| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Keefill Stormd 2y 8 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 38 (5) | 58 (1) | 58 (1) | 36 (4) | 43 (3) | 43 (3) | 33 (5) | 41 (3) | 59 (1) | 59 (1) | 44 | 39 | - | 40 | 46 | 48 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Zari Samd 3y 17 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 51 | 42 (4) | 45 (3) | 46 (3) | 47 (2) | 41 (3) | 51 (2) | 45 (2) | 48 (2) | 56 (1) | 44 (3) | 24 | 31 | - | 29 | 46 | 44 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Flosses Versaced 2y 17 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 33 (5) | 37 (5) | 48 (2) | 59 (1) | 57 (1) | 54 (2) | 57 (1) | 34 (3) | 51 | 53 | - | 53 | 48 | 50 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Millhouse Iand 3y 15 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R311 W55 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 41 (3) | 37 (4) | 49 (2) | 43 (3) | 58 (1) | 34 (4) | 44 (2) | 58 (1) | 50 (2) | 59 (1) | 37 | 33 | - | 30 | 45 | 45 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tommys Flavourd 1y 26 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 31 | 41 (3) | 29 (3) | 31 (3) | 31 (2) | 29 (4) | 24 (4) | - | - | - | - | 11 | 9 | - | - | 32 | 26 | 5 | 13/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Glitter Ronnied 4y 15 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 30 (2) | 58 (1) | 41 (2) | 45 (2) | 35 (5) | 47 (3) | 49 (4) | 29 (2) | 27 (4) | 39 (3) | 28 | 27 | - | 30 | 41 | 44 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zari Sam | 28.12 | 28.50 | 28.76 | 54 | +0.64 | ||
| 3 | Flosses Versace | 28.21 | 28.65 | 28.47 | 53 | +0.26 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Millhouse Ian | 28.28 | 28.55 | 28.66 | 52 | +0.38 | ||
| 1 | Keefill Storm | 28.30 | 28.52 | 28.78 | 50 | +0.48 | ||
| 6 | Glitter Ronnie | 28.43 | 28.71 | 28.43 | 50 | 0.00 | 450m/275m switcher | |
| 5 | Tommys Flavour | 28.73 | 28.73 | 28.73 | 40 | 0.00 | 450m/275m switcher |
Trap three has been a standout draw in this grade at Doncaster's standard trip, over 29% winners against trap five's 15% at the other end — one of the bigger spreads on the card. Flosses Versace races from that exact box and shows good early pace from the middle, tending to be involved from flagfall. Keefill Storm likes to lead from the rail while Millhouse Ian and Zari Sam both race just off him, ready to pounce if he can't hold on late. Glitter Ronnie and Tommys Flavour both arrive from a mix of grades and trips recently, adding a layer of unpredictability to the outside. With the best trap in the field lining up alongside the top-rated dog, this looks a fair guide to how the race unfolds.
A model of consistency at this grade — three seconds in her last five starts and a win at the grade below in that sequence, rarely finishing out of the frame. Shows sharp early pace from the middle and is usually involved from flagfall. Drawn in trap three, comfortably the strongest box in this grade at over 29% winners, a real structural plus on top of an already solid case. Her course-and-distance record is respectable at three wins from ten. Her trainer's record at these conditions is modest, the one mark against an otherwise strong profile. The clearest case in the race between the draw, the form and the ratings.
Honest and consistent without quite winning — five placed finishes from her last six starts, including a strong second a few runs back where she raced up with the pace throughout. She's the fastest dog in this field on the raw clock, holding the best recorded time, though her last run was some way off that figure. The drawback is trap two, one of the weaker boxes in this grade at just over 16% winners. Her trainer has a decent record at these conditions. The fastest dog in the race and the main danger if she can overcome the draw.
A solid campaigner with a win in his last six starts and generally competitive form throughout, third last time out after being forced to check early. Third-fastest in the field with the best average time of anyone here, a sign of genuine consistency on the clock rather than one big effort. Drawn in trap four, a reasonable if unspectacular box. His trainer has a fair record at these conditions. A dependable type who's rarely far away and could easily figure in the frame again.
Won twice in a row a few starts back, both times leading on the run-in from the rail, though the two most recent efforts have been below that level. Finishes strongly from off a measured early pace and his course-and-distance record is the best in the field at four wins from ten. His trainer boasts the strongest record of any handler in this race at these conditions, close to 37%. Fourth-fastest on the clock but the trainer angle and the course form both carry real weight. Capable of bouncing back to his best if the yard has him spot on again.
Has been shuttling between this trip and the minimum sprint recently, a win at the grade below three starts ago the highlight, and a competitive second in a sprint last time out. Races wide and shows a good level of consistency without being spectacular. Fifth on the clock in this field. His trainer's record at these conditions is modest. The mixed distance pattern makes him tricky to assess with total confidence, though there's enough ability on show to warrant some each-way interest.
Mostly racing over the minimum trip recently, with only one run at this longer distance to judge him on, so today's step up is a fresh test. Slowest dog in this field on the clock and drawn in trap five, statistically the weakest box in this grade at under 15% winners — a difficult combination. He finishes his races honestly from off the pace but there's little in the profile to suggest he can trouble this field at this trip. Others have far stronger claims tonight.
Key insight: Trap three is comfortably the strongest draw in this grade at over 29% winners, and it's exactly where the top-rated dog in the race lines up.
Trap 1: 23.1%, Trap 2: 16.4%, Trap 3: 29.2%, Trap 4: 21.6%, Trap 5: 14.7%, Trap 6: 22.6%
1,151 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Keefill Storm | 47 | 89 | Closer |
2Zari Sam | 51 | 43 | All-Rounder |
3Flosses Versace | 53 | 1 | All-Rounder |
4Millhouse Ian | 53 | 24 | All-Rounder |
5Tommys Flavour | 32 | 100 | Closer |
6Glitter Ronnie | 49 | 57 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Keefill Storm | — | 0.634 |
| 2 | Zari Sam | — | 0.633 |
| 3 | Flosses Versace | — | 0.637 |
| 4 | Millhouse Ian | — | 0.634 |
| 5 | Tommys Flavour | 0.634 | 0.638 |
| 6 | Glitter Ronnie | 0.636 | 0.638 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.