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Arena Racing Company Angel of The North - Semi Final Two
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Proper Rockettb 3y 4 | S Roberts — 16% R178 W29 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 43 | 73 (2) | 65 (2) | 46 (4) | 49 (3) | 54 (6) | 81 (3) | 78 (1) | 67 (1) | 66 (1) | 54 (4) | 24 | 40 | 18 | 40 | 63 | 49 | 2 | 20/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bluebell Teddyb 3y 16 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 90 (1) | 72 (2) | 74 (2) | 71 (2) | 87 (1) | 60 (5) | 66 (4) | 82 (1) | 68 (3) | 66 (3) | 32 | 35 | 30 | 48 | 76 | 55 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Camillab 4y 24 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 43 | 75 (2) | 74 (3) | 61 (4) | 56 (4) | 76 (4) | 62 (4) | 52 (6) | 69 (3) | 55 (5) | 89 (1) | 31 | 27 | 18 | 18 | 67 | 47 | 5 | 25/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Slingshot Poppyb 2y 18 | B Fairbairn — 32% R78 W25 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 87 | 95 | 95 (1) | 67 (1) | 100 (6) | 94 (1) | 92 (1) | 100 (1) | 61 (1) | 58 (5) | 97 (4) | - | 61 | 53 | 71 | 35 | 86 | 75 | 1 | 1/20F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fabulous Kirab 2y 24 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 48 | 72 (3) | 70 (2) | 61 (4) | 69 (3) | 63 (3) | 60 (4) | 66 (2) | 68 (3) | 74 (1) | 56 (5) | 16 | 33 | 20 | 26 | 67 | 44 | 6 | 33/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fabulous Harmonyb 3y 17 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 53 | 64 (2) | 71 (2) | 81 (1) | 68 (2) | 68 (3) | 56 (2) | 42 (6) | 72 (3) | 61 (4) | 64 (5) | 40 | 40 | 15 | 48 | 66 | 50 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Slingshot Poppy | 28.13 | 28.46 | 28.13 | 87 | 0.00 | ||
| 3 | Ballymac Camilla | 28.74 | 29.17 | 29.33 | 46 | +0.59 | ||
| 6 | Fabulous Harmony | 28.86 | 29.19 | 29.11 | 47 | +0.25 | ||
| 2 | Bluebell Teddy | 28.87 | 29.08 | 28.92 | 52 | +0.05 | ||
| 1 | Proper Rockett | 28.96 | 29.08 | 28.96 | 50 | 0.00 | ||
| 5 | Fabulous Kira | 29.02 | 29.23 | 29.02 | 45 | 0.00 |
Newcastle 480 metres is a fair galloping track with a lengthy home straight. At OR2 grade, trap 3 is the best-performing box at 23.1 per cent from 39 runs, while trap 6 is the weakest at 12.1 per cent. The fastest dog wins nearly 30 per cent of races at this grade. This race has a clear standout. Slingshot Poppy is in a different league to her rivals on every measure — the fastest time, the highest performance average, the best speed rating, and the sharpest early pace. She should lead from trap 4 and the question is not whether she wins, but by how much. Bluebell Teddy is the most likely to fill the places after winning last time, while Fabulous Harmony and Fabulous Kira are consistent without being spectacular.
Simply outstanding. The fastest dog in the field by a country mile with a speed rating of 87 — the next best is 52. Her best time of 28.13 is nearly three-quarters of a second faster than anyone else in the race, which is an enormous margin at this level. Won last time at OR2 with a 95-rated performance and her recent form reads 95, 67, 100, 94, 92, 100 — four of her last six runs have been rated above 90. She has the sharpest early pace in the field and will lead from trap 4. Trainer Fairbairn operates at a 32 per cent strike rate and would not be running her at this level unless he expected a win. She tends to weaken in the closing stages, but when a dog is this far ahead of the field on raw ability, the fade is unlikely to be enough for anyone to catch her. She may simply be too good for these.
Won last time at OR2 with a commanding 90-rated performance — the second-best recent run in the field behind only the pick. Versatile runner who can race prominently or come from off the pace. Course and distance form is strong with three wins and six places from ten runs, which is an impressive 60 per cent place rate. Trainer Fenwick at 20 per cent. The speed rating of 52 is solid and the best time of 28.87 is competitive. Has been running consistently at A2 level before stepping up to open racing. The most likely to follow the pick home.
Finished second last time at OR2 with a 73-rated performance, which was an improvement on several poor runs before that. Tends to come from behind and the long straight gives her a chance, but the form is wildly inconsistent — 73, 65, 46, 49, 54, 81. She can produce a big run but you never know which version turns up. Course and distance form is limited to two runs with one win. Trainer Roberts at 12 per cent is below average. Likely to be outclassed by the top dog in this field but could pick up a place if others falter.
Has been running respectably at OR2 and A2 level with recent form of 75, 74, 61, 56, 76. Tends to come from behind and the long straight helps. Drawn in the best trap at OR2 here, with trap 3 winning 23.1 per cent, which is a structural positive. Course and distance form shows just one win from nine runs, which is modest. The best time of 28.74 is competitive but she has not been close to that recently. A solid performer who will likely run her race but is outclassed by the top two on recent evidence.
Consistent mid-range performer at OR2 and A3 level with recent form of 72, 70, 61, 69, 63, 60 — always competitive but rarely winning. Course and distance form shows just one win from ten runs, though she has placed three times. Speed rating of 45 is moderate and well behind the leaders. Versatile running style but lacks the gear change to trouble the better dogs in this field. Drawn in trap 5 which wins 12.9 per cent at OR2 here — one of the weaker positions. Will likely run her race without threatening the principals.
Finished second last time at OR2 with a 64-rated performance — respectable but well below the best in this field. Has a peak of 81 three runs ago showing some ability but the form has dipped since. Course and distance form shows one win and five places from ten runs, which is a 50 per cent place rate — she rarely runs a bad race but rarely wins either. Drawn in the worst trap at OR2 Newcastle, with trap 6 winning just 12.1 per cent. The running style involves showing early pace that weakens late on, which on a galloping track means the strong finishers are likely to catch her. Hard to see her winning from this draw against this field.
Key insight: T3 best at 23.1% from 39. T6 weakest at 12.1%.
T1:15.2% T2:17.6% T3:23.1% T4:15.6% T5:12.9% T6:12.1%
202 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Proper Rockett | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Bluebell Teddy | 52 | 49 | All-Rounder |
3Ballymac Camilla | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Slingshot Poppy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Fabulous Kira | 48 | 51 | All-Rounder |
6Fabulous Harmony | 55 | 33 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 290m | 400m | 450m | 480m | 500m | 550m | 590m | 640m | 730m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Proper Rockett | — | — | — | — | 0.606 | 0.590 | 0.566 | 0.641 | 0.626 | 0.563 |
| 2 | Bluebell Teddy | — | — | — | — | 0.606 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Ballymac Camilla | — | — | — | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | 0.624 | — |
| 4 | Slingshot Poppy | 0.561 | 0.575 | 0.598 | 0.596 | 0.593 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Fabulous Kira | — | — | — | — | 0.611 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Fabulous Harmony | — | — | — | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.