Tops the ratings on paper with a strong recent scoreline — a win and four seconds from her last five starts — but almost all of that form was built at the grade below, and in her one run back at this level she could only manage fourth. The underlying model actually rates her the outsider of this field despite the top rating, a sign that the grade-drop form may be flattering her. Not among the quicker dogs on the raw clock either. Drawn in trap one, a solid box at this trip, and her trainer has a fair record here. Respected for the consistency but the grade-adjusted picture is far less rosy than the rating alone suggests.

Two wins from her last six starts, both by taking it up early, though the last two runs have been below that level with a couple of mid-table finishes. Third-fastest in this field on the clock but drawn in trap four, statistically the weakest box in this grade at under 18% winners — a genuine obstacle at this trip. Her trainer's record at these conditions is modest. Capable of racing prominently but the draw is working against her tonight.

A boom-or-bust runner — a win at the grade below a couple of starts ago but otherwise finishing down the field, including two below-par efforts in her last two starts at this level. Fifth-fastest of the six on the clock and races wide throughout, a pattern that hasn't been paying off lately. Her trainer's record at these conditions is the weakest in the field. Hard to have confidence in on the recent evidence — others have much stronger cases tonight.