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#Lovethedogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Howay The Lassesb 2y 26 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 55 (4) | 61 (3) | 48 (5) | 81 (1) | 58 (4) | 68 (3) | 50 (5) | 65 (3) | 72 (2) | 47 (4) | 36 | 35 | 27 | 20 | 60 | 43 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Slingshot Forthd 1y 15 | B Fairbairn — 32% R78 W25 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 49 | 43 (5) | 48 (4) | 77 (1) | 60 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 18 | - | 16 | 55 | 36 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Croia Agus Gwenb 2y 27 | C L Hardy — 19% R236 W45 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 45 | 77 (1) | 70 (2) | 68 (2) | 57 (4) | 60 (3) | 76 (1) | 78 (1) | 60 (2) | 65 (2) | 52 (5) | 22 | 49 | - | 55 | 68 | 51 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Slingshot Dib 3y 8 | B Fairbairn — 32% R78 W25 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 74 | 51 (5) | 51 (4) | 91 (1) | 77 (1) | 46 (4) | 38 (5) | 77 (1) | 62 (2) | 53 (4) | 66 (2) | 36 | 43 | 17 | 37 | 61 | 47 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tammy The Bestb 2y 26 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 41 | 59 (4) | 60 (2) | 100 (2) | 82 (1) | 66 (2) | 63 (3) | 80 (5) | 100 (1) | 76 (5) | 82 (4) | 43 | 57 | 71 | 50 | 74 | 56 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Indelible Markb 1y 9 | C L Hardy — 19% R236 W45 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 64 | 62 (3) | 53 (5) | 68 (3) | 61 (4) | 59 (4) | 63 (4) | 64 (3) | 47 (5) | 74 (2) | 78 (1) | 17 | 18 | - | 11 | 62 | 50 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Indelible Mark | 28.98 | 29.25 | 29.33 | 57 | +0.35 | ||
| 4 | Slingshot Di | 29.05 | 29.54 | 29.70 | 45 | +0.65 | ||
| 5 | Tammy The Best | 29.09 | 29.26 | 29.26 | 57 | +0.17 | ||
| 1 | Howay The Lasses | 29.13 | 29.50 | 29.55 | 47 | +0.42 | ||
| 3 | Croia Agus Gwen | 29.18 | 29.40 | 29.18 | 54 | 0.00 | ||
| 2 | Slingshot Forth | 29.26 | 29.62 | 30.10 | 35 | +0.84 |
Newcastle 480 metres at A3 grade — solid middle-tier racing. From 1948 runs, trap 3 is the best-performing box at 21.3 per cent and trap 6 is the worst at just 15.0 per cent. Speed rank 1 wins 23.3 per cent — a decent signal. Composite rank 1 wins only 17.8 per cent — weaker than expected, suggesting this grade is genuinely competitive and hard to pick. Tammy The Best drops from OR2 with the joint-best speed rating but her recent form is patchy. Croia Agus Gwen is drawn in the best trap with improving form. This looks like the hardest race on the card to call — no dominant force and several dogs with legitimate claims. The pace should be moderate with Tammy The Best and Slingshot Pam the likeliest front runners.
Drops from OR2 grade which is a significant advantage — she has been competing against much better opposition and the step down to A3 should make the quality gap more manageable. Has the joint-best speed rating in the field at 57, shared with Croia Agus Gwen. Performance average of 74 is the highest in the field. Tends to show early pace and can race prominently. However, recent form of 56, 73, 69, 79, 68, 63 is patchy — no run above 79 and three below 70. Course and distance form is limited to three runs with one win. Drawn in trap 5 which is reasonable at A3. Trainer Roberts at 12 per cent is well below average — the weakest in the field. The class drop and speed are positives but the inconsistent recent form and poor trainer make this a marginal pick at best.
Drawn in the best trap at A3 Newcastle, with trap 3 winning 21.3 per cent — a meaningful structural advantage. Performance average of 72 is competitive and recent form shows improvement with 76 and 81 in her last two runs. Speed rating of 57 is the joint-best in the field alongside the pick. Won two of three course and distance starts — an outstanding 66.7 per cent win rate. Tends to come from behind and the long straight suits her finishing style. Trainer Denby at 24 per cent. The combination of best draw, improving form, and an excellent course and distance record makes her the main danger.
Has a performance average of 66 with a peak of 82. Drawn in the worst trap area at A3 Newcastle — trap 1 wins 15.5 per cent. Tends to come from behind with very little early pace. Speed rating of 34 is moderate. Course and distance form of two wins from six runs shows he can win here. Recent form of 82, 72, 56, 73, 56, 74 is mixed. Trainer Gaskin at 26 per cent. Has the ability to be involved but the draw and lack of early pace are against him. A minor place chance at best.
Has sharp early pace and tends to lead to the first bend from trap 2, which is a reasonable draw at A3. Performance average of 71 with a peak of 85 shows solid ability. Won three of seven course and distance starts — a good record. Recent form of 67, 85, 77, 72, 82, 66 is decent with a couple of strong performances mixed in. Speed rating of 49 is moderate. Tends to weaken in the closing stages which is a concern on the long Newcastle straight. Trainer Fairbairn at 32 per cent is the best strike rate in the field. Has the pace to lead but may not sustain it.
Has a performance average of 68 with a peak of 80. Won one of four course and distance starts. Recent form of 75, 64, 64, 80, 68, 60 is inconsistent. Tends to come from behind with virtually no early pace — the lack of early speed means he is entirely dependent on what happens in front of him. Speed rating of 36 is below average. Drawn in trap 4 which is neutral at A3. Trainer Soppitt at 36 per cent has the best overall strike rate in the race, which is noteworthy. The trainer angle is the main positive but the form and speed figures are against him.
Drawn in the worst trap at A3 Newcastle, with trap 6 winning just 15.0 per cent. Has a performance average of 67 with a peak of 79 — competitive but not outstanding. Won one of three course and distance starts. Recent form of 47, 69, 47, 79, 76, 72 is volatile — two runs at 47 show he can have genuinely poor days. Speed rating of 44 is below the top dogs. Tends to come from behind. Trainer Jackson at 14 per cent. The worst draw and inconsistent form make him hard to fancy.
Key insight: T3 best at 21.3% from 347 runs. T6 weakest at 15.0%. Speed R1 wins 23.3%. Composite R1 only 17.8% — weaker than expected. 1948 runs gives large, reliable sample.
T1:21.0% T2:16.5% T3:21.3% T4:20.9% T5:15.2% T6:15.0%
1,948 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Howay The Lasses | 49 | 55 | Closer |
2Slingshot Forth | 51 | 45 | All-Rounder |
3Croia Agus Gwen | 46 | 65 | Closer |
4Slingshot Di | 72 | 0 | Fader |
5Tammy The Best | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Indelible Mark | 61 | 41 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Howay The Lasses | 0.615 | — |
| 2 | Slingshot Forth | 0.617 | — |
| 3 | Croia Agus Gwen | 0.615 | — |
| 4 | Slingshot Di | 0.616 | — |
| 5 | Tammy The Best | 0.610 | 0.623 |
| 6 | Indelible Mark | 0.609 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.