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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Stormy Bonitob 2y 6 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 53 | 52 (1) | 37 (4) | 41 (3) | 40 (3) | 36 (3) | 47 (1) | 35 (4) | 20 (6) | 39 (2) | 40 (2) | 32 | 18 | 9 | 30 | 42 | 43 | 5 | 12/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Starmount Flashd 1y 6 | D J Page — 22% R117 W26 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 40 | 54 (3) | 48 (3) | 45 (4) | 44 (5) | 57 (1) | 45 (4) | 43 (2) | - | - | - | 23 | 25 | 29 | 15 | 49 | 51 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Westway Freedomb 1y 17 | J B Thompson — 18% R535 W97 P307 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 29 (6) | 50 (2) | 50 (3) | 55 (2) | 52 (2) | 38 (4) | 29 (6) | 26 (5) | 37 (1) | 32 (1) | 27 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 43 | 48 | 3 | 7/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cashed Iritab 2y 16 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 56 | 35 (4) | 52 (2) | 36 (6) | 16 (6) | 27 (4) | 19 (6) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 18 (5) | 30 (2) | 28 | 36 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 42 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Winterfield Birdb 2y 5 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 43 | 48 (4) | 33 (6) | 53 (2) | 43 (4) | 27 (6) | 53 (3) | 54 (3) | 58 (3) | 50 (2) | 53 (3) | 31 | 29 | 7 | 11 | 45 | 51 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stormy Bonito | 29.41 | 29.84 | 29.41 | 45 | 0.00 | Won last time | |
| 2 | Starmount Flash | 29.32 | 29.54 | 29.32 | 54 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Westway Freedom | 29.13 | 29.48 | 29.71 | 52 | +0.58 | Best trap draw | |
| 4 | Cashed Irita | 29.35 | 29.64 | 29.74 | 45 | +0.39 | Volatile form | |
| 6 | Winterfield Bird | 29.13 | 29.47 | 29.56 | 54 | +0.43 | Big finisher |
Monmore's 480 metres doesn't punish closers the way the track's shorter trips do — the run to the first bend is long enough that early speed alone rarely settles it, with the best-bending dog winning only around one in six races here. This grade has historically been one of the hardest to call at Monmore, so the raw ratings need backing up with genuine pace analysis rather than taken at face value. Starmount Flash and Winterfield Bird are the two fastest in the field and both do their best work late, which sets up a stalking race where Stormy Bonito and Westway Freedom may have to make the running and hope to hang on. Westway Freedom drops back from a below-par run but she's drawn in trap 3, statistically the standout box at this grade.
Rates the best of this field on average performance and shares the fastest time with one rival, a strong combination in a grade where the ratings aren't always reliable. An extreme finisher who does virtually all his racing in the closing stages, which suits a track where the first bend doesn't decide much. Third last time out after a 54-rated performance, with plenty of solid efforts through his recent form. Trainer D J Page has one of the better strike rates among this field's connections.
Shares the fastest time in the field and boasts a big finishing kick, one of the strongest closing speed figures here. Fourth last time out but with a 53-rated effort in the races before that, showing she's capable of matching the pick. Trainer C Jones has a fair strike rate at the track. The clock says she's every bit as fast as the selection, and if the pace up front is strong enough she'll be finishing hardest of all.
Won last time out with a career-best 52-rated effort, and the underlying form before that — 37, 41, 40 — shows a dog who's been knocking on the door. Ranks only mid-pack on raw speed but has a decent bend figure and is versatile enough to race however the pace dictates. Trainer J B Thompson has a modest strike rate at the track. The form is heading the right way even if the clock doesn't stand out.
Well below her best last time out with a 29-rated run, but that follows a string of much stronger efforts — 50, 50, 55, 52 — that shows real ability at this level. One poor run shouldn't be overweighted, and she's drawn in trap 3, statistically the strongest box at this grade by some distance. A versatile racer who can adapt to how the pace unfolds. Worth another chance on the balance of her recent form.
Form has been all over the place — 35, 52, 36, 16 — which makes her hard to trust, though the 52 shows she has the capability to mix it at this level on her day. Fast into the race but fades through the closing stages, and trap 4 has been statistically the weakest box at this grade. A watching brief rather than a strong fancy.
Key insight: Trap 3 is unusually strong at this grade, winning about one in four — a clear outlier compared with the rest of Monmore's 480 metre trap data, and the top-rated dog on the model barely outperforms the second-rated one here.
T1:16.1% T2:19.8% T3:25.3% T4:13.2% T5:16.4% T6:17.4%
1,892 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Stormy Bonito | 50 | 39 | All-Rounder |
2Starmount Flash | 38 | 94 | Closer |
3Westway Freedom | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Cashed Irita | 55 | 41 | Fader |
6Winterfield Bird | 47 | 75 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 264m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stormy Bonito | 0.619 | 0.622 |
| 2 | Starmount Flash | — | 0.615 |
| 3 | Westway Freedom | 0.599 | 0.614 |
| 4 | Cashed Irita | 0.613 | 0.617 |
| 6 | Winterfield Bird | — | 0.614 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.