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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gypsies Kissb 2y 5 | L B Pruhs — 13% R149 W20 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 27 (5) | 28 (3) | 31 (3) | 38 (2) | 31 (3) | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 29 (3) | 23 (4) | 25 (4) | 37 | 31 | 18 | 23 | 31 | 32 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Honey Bobbyd 4y 14 | L B Pruhs — 13% R149 W20 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 30 (3) | 28 (3) | 30 (3) | 31 (2) | 24 (5) | 29 (2) | 28 (3) | 28 (3) | 35 (2) | 31 (3) | 40 | 29 | 14 | 19 | 29 | 30 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Greenhill Macd 2y 26 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 37 (2) | 36 (4) | 30 (4) | 14 (5) | 22 (5) | 26 (5) | 37 (4) | 32 (1) | 30 (2) | - | 19 | 35 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 24 | 3 | 6/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Savana Brendod 4y 15 | L B Pruhs — 13% R149 W20 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 24 (5) | 20 (6) | 37 (2) | 30 (4) | 34 (2) | 49 (4) | 56 (3) | 52 (3) | 66 (1) | 51 (3) | 41 | 25 | 16 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Anchor Bankenb 3y 6 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 25 (6) | 34 (2) | 33 (3) | 28 (4) | 28 (4) | 29 (4) | 69 (3) | 77 (3) | 35 (3) | 41 (1) | 39 | 37 | 14 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Honey Bobby | 17.27 | 17.42 | 17.49 | 54 | +0.22 | ||
| 4 | Greenhill Mac | 17.17 | 17.75 | 17.27 | 52 | +0.10 | Fastest early, fades late | |
| 6 | Anchor Banken | 17.21 | 17.41 | 17.64 | 53 | +0.43 | Model pick, danger | |
| 1 | Gypsies Kiss | 17.28 | 17.52 | 17.60 | 50 | +0.32 | Top-rated | |
| 5 | Savana Brendo | 17.35 | 17.56 | 17.66 | 47 | +0.31 | 0 wins from 6 |
This whole field dropped down together from a D2 sprint eleven days ago, so the form lines up well against each other even at the new grade. Trap one has been the standout box at this trip and grade, producing winners at over 25% against trap five's 18%, and it's exactly where the top-rated dog in this race, Gypsies Kiss, finds himself — a confirmed rails-runner who should get every chance to use that draw. Anchor Banken and Savana Brendo both race wide and need the gaps to open up, while Honey Bobby tracks just off the rail. Greenhill Mac is the pace merchant of this group, fast to the first bend but prone to fading in the closing stages, so if he can't cross to the rail early he may simply set it up for the others.
A consistent minor-placer at this grade — three placed finishes in his last five starts, including a close second, with a win further back in that run too. Finished only fifth in the same field last time out, but he was racing from further out that day; back in trap one, historically the strongest draw in this grade at over 25% winners, he's a confirmed rails-hugger who should use the draw well. His trainer's record at these conditions is modest, which is the one blot on an otherwise solid case. Top-rated in this field and drawn where he needs to be — the pick on the numbers and the draw together.
Finished last of this group in the shared form race, but the two runs before that were much stronger — a clear-cut second and a competitive third, including one where he led before being caught on the run-in. Second-fastest in the field on the raw clock, and the underlying model actually rates him the most likely winner tonight, edging out the top-rated dog. Races wide every time, which is a mild concern at this trip, but his trainer has a notably better record at these conditions than the selection's. The most dangerous runner in the race if he reproduces his better recent form.
An interesting one to weigh up — after three starts at 450 metres he dropped straight back to this minimum trip last time out and ran his best race in months, finishing second in the very field that lines up again tonight. He's a fast-early type who tends to lose ground in the closing stages, the kind of pace profile that can be vulnerable once the sprint distance's tight finish arrives, but on that evidence he clearly retains sprint speed. His trainer has a solid record at these conditions, close to 20%. The underlying model actually rates him highly despite a modest overall rating, which lines up with that eye-catching return to the minimum trip. One who could easily outrun his position if the early gallop suits him.
Very consistent without winning lately — three thirds and a second across his last five starts, rarely out of the frame even if the wins haven't come. He's the fastest dog in this field on the raw clock, holding both the best recorded time and the best average, tracking just off the rail rather than racing on it. The course-and-distance record doesn't back that speed up though — no wins from ten runs at this trip, which is a genuine concern given how sharp the clock reads. Shares a trainer with the top-rated dog, and that yard's record at these conditions is on the weak side. Fast enough to be involved but the lack of a course-and-distance win is a nagging doubt.
No wins and only a couple of places from his last six starts, and the clock backs up the modest form — he's the slowest dog in this field right now. Races wide throughout and drawn in trap five, the weakest box in this grade at just under 18% winners, a genuinely poor combination of running style and draw. His trainer's record at these conditions is the weakest of any handler in the race. Everything here points against him, and he needs a complete form reversal to be involved in the finish.
Key insight: Trap one is the standout draw in this grade at just over 25% winners, more than seven points clear of trap five at the back of the field — a meaningful structural edge.
Trap 1: 25.3%, Trap 3: 20.8%, Trap 4: 21.2%, Trap 5: 18.0%, Trap 6: 19.1%
1,817 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gypsies Kiss | 0.637 | — |
| 3 | Honey Bobby | 0.633 | — |
| 4 | Greenhill Mac | 0.645 | 0.645 |
| 5 | Savana Brendo | 0.638 | 0.619 |
| 6 | Anchor Banken | 0.633 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.