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Arena Racing Company Summer Dash - Heat Two
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Links Jesterd 2y 24 | T C Heilbron — 17% R234 W39 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 24 | 73 (3) | 70 (1) | 62 (2) | 70 (4) | 45 (6) | 53 (5) | 77 (3) | 91 (1) | 96 (1) | 52 (2) | 38 | 20 | - | - | 68 | 40 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fabulous Requestb 3y 24 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 100 | 39 (5) | 49 (5) | 76 (1) | 37 (5) | 73 (1) | 61 (3) | 68 (2) | 67 (2) | 64 (4) | 58 (3) | 18 | 28 | - | 9 | 56 | 31 | 5 | 40/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Slingshot Gazzad 3y 56 | B Fairbairn — 32% R78 W25 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 98 | 100 | 36 (6) | 74 (3) | 72 (4) | 49 (3) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 92 (2) | 72 (3) | 100 (1) | 91 (2) | 61 | 45 | 34 | 43 | 72 | 41 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Romeo Vegad 2y 24 | T C Heilbron — 17% R234 W39 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 76 (2) | 63 (2) | 51 (5) | 91 (1) | 63 (4) | 46 (1) | 47 (1) | 32 (3) | 48 (1) | 46 (1) | 24 | - | 26 | - | 69 | 41 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Little Pretenderd 2y 44 | T C Heilbron — 17% R234 W39 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 48 | 70 (4) | 41 (6) | 67 (5) | 74 (5) | 82 (3) | 80 (3) | 100 (4) | 57 (1) | 69 (5) | - | 30 | 18 | - | - | 69 | 44 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Pressure Tied 1y 3 | N Brown — 20% R5 W1 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 0 | 62 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 62 | 38 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Slingshot Gazza | 16.65 | 16.87 | 16.74 | 98 | +0.09 | ||
| 1 | Links Jester | No 290m form | — | No form at distance | ||||
| 2 | Fabulous Request | No 290m form | — | No form at distance | ||||
| 6 | Pressure Tie | No 290m form | — | No form at distance | ||||
| 4 | Romeo Vega | No 290m form | — | No form at distance | ||||
| 5 | Little Pretender | No 290m form | — | No form at distance | ||||
Another sprint over 290 metres at Newcastle where early pace and raw speed are the deciding factors — closers cannot recover lost ground at this trip. The condition data is limited at 39 runs, but trap 1 and trap 5 share the best win rate at 28.6 per cent while trap 3 has not produced a winner from six runs — though that sample is tiny. The fastest dog wins 30 per cent of races here. Slingshot Gazza has by far the fastest time in the field and outstanding course and distance form, but she has not raced since early April — over three months ago. If she brings her best, she wins this comfortably. The question is whether the long absence has taken the edge off. Romeo Vega and Links Jester both had recent races at OR3 261 metres and should be match-fit.
The fastest dog in the field by a country mile — a speed rating of 98 and a best time of 16.65 are both in a completely different league to the opposition. Course and distance form is outstanding with two wins and four places from six runs, a 33 per cent win rate and 67 per cent place rate. The only concern is a long absence — she has not raced since early April, over three months ago, and her last run was a disappointing 36 at OR1 over 480 metres. But that was at the wrong distance against the best dogs in the region. At 290 metres, where her speed rating tells the story, she is a class apart. Trainer Fairbairn operates at 32 per cent and is unlikely to bring her back for a run she cannot win. If she is anywhere near match-fit, this is hers to lose.
Ran respectably last time at OR3 over 261 metres with a rating of 76, finishing second. Versatile running style gives him tactical flexibility. No form at Newcastle over 290 metres specifically, but has recent sprint experience at 261 metres which is relevant. Peak of 91 four runs ago shows genuine ability when things fall right, though that was over a different distance. Speed rating of 49 is middling but the sprint form is recent, which gives him an edge over dogs returning from layoffs or switching distances. Drawn in trap 4 which wins 20 per cent here from a small sample. The most likely to be competitive if the selection misfires.
Ran respectably last time at OR3 over 261 metres with a rating of 73, finishing third. The second-best speed rating in the field at 66 confirms decent raw pace. However, he tends to come from behind with very low early pace, which is a poor profile at a sprint distance. Drawn in the joint-best trap at 28.6 per cent, but a closer from trap 1 needs the leaders to stop in front of him. No course and distance form at Newcastle over 290 metres. The speed is there but the running style works against him at this trip. Would need the front runners to fade badly.
Has been running exclusively at A4 over 480 metres and now tries a completely different test at 290 metres. No course or distance form at this trip. She does have sharp early pace and handles the first bend well, which is at least the right profile for a sprint. But the form at 480 metres has been poor recently — 39, 49, 76, 37, 73 — and stepping up in grade from A4 to OR3 open racing is a significant ask on top of the distance switch. Speed rating of 43 is based on the longer trip and is not directly comparable. Too many unknowns.
Ran last time at OR3 over 261 metres with a rating of 70, finishing fourth. Best sprint form came earlier with peaks of 82 and 80 at open-race level, but recent performances have dropped. Speed rating of 38 is the third-lowest in the field. No form at Newcastle over 290 metres. Drawn in the joint-best trap at 28.6 per cent which is a structural positive. Trainer Heilbron at 26 per cent. She has a run under her belt recently which helps, but the speed numbers don't compare to the pick and the form has been declining. Needs significant improvement to feature.
Has had just one graded race — a 62-rated performance at open-race level over 435 metres where she finished sixth. That is the sum total of the evidence to assess her on. She is essentially unproven in competitive racing. Tends to come from behind with very little early pace, which is a losing profile at a sprint distance. No course or distance form at any level. Speed rating of 52 is decent but comes from just one data point. With so little to go on and the wrong running style for a sprint, she is a speculative proposition at best.
Key insight: Trap 1 best at 28.6% from 7 runs. Trap 3 weakest at 0.0%.
T1:28.6% T2:14.3% T3:0.0% T4:20.0% T5:28.6% T6:14.3%
39 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 290m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (290m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 261m | 270m | 280m | 290m | 400m | 435m | 450m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Links Jester | — | 0.618 | — | 0.578 | — | — | 0.602 | 0.618 | — |
| 2 | Fabulous Request | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.616 |
| 3 | Slingshot Gazza | — | 0.590 | — | — | 0.585 | 0.603 | — | — | 0.604 |
| 4 | Romeo Vega | — | 0.608 | 0.594 | — | — | — | — | 0.617 | — |
| 5 | Little Pretender | 0.603 | 0.620 | — | — | — | — | — | 0.621 | — |
| 6 | Pressure Tie | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.611 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.