Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Heres Buddyd 3y 13 | A J Slater — 18% R11 W2 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 66 | 64 (4) | 86 (1) | 81 (1) | 64 (2) | 59 (4) | 67 (2) | 42 (1) | 55 (6) | 78 (5) | - | 46 | 49 | 45 | 43 | 70 | 52 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Joes Luckd 2yREP 18 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 48 | 32 (4) | 82 (1) | 60 (4) | 54 (4) | 34 (3) | 57 (3) | 68 (4) | 56 (5) | 49 (5) | 46 (5) | 41 | 33 | 30 | 28 | 62 | 51 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Youngsterd 3y 16 | A K Jenkins — 15% R164 W25 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 29 | 86 (1) | 81 (2) | 65 (3) | 65 (2) | 78 (4) | 79 (2) | 89 (4) | 88 (2) | 85 (3) | - | 46 | 34 | 54 | 50 | 79 | 59 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hitit Agendavyd 2y 6 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 53 (5) | 33 (5) | 87 (1) | 58 (6) | 52 (4) | 59 (5) | 45 (5) | 87 (6) | 63 (1) | - | 21 | 38 | 40 | 24 | 63 | 49 | 5 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Longacres Daddyd 2yN/R 25 | P J Doocey — 17% R150 W26 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 78 | 94 (2) | 58 (5) | 56 (5) | 67 (1) | 90 (4) | 76 (4) | 70 (3) | 71 (2) | - | - | 60 | 47 | 30 | 35 | 73 | 49 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Expectedd 3y 17 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 54 | 45 (6) | 89 (1) | 87 (1) | 64 (4) | 51 (6) | 69 (3) | 43 (5) | 64 (3) | 63 (4) | 68 (4) | 44 | 48 | 30 | 31 | 65 | 49 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heres Buddy | 28.70 | 28.94 | 29.08 | 49 | +0.38 | Strong first bend | |
| 2 | Countess Penny | 28.60 | 28.77 | 28.97 | 57 | +0.37 | 3 C&D wins from 7 | |
| 3 | Swift Youngster | 28.58 | 28.81 | 28.68 | 58 | +0.10 | Model pick, won LTO | |
| 4 | Hitit Agendavy | 28.61 | 28.96 | 29.17 | 49 | +0.56 | Ran in open class LTO | |
| 5 | Longacres Daddy | 28.81 | 29.02 | 29.14 | 45 | +0.33 | Best first bend, LR off-trip | |
| 6 | Droopys Expected | 28.60 | 28.96 | 29.35 | 46 | +0.75 | Best trap here |
A quality A2 field over the 480m trip, where trap 6 has been the outstanding box this season at almost 28%, with the inside trap 1 the weakest on just over 16%. Swift Youngster stands out well clear of this field on both the ratings and the clock, and he arrives off a win at this same grade last time out with genuinely outstanding recent form. He tends to do his best work from off the pace, so he'll want a strong gallop up front to chase down, but the sheer weight of superior recent form means the running style is a secondary concern. Countess Penny is the closest thing to a match on paper, while Droopys Expected holds the plum draw despite more modest figures. This looks Swift Youngster's race to lose.
Won last time out at this same grade and stands out a distance clear of this field on both the ratings and the clock - his recent form has been outstanding, cycling through the mid-60s to mid-80s without a genuinely poor run. He does his best work from off the pace rather than making the running, so he'll want the race run at a decent gallop up front, but the sheer scale of his form advantage means that's a secondary concern here. When a dog is this far ahead of the opposition on recent evidence, the pace profile takes a back seat.
Fifth last time out, though that run came at a different track over a slightly longer trip, so it's not the cleanest guide to tonight. Her course and distance record here at Monmore is excellent - three wins from seven starts - and she's second only to the selection on both the ratings and the clock. A genuine each-way threat if the selection doesn't have things all her own way.
Fourth last time out at the grade above, and he owns a strong first-bend figure that should see him involved in the early exchanges. Two wins from eight course and distance runs is a fair record, and his overall form has been solid across six starts. His trap tonight has been the weakest at this grade this season, which is the main thing counting against him.
Fifth last time out, but that run came in open company at the grade above, a much tougher test than tonight's. His overall form has been solid and consistent, and two wins from nine course and distance runs shows he handles the conditions. A fair yardstick without an obvious way past the top two in this field.
Second last time out, though that run came over a considerably longer marathon trip and isn't directly comparable to tonight's 480 metres. He owns by far the best first-bend figure in this field, which at least gets him into the race early, but his overall speed figures lag behind the pace-setters and his pace pattern has been inconsistent.
Sixth last time out at the grade above, but he's shown he can hit a much higher gear before - two figures in the high 80s appear a handful of runs back, even if his last two starts have been quieter. Drawn in the best-performing box at this grade by some distance, which gives him more of a chance than his recent form alone would suggest.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the clear structural plus at this grade (27.7% from 83 runs), trap 1 the weak spot (16.4%). The fastest dog in the field wins 25% of these races, and the top-rated dog 22.3% - both carry real weight at this level.
T1:16.4% T2:21.3% T3:20.5% T4:17.0% T5:16.7% T6:27.7%
592 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Heres Buddy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Joes Luck | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Swift Youngster | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Hitit Agendavy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Longacres Daddy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Droopys Expected | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 630m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heres Buddy | 0.592 | 0.603 | — |
| 2 | Joes Luck | 0.597 | 0.607 | 0.617 |
| 3 | Swift Youngster | — | 0.600 | 0.608 |
| 4 | Hitit Agendavy | 0.599 | 0.603 | — |
| 6 | Droopys Expected | — | 0.603 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.