1) | 92 (1) | 73 (2) | 66 (3) | 57 (5) | 90 (1) | 57 (5) | 63 (5) | 17 | 30 | 21 | 17 | 79 | 52 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Slingshot Louied 2y 17 | B Fairbairn — 32% R78 W25 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 39 | 92 (1) | 51 (5) | 45 (3) | 77 (3) | 59 (5) | 94 (1) | 71 (3) | 78 (2) | 87 (1) | 69 (3) | 30 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 71 | 48 | 5 | 33/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Linkd 2y 16 | T C Heilbron — 17% R234 W39 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 53 | 94 (1) | 93 (1) | 36 (6) | 40 (4) | 63 (4) | 56 (5) | 54 (4) | 50 (5) | 72 (2) | 72 (4) | 31 | 38 | 28 | 44 | 66 | 48 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grouchos Cossie | 27.39 | 27.95 | 28.50 | 83 | +1.11 | ||
| 3 | Droopys Bookem | 28.04 | 28.53 | 28.47 | 63 | +0.43 | ||
| 4 | Deerjet Rocket | 28.34 | 28.80 | 28.34 | 55 | 0.00 | ||
| 5 | Slingshot Louie | 28.53 | 28.92 | 28.81 | 43 | +0.28 | ||
| 6 | Droopys Link | 28.58 | 28.96 | 28.58 | 45 | 0.00 | ||
| 2 | Kellies Emerald | 28.77 | 28.85 | 28.92 | 39 | +0.15 |
Newcastle 480 metres at OR1 grade — the top open-race level. Trap 2 is the best-performing box at 20.8 per cent from 24 runs, while trap 1 is catastrophically poor at just 6.7 per cent. The condition data is small at 157 runs and the predictive metrics are unusually flat, making this genuinely competitive racing. Droopys Bookem has an extraordinary course and distance record and should be the one to beat. Grouchos Cossie has the fastest time by a huge margin but is drawn in the worst trap. Deerjet Rocket won last impressively and has sharp early pace to lead from trap 4. The pace should be strong with Deerjet Rocket, Kellies Emerald and Slingshot Louie all showing early speed, which could set it up for the closer Droopys Bookem to come through late on the long straight.
Has the most extraordinary course and distance record on the entire card — five wins and seven places from seven runs at Newcastle over 480 metres. That is a 71 per cent win rate and a perfect 100 per cent place rate. He has never been out of the first two here. Won last time at OR1 with a 95-rated performance, and recent form reads 95, 93, 93, 55, 63 — three of his last five rated above 90 at this level. The speed rating of 63 is the second-best in the field. Tends to come from behind and the long Newcastle straight is ideal for his style. The suitability scores are the highest in the field across track, distance and trap. Trainer Heilbron at 26 per cent. When a dog has never finished outside the first two at a course and distance, that is the strongest possible evidence. He is the pick.
Won last time at OR1 with an outstanding 96-rated performance and has sharp early pace that should see him lead from trap 4. Recent form reads 96, 71, 89, 92, 73, 66 — three of his last six rated above 89, showing he can produce at this level. Speed rating of 55 is the third-best in the field. Course and distance form of one win from two runs. Trainer Gaskin at 26 per cent. He is the likeliest to make the running and if the closers are slow to engage, he could dictate from the front. The only dog with the pace and recent form to genuinely threaten the pick.
The fastest dog in the field by a massive margin — his best time of 27.39 is over half a second quicker than anyone else, and the speed rating of 83 dwarfs the next best at 63. However, he is drawn in trap 1 which is the worst possible draw at OR1 Newcastle, winning just 6.7 per cent from 30 runs. He has devastating early pace and should lead to the first bend, but the rail position at this grade is a graveyard historically. Only one course and distance run to his name. The form is volatile — 84, 70, 66, 91, 64, 64. When he fires, he is exceptional, but he can equally run a flat race. The speed is breathtaking but the draw may kill his chances before the race begins.
Drawn in the best trap at OR1 Newcastle, with trap 2 winning 20.8 per cent. Has genuine peaks of 92 and 94 in recent form, showing she can produce a top-class run when things fall right. Won one of her two course and distance starts. However, the form is inconsistent — 80, 92, 94, 38, 63, 70 — and she tends to weaken in the closing stages. Speed rating of 39 is one of the lowest in the field, which is a concern against faster rivals. The best draw is a structural advantage but the speed numbers don't match the front runners here.
Won last time at OR1 with a 92-rated performance which was a career-best in recent races. However, that followed runs of 51 and 45, so the form is wildly inconsistent. Course and distance form is solid with three wins from nine runs at Newcastle over 480 metres. Trainer Fairbairn at 32 per cent is the joint-best strike rate in the field. Tends to come from behind with moderate early pace. The inconsistency is the issue — on his day he can win at this level, but you never know which version will turn up. Drawn in trap 5 which is reasonable at 18.2 per cent.
Won last time at OR1 with a strong 94-rated performance, but that came after runs of 93, 36, 40, 63, 56 — two truly terrible efforts mixed in. Course and distance form of two wins from five runs is decent. Tends to come from behind with moderate early pace. Drawn in trap 6 which wins just 7.1 per cent at OR1 here — a structural disadvantage. Trainer Heilbron at 26 per cent. The last two runs were outstanding but the volatile form and worst draw make him a risky proposition. He is the pick's kennelmate — both trained by Heilbron — and the trainer may have one eye on the other dog.
Key insight: T2 best at 20.8% from 24 runs. T1 weakest at 6.7%. Only 157 runs - small sample, results are volatile.
T1:6.7% T2:20.8% T3:16.7% T4:13.8% T5:18.2% T6:7.1%
157 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Grouchos Cossie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Kellies Emerald | 58 | 14 | Fader |
3Droopys Bookem | 0 | 86 | Closer |
4Deerjet Rocket | 93 | 0 | Fader |
5Slingshot Louie | 42 | 100 | Closer |
6Droopys Link | 37 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 480m | 483m | 500m | 525m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grouchos Cossie | — | 0.582 | — | 0.583 | 0.547 | — |
| 2 | Kellies Emerald | — | 0.601 | — | 0.596 | — | — |
| 3 | Droopys Bookem | — | 0.594 | — | 0.590 | — | 0.615 |
| 4 | Deerjet Rocket | 0.618 | 0.600 | 0.612 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Slingshot Louie | 0.616 | 0.603 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Droopys Link | 0.618 | 0.603 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.