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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Newinn Georgiab 4y 15 | A K Jenkins — 15% R164 W25 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 24 (5) | 30 (1) | 18 (4) | 23 (4) | 23 (4) | 22 (3) | 15 (6) | 31 (1) | 24 (3) | 26 (2) | 31 | 32 | 26 | 23 | 24 | 40 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Flyhigh Ernied 4y 15 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 28 (2) | 19 (5) | 31 (1) | 25 (2) | 24 (2) | 23 (5) | 28 (2) | 34 (1) | 30 (1) | 31 (1) | 18 | 37 | 34 | 48 | 26 | 44 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Winterfield Wolfd 4y 62 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 39 (6) | 41 (4) | 46 (5) | 48 (4) | 46 (4) | 37 (4) | 53 (6) | 68 (3) | 47 (1) | - | 26 | 33 | 28 | 22 | 45 | 2 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Thirty Secondsd 3y 7 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 26 (3) | 30 (1) | 22 (4) | 21 (3) | 25 (2) | 18 (5) | 30 (1) | 20 (4) | 21 (4) | 22 (3) | 18 | 18 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 41 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Yama Queenb 1y 4 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 20 (4) | 21 (5) | 22 (4) | 18 (6) | 31 (1) | 20 (5) | 16 (5) | 14 (6) | 22 (5) | - | - | 9 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 32 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Pennys Shadowb 5y 26 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 26 (2) | 19 (6) | 15 (5) | 25 (3) | 24 (3) | 31 (1) | 20 (6) | 24 (2) | 20 (6) | 31 (1) | 39 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 23 | 40 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newinn Georgia | 15.98 | 16.28 | 16.21 | 48 | +0.23 | Best trap draw | |
| 2 | Flyhigh Ernie | 15.96 | 16.14 | 15.96 | 55 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Winterfield Wolf | Recent runs almost all at 480m over a much higher grade — sprint form is a single well-beaten effort. | — | No sprint form | ||||
| 4 | Thirty Seconds | 16.00 | 16.27 | 16.00 | 52 | 0.00 | Second fastest | |
| 5 | Yama Queen | 16.07 | 16.40 | 16.50 | 40 | +0.43 | Slowest of the group | |
| 6 | Pennys Shadow | 16.01 | 16.22 | 16.10 | 51 | +0.09 | Third fastest | |
Monmore's sprint trip is all about early speed and trap position — trap 1 has historically been the strongest draw at around one in five, and the fastest dog in the field wins close to twenty-eight in a hundred races at this exact grade, comfortably the best guide to the winner. Flyhigh Ernie is clearly the fastest of this group and drawn in the second-best box, a strong combination. Winterfield Wolf looks interesting on her average rating but that figure comes almost entirely from racing at a much higher grade over the longer 480 metre trip — her only recent form at this sprint distance was a well-beaten last-place effort, so she shouldn't be treated as a form standout here. Pennys Shadow and Thirty Seconds both have the pace to be involved in the finish.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock, and at this exact grade and distance raw speed has been by far the strongest guide to the winner — comfortably ahead of the ratings or trap position alone. Second last time out and his recent form has been fairly consistent for the level. Drawn in trap 2, the second-strongest box at this grade. Trainer R Taberner has a modest strike rate but the pace stands out clearly.
Third-fastest in the field on the clock and was second last time out, showing she's competitive at this level. Trainer P A Curtin has a decent strike rate at the track. Drawn in trap 6, a reasonably productive box at this grade and distance. Enough pace and a fair draw to be the pick's biggest danger.
Lands the best draw at this grade and distance but her own recent form of 24, 30 and 18 is modest. Fourth on speed in this field. Trainer A K Jenkins has one of the better strike rates among these connections. The draw is the main point in her favour rather than the recent form.
Her average rating looks high next to this field, but that figure is built almost entirely from racing at a much higher grade over the longer 480 metre trip — her only recent outing at this sprint distance was well beaten in last place. There's no reliable speed figure for her at this trip as a result. Trainer C Jones has a fair strike rate at the track. Interesting on breeding of form but genuinely unproven at this shorter distance.
Second-fastest in the field on the clock and finished third last time out, showing she's capable of matching the pick on pace. Trainer C D Marston has the best strike rate among these connections. Drawn in trap 4, statistically the weakest box at this grade, which is the mark against her.
Slowest of the sprint-proven runners in this field and her recent form of 20, 21 and 22 is towards the bottom of this group. Trainer C S Fereday has a modest strike rate at the track. Hard to make a strong case for her against faster rivals here.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins nearly twenty-eight in a hundred races here — comfortably the strongest single signal at this grade and distance.
T1:20.2% T2:19.5% T3:16.4% T4:15.2% T5:17.2% T6:17.5%
2,644 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newinn Georgia | 0.617 | — |
| 2 | Flyhigh Ernie | 0.611 | — |
| 3 | Winterfield Wolf | — | 0.613 |
| 4 | Thirty Seconds | 0.616 | — |
| 5 | Yama Queen | 0.621 | — |
| 6 | Pennys Shadow | 0.615 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.