| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Odins Princed 5y 25 | D Calvert — 18% R594 W109 P341 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 40 (5) | 51 (2) | 34 (5) | 51 (3) | 40 (4) | 45 (6) | 44 (2) | 34 (4) | 58 (5) | - | 35 | 33 | - | 24 | 44 | 41 | 4 | 7/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Abigail Surpriseb 2y 17 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 48 (2) | 35 (5) | 54 (2) | 69 (2) | 44 (2) | 40 (4) | 32 (5) | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 53 (2) | 38 | 36 | - | 45 | 48 | 45 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Knockdrum Cryptob 2yN/R 6 | S Watson — 28% R432 W122 P294 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 54 | 33 (4) | 60 (1) | 40 (5) | 51 (2) | 43 (3) | 36 (5) | 48 (3) | 50 (3) | 60 (1) | 57 (1) | 40 | 36 | - | 33 | 46 | 46 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Redbrick Gerrardd 2y 17 | J W Gaskin — 31% R276 W85 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 40 | 47 (3) | 86 (2) | 46 (3) | 47 (3) | 60 (1) | 46 (4) | 40 (4) | 44 (4) | 43 (3) | 79 (4) | 30 | 33 | - | 20 | 55 | 41 | 3 | 5/6F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Footfield Nalab 5y 27 | C A Williams — 14% R354 W49 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 46 (3) | 37 (4) | 61 (5) | 41 (4) | 60 (1) | 44 (3) | 42 (4) | 54 (2) | 39 (4) | 42 (3) | 20 | 25 | - | 15 | 47 | 39 | 2 | 12/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Keefill Irisb 5y 25 | K Everitt — 14% R73 W10 P37 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 52 | 30 (5) | 45 (2) | 43 (2) | 36 (6) | 41 (5) | 46 (3) | 39 (4) | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 33 (3) | 37 | 27 | - | 28 | 41 | 35 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Redbrick Gerrard | 28.03 | 28.30 | 28.39 | 56 | +0.36 | ||
| 5 | Footfield Nala | 28.05 | 28.49 | 28.26 | 54 | +0.21 | ||
| 2 | Abigail Surprise | 28.24 | 28.46 | 28.30 | 51 | +0.06 | Model pick | |
| 1 | Odins Prince | 28.08 | 28.38 | 28.77 | 48 | +0.69 | ||
| 3 | Knockdrum Crypto | 28.05 | 28.42 | 28.76 | 48 | +0.71 | Top composite | |
| 6 | Keefill Iris | 28.19 | 28.53 | 29.18 | 38 | +0.99 |
Trap one has been the strongest draw in this grade at Doncaster's standard trip, just over 23% winners against trap three's 17.5% — and it's worth noting the top-rated dog tonight is drawn in that weakest box. Abigail Surprise likes to press forward from the middle-to-rail and has led into the straight more than once recently, while Redbrick Gerrard and Footfield Nala both race from further out and tend to arrive as things unwind. Knockdrum Crypto, despite topping the ratings, hasn't been at his best lately and carries the least favourable draw in the field. With the pace likely coming from the middle of the track, whoever travels smoothest through that group should be well placed turning for home.
Knocking on the door all season — five placed finishes from her last six starts, including a second last time out and a placed effort at Open Race level a few runs back, evidence she copes with stronger company too. Presses forward from just off the rail and has led into the straight more than once recently, a genuine racing chance rather than a makeweight. Third-fastest in the field on the clock but drawn in trap two, a solid box at just over 20% winners. Her trainer's record at these conditions is fair. The model's own probability actually rates her the most likely winner tonight, and the consistency backs that up — the strongest all-round case in the field.
A third last time out continues a solid run of form, and the effort before that was a genuinely eye-catching second at Open Race level over a much longer trip, showing there's real depth to this campaign. He's the fastest dog in this field on the clock, holding both the best recorded time and the best average. His trainer has the strongest record of any handler in this race at these conditions, close to 30% — a serious structural edge. Drawn in trap four, a reasonable box. Fastest on the clock and backed by the best trainer angle in the field, he's the most dangerous runner if the selection doesn't have things her own way.
A third last time out, honest without threatening to win, racing wide throughout in typical fashion. Second-fastest in this field on the clock, though her course-and-distance record doesn't back that speed up, just one win from nine runs at this trip and track. Her trainer shares conditions form with the pick's yard. Competitive without a standout edge, and the outside draw doesn't do her any particular favours.
Modest recent form — fifth last time out after a stumble, and generally mid-table across his last six starts without ever really threatening. Drawn in trap one, the best-performing box in this grade at just over 23% winners, which is his main asset tonight. Fourth on the clock and his last run was well off his best time. His trainer's record at these conditions is fair. The draw offers some hope but the recent form gives little to get excited about.
Tops the ratings on paper but the recent evidence is mixed — a modest fourth last time out, and while there's a win in the sequence a couple of months back, the pattern since has been up and down. He's some way off the fastest dogs in this field on the clock, and drawn in trap three, statistically the weakest box in this grade at just under 18% winners — a double concern for the nominal favourite. His trainer has a decent record at these conditions. The rating alone doesn't tell the full story here; the draw and the recent form both push against him.
Modest recent form, no better than fifth in her last start and generally towards the back of the field across her recent runs, with a couple of seconds mixed in further back to show she has some ability. Slowest dog in this field on the clock right now, some way off her own best. Races wide throughout. Her trainer's record at these conditions is the weakest of any handler in the race. Very little here to get excited about against this opposition tonight.
Key insight: The top-rated dog tonight is drawn in the weakest trap in the field and hasn't shown his best form in his last two starts — the ratings need to be read alongside the draw and recent form rather than taken at face value.
Trap 1: 23.2%, Trap 2: 20.6%, Trap 3: 17.5%, Trap 4: 21.6%, Trap 5: 21.5%, Trap 6: 22.5%
1,779 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Odins Prince | 51 | 41 | All-Rounder |
2Abigail Surprise | 51 | 29 | All-Rounder |
3Knockdrum Crypto | 49 | 59 | Closer |
4Redbrick Gerrard | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Footfield Nala | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Keefill Iris | 53 | 0 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odins Prince | — | 0.631 | — |
| 2 | Abigail Surprise | — | 0.632 | — |
| 4 | Redbrick Gerrard | — | 0.629 | 0.642 |
| 5 | Footfield Nala | — | 0.633 | 0.652 |
| 6 | Keefill Iris | 0.628 | 0.634 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.