Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Madabout Racerd 3y 17 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 44 | 30 (1) | 35 (3) | 37 (2) | 30 (5) | 34 (5) | 30 (3) | 26 (5) | 23 (2) | 35 (6) | - | 26 | 27 | 8 | 15 | 33 | 45 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fourpenny Jackd 2y 26 | D J Page — 22% R117 W26 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 59 | 22 (3) | 17 (6) | 21 (5) | 36 (2) | 31 (1) | 38 (4) | 31 (2) | 43 (4) | 31 (2) | - | 40 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 36 | 51 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Distant Billyd 2y 24 | J M Walton — 16% R222 W36 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 28 (6) | 28 (4) | 24 (5) | 43 (4) | 26 (2) | 32 (6) | 44 (5) | 28 (2) | 49 (6) | - | 30 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 45 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kinaffe Stard 3y 33 | P A Curtin — 16% R281 W46 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 31 (2) | 34 (3) | 39 (2) | 32 (3) | 33 (4) | 31 (5) | 33 (4) | 33 (4) | 32 (4) | 28 (6) | 20 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 33 | 34 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Kurious Georged 1y 6 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 48 | 41 (2) | 39 (2) | 32 (4) | 43 (3) | 30 (5) | 45 (2) | 32 (1) | 24 (3) | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 26 | 37 | 20 | 27 | 38 | 52 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Yama Kingd 1y 24 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 58 | 29 (4) | 23 (5) | 46 (1) | 30 (2) | 31 (1) | 24 (2) | 24 (3) | 19 (5) | 19 (4) | - | 13 | 36 | 30 | 24 | 37 | 31 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madabout Racer | 29.75 | 29.96 | 29.90 | 50 | +0.15 | Won at sprint trip LTO | |
| 2 | Fourpenny Jack | 29.55 | 29.80 | 29.81 | 58 | +0.26 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Distant Billy | 29.32 | 29.87 | 30.26 | 53 | +0.94 | Slower last time | |
| 4 | Kinaffe Star | 29.85 | 29.96 | 30.11 | 46 | +0.26 | Stale form (Apr) | |
| 5 | Kurious George | 29.71 | 29.82 | 29.74 | 56 | +0.03 | Best avg form | |
| 6 | Yama King | 29.97 | 30.22 | 30.46 | 34 | +0.49 | No finish left |
Monmore's 480 metres is a fairer test than the track's sprint trip — the long run to the first bend means early speed alone rarely settles it, with the best-bending dog winning only around one in six races here. Trap 1 remains the strongest draw at this grade but nothing here is overwhelming. Fourpenny Jack is comfortably the fastest in the field and also owns the best bend figure, giving him every chance to lead throughout, though he does have a history of weakening in the closing stages if the pace is strong enough to test him. Kurious George is the more reliable finisher of the pair at the head of the market and looks the biggest threat if the leaders come back to him. Yama King is fast to the bend but has virtually nothing left once there, a genuine fade risk.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock by some margin, and owns the best first-bend figure too, meaning he should be on terms with the pace throughout. Third last time out after a modest run, but the underlying speed figures are clearly the strongest here. He does have a tendency to lose ground in the closing stages, which is a genuine risk if the finish becomes a battle, but the pace advantage gives him first use of the race. Trainer D J Page has a solid strike rate at the track.
Rates the best of this field on average performance and is the second-fastest on the clock, a strong combination in this grade. Second last time out after a 41-rated effort, and his form has been consistently competitive without a poor run in recent memory. A balanced racer who can go with the pace rather than relying purely on early speed, which makes him less of a fade risk than the pick. Trainer C S Fereday has a modest strike rate but the form is the strongest on offer.
Won last time out but that came over the shorter sprint trip, so it's not directly comparable to tonight's step up in distance. Ranks only fourth on speed in this field and tends to finish from off the pace, which suits the longer trip better than the sprint she's just won over. Trainer C D Marston has one of the better strike rates among these connections. Lands the best draw at this grade even if her own recent form doesn't fully match it.
Third-fastest in the field on his best time but was well below that in his last outing, finishing sixth. A versatile racer who can adapt to the shape of the race, but the underlying form of 28, 28, 24 doesn't stand out in this company. Trainer J M Walton has a reasonable strike rate at the track. Needs to find more than his recent efforts suggest.
Ranks only fifth on speed in this field and his most recent recorded run was back in April, so there's a question mark over his readiness. The earlier form of 34, 39, 32 is moderate at best for this level. Trainer P A Curtin has a fair strike rate at the track. Hard to fancy with confidence given the layoff and the modest clock times.
Quick to the bend but has essentially nothing left once he gets there, the weakest closing figure of any runner in this field. Slowest on the clock overall, and while a 46-rated effort a few runs back shows some ability, the pattern since has been modest. Trainer C S Fereday's yard has a modest strike rate. Hard to trust from this draw with this profile.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the strongest draw at this grade at just over one in five, but the gap to the rest of the field is fairly modest.
T1:21.3% T2:18.2% T3:18.9% T4:16.2% T5:15.7% T6:15.9%
1,951 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Madabout Racer | 43 | 63 | Closer |
2Fourpenny Jack | 55 | 44 | Fader |
3Distant Billy | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
4Kinaffe Star | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Kurious George | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Yama King | 59 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Madabout Racer | 0.617 | 0.624 |
| 2 | Fourpenny Jack | 0.617 | 0.621 |
| 3 | Distant Billy | — | 0.622 |
| 4 | Kinaffe Star | — | 0.624 |
| 5 | Kurious George | 0.606 | 0.621 |
| 6 | Yama King | 0.612 | 0.629 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.