| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Brettd 4y 27 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 38 (2) | 36 (3) | 23 (4) | 42 (1) | 36 (3) | 39 (2) | 28 (4) | 42 (1) | 31 (4) | 27 (3) | 39 | 34 | 39 | 36 | 35 | 33 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hes Batmand 4yN/R 21 | L B Pruhs — 13% R149 W20 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | - | 19 (5) | 41 (1) | 29 (5) | 37 (1) | 36 (2) | 74 (3) | 41 (1) | 37 (1) | 28 (3) | 31 (3) | 52 | 35 | 53 | 33 | 32 | 29 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Grouchos Badgerd 1y 4 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 30 (5) | 26 (4) | 43 (1) | 25 (4) | 34 (2) | 41 (1) | 35 (2) | 28 (4) | 53 (5) | 52 (5) | 37 | 49 | 36 | 40 | 32 | 35 | 3 | 13/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Sandwood Daffyb 2y 8 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 42 (1) | 37 (2) | 37 (2) | 29 (4) | 30 (4) | 38 (2) | 41 (1) | 42 (1) | 36 (2) | 37 (1) | 37 | 40 | 45 | 55 | 37 | 39 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Sullane Dannyd 2yN/R 16 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | - | 54 (3) | 85 (2) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 25 (2) | 58 (1) | 41 (1) | 55 (4) | 38 (3) | - | 26 | 60 | 40 | 54 | 46 | 43 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Makeit Whisperd 3y 7 | R J Overton — 18% R352 W63 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 36 (3) | 42 (1) | 41 (1) | 31 (4) | 30 (4) | 36 (2) | 33 (3) | 35 (2) | 74 (4) | 73 (2) | 36 | 39 | 35 | 40 | 36 | 37 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Sullane Danny | 16.87 | 16.91 | 16.87 | 63 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Sandwood Daffy | 17.04 | 17.17 | 17.04 | 53 | 0.00 | ||
| 6 | Makeit Whisper | 17.00 | 17.23 | 17.10 | 51 | +0.10 | ||
| 3 | Grouchos Badger | 16.93 | 17.35 | 17.28 | 47 | +0.35 | ||
| 1 | Ballymac Brett | 17.06 | 17.36 | 17.06 | 48 | 0.00 | ||
| 2 | Hes Batman | 17.15 | 17.51 | 18.25 | 29 | +1.10 |
Trap five has been the strongest draw in this grade at the minimum trip, just under 24% winners against trap four's 18% — and that's exactly where Sullane Danny lines up tonight, dropping down in company after racing at tougher levels recently. He's a fast-early type who likes to force the issue from out wide, and Grouchos Badger and Makeit Whisper both show similar tendencies from the middle and outside. Sandwood Daffy and Ballymac Brett prefer to sit just off the pace before working through. If Sullane Danny brings his sharper recent clock with him, this looks over early.
Drops into this grade off the back of two wins at the level above and a placed run at Open Race level, so this looks a considerably easier task than what he's been facing lately. He's the fastest dog in this field on the clock by a distance, holding the best recorded time, the best average and the fastest last run, and he's drawn in trap five, the strongest box in this grade at just under 24% winners. His course-and-distance record is outstanding too, three wins from six runs at this trip. The class drop, the clock and the draw all point the same way — a standout case in this company.
Won last time out, leading throughout, and that continues a genuinely excellent run of form — five placed finishes or better from her last six starts. Second-fastest in this field on the clock and her course-and-distance record is superb, four wins from ten runs at this trip. The drawback is trap four, statistically the weakest box in this grade at under 18% winners. Her trainer has the best record of any handler in this race at these conditions, close to 28%. The main danger to the selection if the draw doesn't hold her back.
Two wins from his last three starts, leading throughout on both occasions, before a competitive third last time out. Third-fastest in this field on the clock and a fair course-and-distance record at two wins from ten. Races out wide but has shown he can lead from there when he breaks well. His trainer's record at these conditions is moderate. A fair third string with genuine recent winning form behind him.
Mixed recent form — a fifth last time out after a slow start, though there are two wins mixed into his last six starts, both by taking it up early. Shows good early pace from the middle when he breaks well. Fifth on the clock in this field. His course-and-distance record is fair at two wins from ten. His trainer's record at these conditions is moderate. Capable of leading but needs a clean break to be involved.
A second last time out continues a solid if unspectacular run — placed in four of his last six starts with a win further back in that sequence. Fourth on the clock in this field, racing from the rail and tending to finish his races well. His course-and-distance record is fair at two wins from ten. His trainer's record at these conditions is strong, close to 28%. Consistent enough to be around the frame again, even without a standout edge.
Hasn't run since the end of June, and the effort before that was well below par, finishing fifth after being bumped in the closing stages. There is a win in the form line at the grade below and some form from a different track altogether, though nothing directly comparable to tonight's opposition. Slowest dog in this field on the clock by a distance, some way off a competitive figure. His trainer's record at these conditions is modest. A big layoff and the slowest clock in the field make this a tough ask.
Key insight: One dog in this field is dropping in from tougher grades and rates a huge favourite on the underlying model's own probability — a case of proven class dropping into a weaker line-up.
Trap 1: 22.6%, Trap 2: 18.3%, Trap 3: 22.3%, Trap 4: 17.8%, Trap 5: 23.9%, Trap 6: 21.4%
1,774 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.