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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vixons Bentleyb 2y 5 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 47 (4) | 26 (3) | 49 (5) | 52 (4) | 68 (1) | 52 (2) | 61 (2) | 64 (1) | 58 (1) | 44 (2) | 45 | 41 | 36 | 37 | 54 | 49 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Aero Swarmb 1y 4 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 50 | 35 (6) | 64 (1) | 48 (2) | 43 (4) | 54 (1) | 38 (3) | 36 (4) | 38 (4) | 53 (1) | 43 (3) | 32 | 32 | 14 | 34 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Slippy Conord 2y 6 | G A Griffiths — 23% R157 W36 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 59 | 63 (1) | 47 (4) | 59 (1) | 38 (4) | 58 (2) | 57 (1) | 30 (6) | 34 (5) | 54 (2) | 56 (3) | 52 | 38 | 16 | 46 | 51 | 53 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Starmount Stormb 1y 24 | D J Page — 22% R117 W26 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | - | 29 (5) | 31 (5) | 69 (4) | 41 (1) | 37 (3) | 28 (5) | 29 (6) | 41 (3) | 37 (4) | 41 (2) | 14 | 10 | - | - | 69 | 55 | 4 | 2/1F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Chuckies Angelb 2y 6 | J M Walton — 16% R222 W36 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 41 | 62 (2) | 63 (1) | 57 (1) | 27 (6) | 50 (6) | 74 (3) | 90 (1) | 64 (5) | 73 (3) | 67 (3) | 19 | 46 | 18 | 48 | 60 | 53 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Dependd 2y 6 | A K Jenkins — 15% R164 W25 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 53 | 61 (1) | 48 (3) | 41 (5) | 36 (5) | 58 (1) | 44 (2) | 28 (6) | 45 (3) | 33 (6) | 42 (5) | 25 | 19 | 12 | 29 | 46 | 42 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vixons Bentley | 29.08 | 29.30 | 29.60 | 49 | +0.52 | Consistent | |
| 2 | Aero Swarm | 29.00 | 29.57 | 29.80 | 42 | +0.80 | Poor last time | |
| 3 | Slippy Conor | 28.97 | 29.43 | 29.22 | 54 | +0.25 | Model pick, won LTO | |
| 4 | Starmount Storm | All career form is over the shorter 264m sprint trip — no 480m form to judge, times not comparable. | — | Never raced 480m | ||||
| 5 | Chuckies Angel | 29.10 | 29.46 | 29.10 | 53 | 0.00 | Runner-up LTO | |
| 6 | Swift Depend | 29.26 | 29.58 | 29.50 | 42 | +0.24 | Won at grade below LTO | |
Monmore's 480 metres is a fairer test than the sprint trip but this grade has historically been one of the hardest at this track for the ratings model to call, so recent genuine form at this course and distance carries extra weight tonight. Slippy Conor is the fastest of the dogs with proper form over this trip and comes into the race off a win at the grade below, with the strongest trainer in the field behind him. Chuckies Angel is the most consistent finisher and was runner-up in this exact grade last time out. Starmount Storm shows a big average rating but that comes entirely from racing over the much shorter sprint distance — she's never raced 480 metres before, so treat those figures with real caution rather than as a form standout.
The fastest dog in this field among those with genuine form at this distance, and arrives on the back of a win at the grade below last time out. A front runner who quickens well to the bend, holding the best first-bend figure of any runner with proper 480 metre form here. Trainer G A Griffiths has the best strike rate in this field by some distance, over a quarter of runners — the sort of yard that knows how to place a dog. The strongest overall case in a grade where the raw ratings need extra scrutiny.
Rates the best of the field on average performance among those with genuine 480 metre form and was runner-up in this exact grade last time out. The strongest finisher in the field on paper, doing her best work in the closing stages, which could suit if the pace up front is honest. Trainer J M Walton has a reasonable strike rate at the track. The clearest alternative to the pick if the race is run to suit a strong closer.
Ran at this exact grade and distance last time out, finishing fourth, so her form is directly comparable to tonight's task. A front runner who quickens well to the bend, which should keep her involved early. Trainer J B Thompson has a modest strike rate at the track. Solid without standing out against the leading pair on the clock.
Well beaten last time out in sixth and slowest of the genuinely comparable runners in this field on the clock. There was a bigger effort a few runs back — a 64 — but nothing recently to match it. Trainer R Taberner has a modest strike rate at the track. Needs to find plenty to trouble the leading pair.
Shows an eye-catching average rating on paper, but every single one of her races has come over the much shorter 264 metre sprint, including a big effort at the top grade there. Stepping up to 480 metres for the first time is a genuine unknown, and the extra distance is nearly double what she's used to. Trainer D J Page has a solid strike rate at the track. Interesting on breeding of ability but this is a real leap into the unknown.
Won at the grade below last time out, similar to the selection, but is markedly slower on the clock than either of the leading pair. Trainer A K Jenkins has a decent strike rate at the track. The winning form is encouraging but the pace figures put her behind the two market leaders.
Key insight: This grade band has historically been one of the least reliable for the ratings model at Monmore, so recent genuine course-and-distance form matters more than the raw rating.
T1:20.4% T2:20.8% T3:16.8% T4:20.0% T5:15.6% T6:20.7%
1,801 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Vixons Bentley | 57 | 48 | Front Runner |
2Aero Swarm | 49 | 54 | All-Rounder |
3Slippy Conor | 55 | 50 | Front Runner |
4Starmount Storm | — | — | No data |
5Chuckies Angel | 41 | 84 | Closer |
6Swift Depend | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | 525m | 570m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vixons Bentley | 0.608 | 0.610 | — | — |
| 2 | Aero Swarm | — | 0.616 | — | — |
| 3 | Slippy Conor | — | 0.613 | — | — |
| 4 | Starmount Storm | 0.598 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Chuckies Angel | — | 0.614 | 0.557 | 0.558 |
| 6 | Swift Depend | — | 0.616 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.