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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Heathmill Barrond 4y 16 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 31 (3) | 30 (2) | 24 (5) | 33 (3) | 24 (5) | 32 (3) | 42 (1) | 40 (1) | 34 (3) | 24 (5) | 34 | 34 | 32 | 27 | 31 | 32 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Davyd 1y 13 | J M Windrass — 9% R34 W3 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | - | 26 (5) | 29 (5) | 26 (5) | 42 (1) | 37 (3) | 36 (3) | 70 (3) | 42 (1) | 74 (2) | 36 (2) | 54 | 53 | 48 | 35 | 33 | 34 | 5 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Nothing In Yab 2y 6 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 32 (3) | 41 (1) | 29 (4) | 35 (2) | 34 (3) | 37 (2) | 31 (5) | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 37 (1) | 40 | 39 | 40 | 42 | 34 | 36 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cockneys Charmb 2y 9 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 42 (1) | 41 (1) | 30 (3) | 54 (3) | 38 (1) | 29 (4) | 25 (3) | 34 (1) | 51 (5) | 29 (5) | 28 | 31 | 38 | 49 | 36 | 37 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Not Thatuaskedb 1y 11 | K Everitt — 14% R73 W10 P37 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 27 (5) | 33 (2) | 37 (1) | 26 (4) | 33 (2) | 32 (1) | 47 (5) | 41 (3) | 32 (5) | 55 (2) | 4 | 37 | 20 | 34 | 34 | 30 | 2 | 9/4JF | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cockneys Charm | 17.02 | 17.34 | 17.08 | 54 | +0.06 | Model pick | |
| 1 | Heathmill Barron | 17.02 | 17.41 | 17.30 | 50 | +0.28 | ||
| 2 | Grouchos Davy | 17.04 | 17.38 | 18.05 | 38 | +1.01 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 3 | Nothing In Ya | 17.11 | 17.28 | 17.37 | 49 | +0.26 | ||
| 6 | Not Thatuasked | 17.26 | 17.30 | 17.34 | 48 | +0.08 |
This grade at the minimum trip has produced its best returns from trap five, just under 24% winners, with trap four the weakest at just over 17% — but trap position is only part of the story tonight, because the dog in that supposedly weak box arrives on the back of two wins on the bounce. Cockneys Charm is fast to the front from the middle before tending to lose a little ground late, while Nothing In Ya, drawn just inside her, races a similar pattern and has been knocking on the door herself. Heathmill Barron and Grouchos Davy both hug the rail and need the run of the race to open up in front of them. If Cockneys Charm gets the split she's had the last twice, the rest have a lot to find.
In red-hot form — two wins on the bounce, the latest by leading soon after the break and holding on well. She's the fastest dog in this field on the clock, sharing the best recorded time and holding the fastest last run of anyone here, and her course-and-distance record is outstanding: four wins from seven starts at this trip and track, well over 50%. Trap four reads as the statistically weakest box in this grade, but with form and speed this strong the draw looks a minor concern rather than a real obstacle. The one they all have to beat — the clock, the recent form and the course record all point the same way.
Consistent without winning recently — three placed finishes from her last five starts, though nothing better than third in that run. Shares the fastest recorded time in this field on the clock, and drawn in trap one, a solid box at this trip. She's been slowly away in a couple of recent runs, which is the main concern given how quickly this trip is run. Her trainer's record at these conditions is moderate. The clock says she has the pace to trouble the selection if she breaks well — the main danger if Cockneys Charm doesn't have it all her own way.
Very competitive of late — a third last time out following a win the start before, with early pace and a tendency to force the issue from the rail-to-middle. She has the best average time of anyone in this field, even if her single best time doesn't quite match the very fastest. Her course-and-distance record is strong too, three wins from ten runs at this trip. Her trainer's record at these conditions is unremarkable. A fair third string with plenty of ammunition — capable of running into the frame if the leaders falter.
No wins from her last six starts and the most recent effort was well below par, finishing last after getting crowded early. There was a win in that sequence a few starts back, and she's raced at the tougher grade above this in two of her recent starts, so there's some latent ability. Slowest last-time figure of anyone in this field, some way off her personal best. Her trainer has an outstanding strike rate at these conditions from a small sample, which offers a sliver of hope. On the balance of recent evidence, though, she has plenty to find.
A finishing type who tends to be closing in the final strides rather than leading, with a strong course-and-distance record of one win from three at this exact trip and track. Recent grade-matched form has been modest, no better than fifth in her last start, though she was competitive from a wide draw two runs back. Her raw times are steady rather than spectacular. Her trainer's record at these conditions is on the weaker side. An each-way interest if the pace up front collapses and she can be delivered with a strong late run.
Key insight: Trap four reads as the weakest box in this grade, but the dog drawn there tonight has won two in a row and boasts one of the best course-and-distance records on the whole card — a case where individual form comfortably outweighs the trap statistics.
Trap 1: 22.6%, Trap 2: 18.3%, Trap 3: 22.3%, Trap 4: 17.8%, Trap 5: 23.9%, Trap 6: 21.4%
1,774 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 280m | 483m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Heathmill Barron | 0.633 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Grouchos Davy | 0.632 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Nothing In Ya | 0.628 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Cockneys Charm | 0.631 | — | 0.646 | — |
| 6 | Not Thatuasked | 0.629 | 0.592 | — | 0.616 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.