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Arena Racing Company Angel of The North - Semi Final One
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Newline Kieltyb 2y 38 | D Golightly — 40% R10 W4 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 69 | 91 (1) | 94 (1) | 92 (1) | 80 (2) | 75 (3) | 53 (5) | 71 (3) | 62 (3) | 78 (4) | 61 (1) | 24 | 30 | 20 | 30 | 81 | 53 | 2 | 11/8 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fabulous Showb 2y 18 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 71 (2) | 91 (1) | 91 (1) | 88 (1) | 75 (2) | 86 (1) | 73 (1) | 60 (3) | 55 (6) | 89 (1) | 73 | 75 | 32 | 78 | 80 | 64 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fabulous Leonab 2y 26 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 39 | 64 (3) | 81 (1) | 60 (4) | 78 (1) | 75 (1) | 60 (3) | 78 (1) | 51 (3) | 75 (1) | 66 (2) | 2 | 39 | - | 55 | 69 | 43 | 4 | 33/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Witton Guccib 2y 13 | G A Foot — 23% R262 W60 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 45 | 66 (3) | 65 (3) | 83 (4) | 90 (2) | 79 (4) | 73 (5) | 89 (3) | 72 (1) | 75 (6) | 83 (2) | 41 | 52 | - | - | 76 | 51 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Untold Ariaryb 2y 28 | D W Lee — 25% R233 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 55 | 92 (1) | 75 (4) | 88 (3) | 62 (4) | 100 (1) | 57 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 80 (4) | 59 | 56 | 26 | 56 | 84 | 64 | 1 | 4/5F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Untold Ariary | 28.61 | 28.61 | 28.61 | 65 | 0.00 | ||
| 2 | Newline Kielty | 28.73 | 28.73 | 28.73 | 59 | 0.00 | ||
| 3 | Fabulous Show | 28.79 | 29.01 | 28.91 | 50 | +0.12 | ||
| 4 | Fabulous Leona | 29.03 | 29.17 | 29.03 | 41 | 0.00 | ||
| 5 | Witton Gucci | 29.09 | 29.09 | 29.09 | 41 | 0.00 |
Newcastle 480 metres is a fair galloping test with a long home straight that gives late runners every chance. At OR2 grade from 202 runs, trap 3 has been the best-performing box at 23.1 per cent while trap 6 is the weakest at just 12.1 per cent — and the track profile confirms trap 6 should be penalised here. The fastest dog wins nearly 30 per cent of OR2 races, making speed the overwhelming factor. This is a fascinating tactical race with two last-time-out winners taking very different approaches. Untold Ariary is the fastest and highest-rated dog in the field but drawn in the worst trap. Fabulous Show has an extraordinary course and distance record and the best draw. Newline Kielty has the sharpest early pace and a trainer in top form. The key question is whether Untold Ariary's quality can overcome the trap disadvantage.
The highest-rated dog in the field with a performance average of 84 and the best speed rating at 65 — nine points clear of the second-fastest. Won last time at OR2 with a commanding 92-rated performance and her best time of 28.61 is the fastest in the race by a significant margin. Recent form reads 92, 75, 88, 62, 100, 57 — peaks of 100 and 92 show top-class ability. The one significant concern is trap 6, which is the worst-performing draw at OR2 Newcastle over 480 metres, winning just 12.1 per cent of races. The track profile explicitly says to penalise trap 6 here. However, she tends to come from behind and the long Newcastle straight gives closers every chance. The quality gap between her and the rest may be big enough to overcome the draw disadvantage.
An extraordinary course and distance record — six wins and eight places from ten runs at Newcastle over 480 metres. That is a 60 per cent win rate and 80 per cent place rate, numbers that are almost unheard of. Drawn in the best trap at OR2 here, with trap 3 winning 23.1 per cent. The recent form of 71 and 91 at OR2 shows she is competitive at this level right now, and she has been placed in her last two runs. She tends to weaken slightly in the closing stages but at this track she seems to find a way. The suitability scores are the highest in the field across track, distance and trap. The sheer weight of her course and distance record makes her a very serious threat, even to a faster dog.
Won last time at OR2 with an impressive 91-rated performance and has the sharpest early pace in the field — she will blaze a trail through the first bend. Trainer Golightly operates at a 31 per cent strike rate which is one of the best on the card. The concern is sustainability — she tends to weaken in the closing stages, and at 480 metres on a galloping track there is enough ground for stronger finishers to reel her in. Course and distance form is limited to just one run, which was a win. Speed rating of 59 is the second-best in the field. A serious contender but vulnerable to the closers in the home straight.
Has a strong course and distance record with five wins from nine runs, which is a 56 per cent strike rate — only just behind her kennelmate Fabulous Show. Last run was a modest 64 at OR2 but she was still placed third. Versatile running style. The concern is that the speed rating of 41 is the joint-lowest in the field, and at OR2 grade the faster dogs tend to dominate. Her best days may be behind her at this level, though the track knowledge and ability to find a place should not be underestimated. Likely to pick up prize money rather than win outright.
Tends to come from behind and posted a decent 66 last time at OR2. Has peaks of 91 and 83 earlier in her form, showing genuine open-race ability on her day. However, the distance suitability of zero flags a concern — the API suggests she has not raced at this specific distance often enough to have established form. Speed rating of 41 is joint-lowest in the field. Only one course and distance run to date. She can produce a big performance but there is not enough evidence to back her with confidence against more proven runners.
Key insight: T3 best at 23.1% from 39. T6 weakest at 12.1%.
T1:15.2% T2:17.6% T3:23.1% T4:15.6% T5:12.9% T6:12.1%
202 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Newline Kielty | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Fabulous Show | 63 | 23 | Fader |
4Fabulous Leona | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Witton Gucci | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Untold Ariary | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 435m | 450m | 480m | 575m | 590m | 640m | 661m | 890m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Newline Kielty | 0.625 | 0.616 | 0.616 | 0.599 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Fabulous Show | — | — | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Fabulous Leona | — | — | — | 0.612 | — | — | 0.620 | — | — |
| 5 | Witton Gucci | — | — | 0.614 | 0.606 | — | — | 0.628 | 0.633 | 0.673 |
| 6 | Untold Ariary | — | — | — | 0.596 | 0.622 | 0.622 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.