Loading...
The Time Greyhound Nutrition Northern Flat - Semi Final One
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Good Teddyd 2y 13 | S G Tighe — 24% R46 W11 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 22 | 71 (3) | 71 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 71 | 40 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Sargied 3y 14 | T C Heilbron — 17% R234 W39 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 72 | 70 (3) | 41 (6) | 86 (2) | 83 (2) | 100 (2) | 73 (4) | 79 (3) | 82 (2) | 87 (3) | 80 (3) | 27 | 50 | 20 | 23 | 75 | 56 | 4 | 25/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Buddyd 2y 33 | E Soppitt — 33% R24 W8 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 72 (2) | 41 (5) | 66 (4) | 63 (1) | 95 (1) | 38 (6) | 66 (4) | 51 (2) | 63 (1) | 55 (5) | 54 | 48 | 37 | 50 | 62 | 47 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ The Other Kodid 2y 18 | B Denby — 23% R256 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 81 | 86 (2) | 83 (1) | 89 (1) | 91 (1) | 86 (1) | 86 (1) | 51 (5) | 73 (2) | 59 (5) | 92 (1) | 32 | 18 | 31 | 77 | 82 | 57 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Woltemaded 2y 10 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 73 | 56 | 97 (1) | 95 (1) | 79 (3) | 95 (1) | 67 (3) | 72 (2) | 96 (1) | 80 (2) | 94 (1) | - | 40 | 69 | 60 | 72 | 87 | 73 | 1 | 4/9F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mossend Bruted 2y 15 | S Roberts — 16% R178 W29 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 52 | 79 (3) | 72 (3) | 30 (6) | 57 (4) | 92 (1) | 77 (2) | 89 (1) | 63 (5) | 92 (1) | 79 (4) | 40 | 34 | 12 | 32 | 70 | 50 | 5 | 11/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Woltemade | 28.13 | 28.40 | 28.13 | 73 | 0.00 | ||
| 2 | Ballymac Sargie | 28.34 | 28.58 | 28.82 | 55 | +0.48 | ||
| 6 | Mossend Brute | 28.36 | 28.83 | 29.01 | 47 | +0.65 | ||
| 4 | The Other Kodi | 28.39 | 28.82 | 28.82 | 50 | +0.43 | ||
| 3 | Ballymac Buddy | 28.60 | 28.91 | 28.60 | 48 | 0.00 | ||
| 1 | Good Teddy | 28.96 | 28.96 | 28.96 | 36 | 0.00 |
Newcastle 480 metres is a fair galloping test with a lengthy home straight. At OR1 grade — the top level of open racing — the condition data from 157 runs reveals some unusual patterns. Trap 2 is the best-performing box at 20.8 per cent while trap 1 is catastrophically poor at just 6.7 per cent. The composite and speed rankings are unusually weak as predictors at this level, with the top-ranked dog winning only 10-14 per cent of races — this is genuinely competitive, high-class racing where the margins are thin. Woltemade is head and shoulders above these on form and course knowledge. He has won five of his last eight races here and his speed rating towers over the field. The Other Kodi is remarkably consistent with six of his last seven runs rated above 83 and should lead early with his sharp pace. Ballymac Sargie has genuine class but needs the race to unfold in his favour from the rail.
The dominant force in this race and arguably the best dog on the entire Newcastle card tonight. Performance average of 87 is the highest in the field by a clear margin, and recent form of 97, 95, 79, 95, 67, 72 shows he is capable of outstanding performances at this level. The speed rating of 73 is the best in the field by 18 points — a massive gap. His best time of 28.13 is the fastest on the card. Course and distance form is exceptional — five wins from eight runs at Newcastle over 480 metres, a 62.5 per cent strike rate that is almost unheard of. Drawn in trap 5 which wins 18.2 per cent at OR1, a reasonable position. He has decent early pace and although he tends to weaken slightly in the closing stages, the quality gap over this field means even a moderate fade should not be enough for anyone to catch him. Trainer Fenwick at 20 per cent. This is the best bet on the card.
