Steps up sharply from sprinting over 277 metres at Central Park to this considerably longer trip, and there's no form line at all to suggest she'll stay the extra distance. Her level there has been modest too — a run of finishes down the field with a best rated only 59 in this sequence — and trap four is statistically the weakest draw at this course and distance. A big step into the unknown, hard to fancy.

Racing at this course, distance and grade with real regularity — five of his last six starts have come at Hove over the minimum trip, and he's rarely finished out of the first two, with runner-up efforts in three of his last four. He finishes off races strongly from off the pace, but trap five is the weakest draw in this data set, managing under 19% at this level. Needs the finish to be strung out to use his stamina.

Drawn in the second-best box at this course and distance, which has produced almost a quarter of winners historically. He goes fast early and tends to lose ground in the closing stages, a pattern that could catch him out over the standard trip, but his last outing was his fastest of the campaign and he's been competitive in tougher grades recently. An each-way sort if the pace up front goes too hard.