Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Starmount Herbied 1y 5 | D J Page — 22% R117 W26 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 62 (1) | 42 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 35 | 20 | - | 27 | 53 | 48 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Jenyfromtheblockb 2y 5 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 54 | 57 (4) | 55 (2) | 46 (4) | 62 (1) | 30 (6) | 51 (4) | 47 (4) | 63 (5) | 52 (6) | 78 (1) | 44 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Yankee Tippd 3y 15 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 46 | 63 (1) | 53 (2) | 58 (2) | 59 (1) | 24 (4) | 37 (5) | 51 (2) | 52 (2) | 52 (3) | 44 (4) | 38 | 29 | 3 | 47 | 54 | 50 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Hollywell Maveb 3y 9 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 56 | 45 (5) | 53 (3) | 63 (3) | 48 (4) | 69 (1) | 46 (3) | 56 (3) | 67 (1) | 63 (1) | 33 (6) | 31 | 36 | 37 | 28 | 54 | 55 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Prince Dannyd 1yN/R 14 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 20 | 66 (3) | 48 (6) | 63 (1) | 46 (4) | 54 (1) | 41 (2) | 40 (2) | 49 (1) | 44 (2) | 41 (3) | 20 | 30 | 8 | 41 | 48 | 46 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bloos Bro Bugsyd 2y 6 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 40 | 49 (3) | 69 (2) | 50 (4) | 63 (1) | 39 (4) | 32 (6) | 52 (3) | 63 (1) | 58 (1) | - | 54 | 27 | 22 | 34 | 54 | 51 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Starmount Herbie | 29.31 | 29.51 | 29.41 | 48 | +0.10 | Limited form | |
| 2 | Jenyfromtheblock | 29.23 | 29.45 | 29.88 | 48 | +0.65 | Off best form | |
| 3 | Yankee Tipp | 29.18 | 29.45 | 29.61 | 52 | +0.43 | 2 wins last 4 | |
| 4 | Hollywell Mave | 28.96 | 29.31 | 29.33 | 57 | +0.37 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Prince Danny | 29.12 | 29.48 | 29.94 | 47 | +0.82 | Worst trap here | |
| 6 | Bloos Bro Bugsy | 29.19 | 29.39 | 29.79 | 51 | +0.60 | Strong closer |
Monmore's 480m trip has a deceptively fair reputation but the long run to the first bend still leaves a real trap imprint - trap 2 has the best return at this grade around 21%, with trap 5 the one to avoid on barely 15%. First-bend advantage counts for little here (usually only about 17% of winners), so this plays out as a speed and finishing race rather than a draw lottery, and at A6 the model alone needs backing up with raw pace before it can be trusted. Starmount Herbie and Yankee Tipp both carry useful early speed and could share the early exchanges, but it's Hollywell Mave who arrives with the fastest clock and the best recent form in the race - she should get there and stay there. Prince Danny, drawn in the weakest box with the softest early pace figures in the field, faces an uphill task from the first stride.
The fastest dog in this race on the clock and the form to match - three placed efforts from her last six starts including a facile win at this same grade back in May, with her only blip a flat run last time out after travelling well the two starts before that. Her trap hasn't been flagged as a problem over this fair-looking 480 metres, and she also owns the sharpest first-bend figure in the field, so there's no worry about getting shuffled back early. The strongest all-round case in the race.
Two wins from his last four starts and racing well within himself throughout - a game front-running sort who has been up in the mix in every one of his last four graded starts. He also owns the best distance form of anyone in this field. Drawn in the middle of the track, he's the obvious market rival to the selection and the biggest threat if she has an off night.
Drawn in one of the better boxes at this trip and grade, but with only two starts to his name the formline is thin - a taking win at the easier A7 grade last time out is the headline, though he was well beaten in this exact grade the start before that. Worth another look from a good box, but the shortage of experience is a real unknown stepping back up in company.
In the best-performing box at this trip and grade but her recent efforts have been steadier than spectacular - fourth last time out having led into the straight, and her standout figure of the campaign came from a step up to open company months ago that isn't repeatable at this level. Others in this field carry stronger current form.
Drawn in the box that has produced comfortably the fewest winners at this trip and grade, and his early pace figures are the weakest in this field - a dangerous combination from a trap that already needs plenty of luck to overcome. He's also stepped up through three grades in a hurry after a run of starts at much weaker company, and there's a real question over whether he's fully up to this level yet. Others have stronger claims.
Ran on for second last time out and has been competitive in nearly every start over the past month, finishing strongly rather than leading from the front. His trap suitability figures are the best of any runner here, and if the pace up front turns fast and messy he's the type to be finishing over the top of it late on.
Key insight: Trap 5 is the clear dead box at this grade and trip (15.3% from 248 runs), while traps 1, 2 and 6 all sit close together around 20-21%. Composite favourite wins just 21.2% here - close to the track average - so speed rank (22.2% for the top-rated dog) edges it as the more reliable factor at this middle grade.
T1:20.6% T2:21.0% T3:16.9% T4:19.8% T5:15.3% T6:20.6%
1,785 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Starmount Herbie | 66 | 8 | Fader |
2Jenyfromtheblock | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Yankee Tipp | 57 | 30 | Fader |
4Hollywell Mave | 61 | 27 | Fader |
5Prince Danny | 29 | 100 | Closer |
6Bloos Bro Bugsy | 43 | 70 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 450m | 480m | 650m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Starmount Herbie | — | — | 0.615 | — |
| 2 | Jenyfromtheblock | — | 0.602 | 0.613 | 0.625 |
| 3 | Yankee Tipp | 0.608 | — | 0.613 | — |
| 4 | Hollywell Mave | — | — | 0.611 | — |
| 6 | Bloos Bro Bugsy | — | — | 0.613 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.