Remarkably consistent — six of his last seven runs have been rated between 83 and 91, with only one dip to 86 which is still an excellent performance. That level of consistency at open-race grade is unusual and valuable. He has the sharpest early pace in the field and the best first-bend rating, which means he should lead through the first turn from trap 4. The concern is that he tends to weaken in the closing stages, and on Newcastle's long home straight the strong finishers may catch him. Speed rating of 50 is moderate compared to the pick. Course and distance form is limited to one run where he placed. Trainer Denby at 24 per cent. He is the most likely to make the running and if the closers are slow to engage, he could steal it.
Has raced only twice in his career, finishing third on both occasions at open-race level. A performance average of 71 from two runs is impossible to judge — it could be his true level or early-career noise. Drawn in trap 1 which is the worst draw at OR1 Newcastle by a wide margin, winning just 6.7 per cent from 30 runs. Tends to come from behind with virtually no early pace, which makes the worst trap even more problematic. Trainer Tighe at 24 per cent. With just two runs and the worst draw, there is simply not enough evidence to back him here. One to watch and assess rather than support.
Drawn in the best trap at OR1 Newcastle, with trap 2 winning 20.8 per cent. Has genuine open-race pedigree with peaks of 100, 86 and 83 in recent form, showing top-class ability when conditions suit. Tends to come from behind and the long straight helps. However, last run was a disappointing 70 at OR1 finishing third, and the run before that was a poor 41. The form is volatile — when he fires, he is exceptional, but he can equally produce a below-par effort. Speed rating of 55 is decent and the best time of 28.34 is competitive. Trainer Heilbron at 26 per cent. The best draw is a genuine structural advantage but the inconsistency makes him hard to rely on against a dominant rival.
Has a peak of 95 from five runs ago which shows real ability, but recent form of 72, 41, 66, 63 is well below that level. The 41-rated run shows he can have a truly off day. Course and distance form of two runs with one place. Tends to come from behind with moderate early pace. Trainer Soppitt operates at an impressive 36 per cent strike rate — the best in the field — which suggests the dog is well looked after and likely ready to run. Speed rating of 48 is below the top dogs. A trainer angle rather than a form angle — the 36 per cent strike rate means you cannot dismiss him entirely, but the recent form does not inspire confidence against this calibre of opposition.
Has decent course and distance form with three wins from eight runs at Newcastle over 480 metres. The sharpest early pace in the field alongside The Other Kodi, but tends to weaken in the closing stages. Recent form of 79, 72, 30, 57, 92, 77 is wildly inconsistent — the 30-rated run three ago shows he can have a terrible day. Speed rating of 47 is moderate. Drawn in trap 6 which wins just 7.1 per cent at OR1 here — the second-worst draw. Trainer Roberts at 12 per cent is below average. Has the pace to be involved early but the combination of worst draw, inconsistent form, and a weak trainer makes him hard to fancy against the top two.
Key insight: T2 best at 20.8% from 24 runs. T1 weakest at 6.7%. Only 157 runs - small sample, results are volatile.
T1:6.7% T2:20.8% T3:16.7% T4:13.8% T5:18.2% T6:7.1%
157 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Good Teddy | 2 | 100 | Closer |
2Ballymac Sargie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Ballymac Buddy | 39 | 80 | Closer |
4The Other Kodi | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Woltemade | 61 | 20 | Fader |
6Mossend Brute | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 450m | 460m | 480m | 500m | 590m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Good Teddy | — | — | — | 0.603 | 0.610 | — | — |
| 2 | Ballymac Sargie | — | — | — | 0.595 | — | 0.623 | 0.627 |
| 3 | Ballymac Buddy | — | 0.610 | — | 0.602 | 0.585 | — | — |
| 4 | The Other Kodi | — | — | — | 0.600 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Woltemade | — | — | — | 0.592 | 0.584 | — | — |
| 6 | Mossend Brute | 0.590 | — | 0.592 | 0.601 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.