Valley Maiden Standard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Baggios Rahab 2yN/R 24 | F Bryce — 30% R80 W24 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 60 (3) | 72 (3) | 81 (1) | 56 (4) | 67 (3) | 56 (4) | 75 (1) | 61 (5) | 61 (3) | 63 (5) | 18 | 25 | - | - | 68 | 35 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Wings Of Warb 3y 14 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 39 (2) | 29 (5) | 32 (4) | 78 (3) | 96 (4) | 29 (2) | 69 (3) | 65 (4) | 45 (4) | - | 22 | 45 | - | 22 | 34 | 13 | 1 | 1/2F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cailin Saoirseb 4y 14 | J A Danahar — 18% R332 W61 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 22 (5) | 33 (1) | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | 25 (3) | 24 (2) | 52 (4) | 63 (2) | 64 (2) | 54 (2) | 22 | 29 | 23 | 41 | 27 | 25 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Hoffad 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 25 (5) | 27 (3) | 29 (2) | 30 (3) | 28 (4) | 28 (3) | 30 (3) | 27 (3) | 23 (5) | 34 (1) | 18 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cross Keys Seshd 3y 4 | A L Jeffery — 19% R347 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 20 (5) | 36 (1) | 32 (1) | 30 (1) | 22 (4) | 23 (3) | 17 (5) | 22 (4) | 18 (6) | 30 (1) | 28 | 29 | 23 | 48 | 27 | 29 | 3 | 12/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rapido Firminod 4y 15 | A N J Morgan — 15% R1224 W188 P639 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 27 (3) | 33 (1) | 23 (6) | 22 (6) | 26 (5) | 40 (1) | 23 (6) | 29 (3) | 19 (6) | 25 (5) | 43 | 21 | 11 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baggios Raha | Recent form is all from 460m at a much higher grade - no recorded time at this trip. | — | No 260m form | ||||
| 2 | Wings Of War | 16.25 | 16.48 | 16.45 | 53 | +0.20 | Off since April | |
| 3 | Cailin Saoirse | 16.46 | 16.63 | 16.46 | 46 | 0.00 | Front Runner, won LTO | |
| 4 | Hawkfield Hoffa | 16.19 | 16.58 | 16.58 | 50 | +0.39 | Consistent, no wins | |
| 5 | Cross Keys Sesh | 16.55 | 16.81 | 16.55 | 41 | 0.00 | 40% C&D win rate | |
| 6 | Rapido Firmino | 15.93 | 16.62 | 16.40 | 56 | +0.47 | Best trap, fastest time | |
Valley's 260-metre trip is one of the shortest sprints in the country, and with no time to make up lost ground once the leaders clear the first bend, the composite ratings matter far less here than trap and pace - the top-rated dog wins only around a quarter of the time at this trip. In this D3 sample trap 6 has been the best box at 22.7%, with trap 1 the weakest at 14.9%. Rapido Firmino gets that strong outside draw and backs it up with the fastest recorded time in the field and a win last time out. Cailin Saoirse is a confirmed front-runner who also scored last time and looks the biggest threat from trap 3, while Cross Keys Sesh brings arguably the strongest course-and-distance record of anyone here. Baggios Raha drops in from much tougher 460m company with no recorded form at this trip and looks the one to leave out.
Gets the best box in the field - trap 6 has won 22.7% of D3 sprints at this trip - and backs it up with the fastest recorded time of anyone in this race. She won last time out from D4 grade, continuing a pattern of racing well up through the levels this summer, and has picked up two wins from her last ten course-and-distance runs. The combination of the strongest trap and the sharpest figures on the clock is exactly what this short, tight trip rewards.
A confirmed front-runner with the ideal pace profile for this trip - quick to the bend and rarely headed once there, with a paceConsistency figure of 94 showing she does it every time. She won last time out from D4 grade and her form has been building nicely (form of 33,27,25,25,24,52 - all solid figures at this level). Trap 3 is only moderate in this D3 sample (19.0%), but the running style is exactly what this short trip rewards.
Drops in from much tougher 460m company at a higher grade, and there's no recorded time or course-and-distance form at all over this 260m trip - both her class and distance suitability scores sit at zero. Trap 1 has also been the weakest box in this D3 sample at 14.9%. Too big an unknown to trust in a sprint this specialised.
Hasn't raced since mid-April - a three-month absence that raises obvious fitness questions regardless of what she showed before the break. Trap 2 is a decent box in this D3 sample at 21.6%, and her course-and-distance record shows she can compete at this level, but coming back after such a long layoff is a genuine unknown. Watch the market for a guide.
Extremely consistent without ever quite winning - placed in the middle of the pack in nine of his last ten course-and-distance runs, but only a single victory to show for it. Trap 4 is only fair here at 17.3%. Looks the type more likely to fill a place than win.
Boasts arguably the strongest course-and-distance record in the field - four wins from her last ten runs at this trip, including victories at three different grades on the way up to this level, and she won last time out too. Trap 5 is only middling in this sample at 16.6%, which is the one knock against an otherwise compelling profile. If the draw doesn't cost her too much ground, she looks capable of following up.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the strongest box in this D3 sample at 22.7%. Speed rank 1 wins 27.8% here, edging out composite rank 1 (26.0%) - pace on the clock is the sharper tool at this trip.
T1:14.9% T2:21.6% T3:19.0% T4:17.3% T5:16.6% T6:22.7%
1,944 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 260m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (260m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wings Of War | 0.634 | — |
| 3 | Cailin Saoirse | 0.642 | 0.638 |
| 4 | Hawkfield Hoffa | 0.637 | — |
| 5 | Cross Keys Sesh | 0.647 | — |
| 6 | Rapido Firmino | 0.638 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.