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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Clutchinatstrawsb 3y 6 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 55 | 65 (3) | 66 (2) | 73 (1) | 64 (2) | 69 (1) | 44 (5) | 59 (2) | 53 (3) | 30 (3) | 35 (2) | 53 | 36 | 19 | 45 | 63 | 50 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Phoenix Poshb 3y 7 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 46 | 55 (5) | 62 (3) | 75 (1) | 40 (5) | 47 (6) | 74 (4) | 57 (1) | 46 (4) | 62 (6) | - | 32 | 24 | 7 | 24 | 58 | 47 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Cashen Pogachad 3y 10 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 81 (1) | 69 (1) | 64 (1) | 50 (3) | 44 (5) | 58 (2) | 46 (5) | 52 (4) | 64 (1) | 54 (3) | 38 | 20 | 13 | 47 | 61 | 48 | 4 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Longacres Diddyd 2y 7 | P J Doocey — 17% R150 W26 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 48 | 91 (1) | 69 (2) | 57 (3) | 49 (4) | 62 (4) | 62 (3) | 59 (5) | 63 (3) | 64 (4) | 69 (2) | 23 | 59 | 17 | 22 | 67 | 53 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Aero Dulcieb 2y 14 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 51 | 46 (4) | 74 (1) | 36 (6) | 42 (6) | 43 (4) | 48 (5) | 60 (3) | 34 (4) | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 25 | 21 | - | 26 | 53 | 40 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clutchinatstraws | 28.94 | 29.10 | 28.84 | 48 | -0.10 | Best trap here | |
| 2 | Phoenix Posh | 28.74 | 29.11 | 29.61 | 47 | +0.87 | Worst trap here | |
| 3 | Cashen Pogacha | 28.93 | 29.21 | 29.13 | 46 | +0.20 | 4 C&D wins from 10 | |
| 4 | Longacres Diddy | 28.74 | 29.02 | 28.64 | 55 | -0.10 | 0 C&D wins from 8 | |
| 6 | Aero Dulcie | 28.78 | 29.19 | 29.52 | 40 | +0.74 | 3 C&D wins from 9 |
Back at the fairer end of Monmore's 480m trip where trap 1 remains a real structural plus at A4 grade, winning a quarter of the time this season, with trap 2 the weak spot on well under 16%. Longacres Diddy carries the highest rating and the fastest recent time in the race, but she's drawn in a below-average box and has failed to win any of her eight runs at this course and distance, and her big last-time-out effort came in open company over a longer trip that isn't a fair guide to tonight. Clutchinatstraws, by contrast, sits in the prime trap with the sharpest first-bend figure in the field and form that's barely wavered in six starts. Cashen Pogacha arrives fresh off a win with an outstanding course and distance record of his own. This looks a genuine three-way go with the draw likely to be the difference.
Drawn in the trap that has produced by far the best returns at this grade and trip, and he owns the sharpest first-bend figure in this field. Third last time out, and his form has been remarkably consistent across his last six starts, all clustered in the 60s and 70s. Two wins from eight course and distance runs adds further backing. With the draw, the bend figure and the consistency all pointing the same way, he looks the safest each-way case in the race.
Won last time out, albeit at the grade below, with a big peak figure of 81 that shows the engine is there for this level. His course and distance record is outstanding - four wins from his last ten starts over this exact track and trip, the best in the field by some margin. Stepping up in grade tonight but the recent win and course knowledge make him a serious threat to the selection.
Fifth last time out in a run below her recent standard, and she's drawn in the weakest box at this grade and trip. Two wins from ten course and distance runs shows she can be competitive here on her day, and her overall form across six starts has been solid, but the poor draw is a real obstacle to overcome tonight.
Tops the ratings and the raw speed figures in this field by some distance, and won impressively last time out - but that was in open company over a longer trip, a different puzzle entirely to tonight's assignment, so it shouldn't be taken too literally as a form guide. More concerning is that none of her eight runs at this exact course and distance have produced a win, despite the strong overall numbers. A talented dog but with real questions to answer.
Fourth last time out and her ratings are the weakest of this group, though she's shown she can produce a big performance on her day - a figure of 74 appeared just a few runs back. Three wins from nine starts at this course and distance is a fair record, but the overall pace figures lag behind the leaders in this field.
Key insight: Trap 1 is a clear structural plus at this grade (25% from 224 runs), trap 2 the weak spot (15.7%). The composite favourite wins 23.2% here, a grade where the model can be trusted more than most at Monmore.
T1:25.0% T2:15.7% T3:21.0% T4:16.2% T5:17.2% T6:18.1%
1,263 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Clutchinatstraws | 56 | 34 | Fader |
2Phoenix Posh | 48 | 61 | Closer |
3Cashen Pogacha | 42 | 63 | Closer |
4Longacres Diddy | 54 | 36 | All-Rounder |
6Aero Dulcie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clutchinatstraws | 0.599 | 0.606 | — |
| 2 | Phoenix Posh | — | 0.607 | — |
| 3 | Cashen Pogacha | — | 0.609 | — |
| 4 | Longacres Diddy | — | 0.605 | 0.593 |
| 6 | Aero Dulcie | 0.597 | 0.608 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.