| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Elderberry Mhysab 5y 24 | P I Cowdrill — 14% R317 W43 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 26 (2) | 22 (3) | 16 (6) | 27 (3) | 22 (4) | 20 (5) | 25 (3) | 32 (1) | 23 (5) | 27 (3) | 40 | 34 | 24 | 19 | 23 | 41 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Longacres Sennad 1y | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 27 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 18 | 18 | 27 | 43 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Whisky Knightd 2y 15 | C D Marston — 17% R451 W75 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 49 (5) | 25 (2) | 26 (3) | 28 (2) | 27 (2) | 16 (5) | 29 (1) | 25 (4) | 26 (2) | - | 32 | 42 | 42 | 41 | 25 | 40 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Black Scorpiond 4y 25 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | - | 20 (5) | 27 (6) | 37 (5) | 41 (4) | 45 (1) | 56 (4) | 39 (1) | 52 (5) | 41 (1) | - | 7 | 25 | - | - | 20 | 22 | 6 | 12/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Pennys Snowb 3y 23 | J M Walton — 16% R222 W36 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 20 (6) | 32 (6) | 70 (6) | 36 (1) | 24 (5) | 26 (4) | 22 (3) | 59 (6) | - | - | 35 | 27 | - | - | 23 | 33 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Titanium Annieb 3y 4 | C S Fereday — 16% R473 W77 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 25 (4) | 26 (3) | 28 (2) | 20 (6) | 19 (6) | 19 (5) | 27 (3) | 32 (1) | 29 (2) | 27 (3) | 31 | 32 | 40 | 22 | 25 | 44 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elderberry Mhysa | 15.93 | 16.19 | 16.04 | 52 | +0.11 | Best trap draw | |
| 2 | Longacres Senna | 16.03 | 16.03 | 16.03 | 54 | 0.00 | Only 1 run | |
| 3 | Whisky Knight | 15.94 | 16.16 | 16.22 | 50 | +0.28 | Dropping in grade | |
| 4 | Black Scorpion | 16.54 | 16.54 | 16.54 | 28 | 0.00 | Well held on clock | |
| 5 | Pennys Snow | 16.18 | 16.21 | 16.25 | 44 | +0.07 | Modest | |
| 6 | Titanium Annie | 15.85 | 16.10 | 16.05 | 55 | +0.20 | Model pick |
Monmore's sprint trip plays a completely different game to the standard distance — this is a track where trap 1 has historically dominated at around one in five, and early speed decides most of what happens. Raw speed rating is the single best guide here, well ahead of the ratings model, and Titanium Annie is comfortably the fastest in this field on the clock even from the widest box. Elderberry Mhysa gets the inside draw and should be involved from the off, while Longacres Senna is fast too but has barely raced and remains an unknown quantity. Black Scorpion is well held on the clock and would need a big step forward to figure.
The fastest dog in this field on the clock, and at this grade and distance raw speed has been by far the strongest guide to the winner — well ahead of the ratings model or trap position. Form has actually been improving, with her last three runs — 25, 26, 28 — all better than the three before that. Trap 6 isn't the strongest draw at Monmore's sprint trip, but the pace advantage should help her overcome it. Trainer C S Fereday has a modest record but the raw pace stands out.
Third-fastest in the field on the clock and lands the best draw at this grade and trip — trap 1 has produced one in five winners here, more than any other box. Second last time out and her form has bounced around a little, but a 27 a few runs back shows she's capable of matching this level. Trainer P I Cowdrill has a modest strike rate at the track. The draw alone makes her a serious player against the faster-rated pair.
Second-fastest in the field on the clock but this is only her second recorded start, so there's very little to go on beyond a promising early performance. Drawn in trap 2, the second-best box at this grade. Trainer C S Fereday has a modest record at the track. Could easily improve again but remains a relative unknown against more experienced rivals.
Ran a big race last time out but that was at a much higher grade over a slightly shorter trip, so the rating isn't directly comparable to this field — her earlier form at this level was more modest. Trainer C D Marston has one of the better strike rates among these connections. Drawn in a moderate box and would need to find more than she's shown at this grade before to figure prominently.
Well held on the clock, easily the slowest in this field, and recent form of 20, 27 and 37 has been heading in the wrong direction. Trainer C Jones has a fair strike rate at the track but the raw pace just isn't there against this level of speed. Hard to include on what she's shown recently.
A modest sprinter on the clock, sitting behind the leading trio on speed, though there was a big 70-rated effort a few runs back that shows some untapped ability. Recent runs have been more workmanlike. Trainer J M Walton has a reasonable strike rate at the track. Others have the stronger overall case on recent evidence.
Key insight: The fastest dog in the field wins nearly twenty-eight in a hundred races here — comfortably the strongest single signal at this grade, well ahead of the ratings model or trap position alone.
T1:20.2% T2:19.5% T3:16.4% T4:15.2% T5:17.2% T6:17.5%
2,644 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 264m | 460m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elderberry Mhysa | — | 0.613 | — | — |
| 2 | Longacres Senna | — | 0.607 | — | — |
| 3 | Whisky Knight | 0.665 | 0.612 | — | — |
| 4 | Black Scorpion | — | 0.627 | — | 0.617 |
| 5 | Pennys Snow | — | 0.614 | — | 0.612 |
| 6 | Titanium Annie | — | 0.610 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.