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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Elderberry Rolod 2y 5 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 36 (2) | 34 (4) | 41 (1) | 35 (4) | 41 (1) | 33 (4) | 30 (5) | 37 (1) | 35 (1) | 28 (4) | 38 | 35 | 44 | 45 | 36 | 44 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Highfived 3y 23 | N J Hunt — 18% R346 W64 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 72 (3) | 81 (3) | 33 (4) | 46 (5) | 78 (1) | 28 (4) | 41 (1) | 36 (2) | 47 (4) | 74 (2) | 13 | 27 | 44 | 24 | 34 | 34 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Aero Walshd 3y 15 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 62 (2) | 36 (2) | 34 (3) | 36 (2) | 22 (6) | 40 (1) | 27 (6) | 37 (2) | 30 (5) | 40 (1) | 36 | 28 | 34 | 36 | 33 | 42 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Millview Magsb 1y 3 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 36 (3) | 69 (5) | 40 (2) | 32 (3) | 33 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 36 | 44 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Getup Me Avab 2y 5 | N J Hunt — 18% R346 W64 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 29 (4) | 65 (3) | 22 (6) | 36 (6) | 62 (5) | 31 (3) | 47 (4) | 43 (5) | 37 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 27 | 31 | 3 | 10/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Dynamic Brideb 3y 5 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 33 (2) | 36 (5) | 33 (2) | 29 (4) | 39 (5) | 33 (2) | 42 (4) | 27 (1) | 36 (6) | - | 44 | 38 | 44 | 31 | 34 | 44 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elderberry Rolo | 15.68 | 15.80 | 15.80 | 49 | +0.12 | 4 C&D wins from 9 | |
| 2 | Droopys Highfive | 15.62 | 15.73 | 15.67 | 52 | +0.05 | Dropping in from open class | |
| 3 | Aero Walsh | 15.57 | 15.88 | 15.84 | 47 | +0.27 | Consistent minor placer | |
| 4 | Millview Mags | 15.50 | 15.71 | 15.81 | 53 | +0.31 | Worst trap here | |
| 5 | Getup Me Ava | 15.79 | 15.98 | 16.03 | 40 | +0.24 | No track experience | |
| 6 | Dynamic Bride | 15.58 | 15.77 | 15.86 | 50 | +0.28 | Very consistent |
Monmore's 264-metre sprint is all about getting into the first bend cleanly, and the trap draw tells the story - trap 1 has been the best box in this grade all season on nearly 21%, while trap 4 has been a near-death draw at just 12%. That's a real problem for Millview Mags, who matches the best rating in the race but comes from the worst box on the track. Elderberry Rolo, by contrast, sits in the prime trap and has a superb record over this course and distance. Droopys Highfive brings the sharpest recorded early speed of anyone here and is dropping down sharply in company, so she can't be ignored if she reproduces anything like her open-company pace. This looks a tactical, bunched sprint where the draw could easily decide it.
Drawn in the best-performing box at this grade and trip, and his course and distance record backs it up in a big way - four wins from his last nine starts over this exact track and trip, easily the best in the field. Placed second last time out and his form has been admirably consistent, rarely straying outside the mid-30s rating. In a sprint where the draw carries real weight, starting from the prime box with this level of course knowledge gives him the strongest all-round case.
Third last time out but that run came in open company over 400 metres, a completely different puzzle to tonight's sprint drop - her figures need reading in that context. What stands out is her raw early speed, the sharpest in this field by a distance, and the fastest recorded time here too. If she reproduces anything like that pace from a good box she'll be very hard to pass, though her results have been volatile and she doesn't always land the finish her speed promises.
Placed second last time out and has been a model of consistency without quite getting his head in front, with two course and distance wins from ten starts here. His trap tonight is right in the middle of the pack for this grade, and there's little in his recent figures to suggest he can find the extra yard needed to trouble the front two.
Matches the best rating in the field and owns the fastest raw times of anyone in this race, third last time out having led into the straight. The problem is the draw - trap 4 has been close to a dead box at this grade and trip all season, winning barely one in eight. Talented on the clock but needs to overcome a genuine structural disadvantage from the very first stride.
Fourth last time out and comfortably the weakest on both the ratings and the clock in this field, with no course or distance experience to fall back on either. There's little in her recent form to suggest she can trouble this group, and she looks the one with the fewest obvious claims tonight.
Second last time out and matches the joint-best rating in the field, with admirably steady form clustered tightly in the low-30s across her last six starts. Her course and distance record is modest at just one win from ten, and trap 6 hasn't been a standout box at this trip, but her sheer reliability means she'll be competitive again without necessarily doing enough to win.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the clear structural plus at this grade and trip (20.9% from 158 runs), while trap 4 has been a genuine dead box at just 12.2% - one of the worst trap splits on the whole card. The top-rated dog wins 21.9% here, roughly matching the fastest dog in the field (21.6%), so neither factor dominates on its own.
T1:20.9% T2:20.3% T3:18.2% T4:12.2% T5:16.3% T6:18.8%
885 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 305m | 400m | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elderberry Rolo | 0.599 | — | — | 0.621 | — |
| 2 | Droopys Highfive | 0.596 | 0.597 | 0.610 | 0.612 | — |
| 3 | Aero Walsh | 0.601 | — | — | 0.602 | — |
| 4 | Millview Mags | 0.597 | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Getup Me Ava | 0.605 | — | 0.616 | 0.614 | 0.574 |
| 6 | Dynamic Bride | 0.597 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.