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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Tempob 2y 36 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 57 | 77 (3) | 61 (3) | 84 (1) | 42 (1) | 82 (1) | 74 (2) | 76 (1) | 49 (5) | 59 (4) | 22 (6) | 37 | 45 | 31 | 44 | 69 | 54 | 1 | 5/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Moss Kingd 2y 1 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Economicalreasonb 1y 17 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 48 (5) | 86 (1) | 74 (1) | 59 (2) | 61 (2) | 52 (4) | 51 (2) | 60 (5) | 57 (4) | - | 36 | 37 | - | 42 | 62 | 47 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Deal For Twob 2y 29 | G A Griffiths — 23% R157 W36 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 80 (1) | 41 (1) | 65 (3) | 77 (5) | 76 (1) | 72 (1) | 45 (1) | 43 (6) | 42 (6) | - | 31 | 34 | 20 | 50 | 67 | 51 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Dash Powerd 1y 1 | G A Griffiths — 23% R157 W36 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 10 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Tempo | 28.57 | 28.98 | 29.19 | 56 | +0.62 | Model pick, no finish | |
| 2 | Moss King | No recorded form — impossible to assess. | — | Unraced | ||||
| 3 | Economicalreason | 28.80 | 29.11 | 29.51 | 45 | +0.71 | Below best form | |
| 4 | Deal For Two | 28.89 | 29.16 | 28.97 | 51 | +0.08 | Won LTO here | |
| 6 | Dash Power | No recorded form — impossible to assess. | — | Unraced | ||||
Monmore's 480 metres rewards a balanced racer rather than pure pace — the long run to the first bend means early speed alone rarely settles it, and this is a much stronger field than the grades either side of it on the card. Aero Tempo is fastest in the field by some way and her early pace is exceptional, giving her every chance to be long gone before anyone lays a paw on her. The concern is what happens if she doesn't get clear — her recent big form came at a much higher grade over the shorter sprint trip, and she has next to nothing in reserve once a finish is needed. Deal For Two won this exact grade and trip last time out with a balanced racing style that could reel her in if the pace does come back. Economicalreason has touched a big level in the past but needs to bounce back from a below-par effort, while the two unraced newcomers are impossible to assess.
Rates highest of anyone in this field on both speed and average performance, and her early pace is exceptional — she'll be gone and clear if she gets the run of things early. The catch is that her big recent form came at a considerably higher grade over the shorter sprint trip, and her closing speed figure here is effectively zero, meaning there's nothing in reserve if she doesn't get away cleanly. Over this longer distance that's a genuine worry against a field with more sustainable pace. Trainer R Taberner has a modest strike rate at the track, but the raw pace and rating stand clearly above this field.
Won this exact race last time out — same grade, same distance, same track — with her best rating of recent times, and that sort of course-and-distance form is hard to ignore. A genuinely balanced racer who can race however the pace dictates, which suits Monmore's fairer 480 metre test and gives her a real chance of reeling in a fast starter if the pace goes too hard up front. Trainer G A Griffiths has the best strike rate of any connections in this field. The one most likely to be there at the finish if the pace favourite doesn't get clear.
No recorded form to go on, so this is a complete unknown stepping into a strong field on debut. Trainer C S Fereday has a modest strike rate at the track, offering little extra guidance. Could have ability but there's simply nothing to base a case on either way.
Has touched a big level in the past, with an 86-rated effort a couple of runs back showing genuine quality, but her last outing at this exact grade and trip was a more modest 48. A strong finisher who picks up the pieces late, which could suit if the pace up front is honest. Trainer K Billingham-hine has a fair strike rate at the track. Capable of better than her last effort but needs to find it.
Another unraced newcomer with no recorded form, making her impossible to assess on the data alone. Trainer G A Griffiths has the strongest strike rate in this field, which offers a little encouragement, but there's no way to gauge her ability before she's actually raced. Drawn in trap 6, statistically the weakest box at this grade.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the strongest draw at this grade at just under twenty-two in a hundred, with trap 4 also performing well. The ratings model is only moderately reliable at this level, so recent form and trainer intent carry real weight.
T1:22.0% T2:17.1% T3:17.9% T4:19.9% T5:17.8% T6:13.9%
980 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aero Tempo | 81 | 0 | Fader |
2Moss King | — | — | No data |
3Economicalreason | 48 | 62 | Closer |
4Deal For Two | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Dash Power | — | — | No data |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Tempo | 0.589 | 0.604 |
| 2 | Moss King | — | — |
| 3 | Economicalreason | — | 0.606 |
| 4 | Deal For Two | 0.595 | 0.607 |
| 6 | Dash Power | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.