| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aero Neonpulseb 1y 4 | R Taberner — 18% R742 W134 P412 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 26 (4) | 29 (3) | 25 (5) | 25 (5) | 19 (6) | 34 (6) | 61 (2) | 45 (5) | 47 (6) | 81 (1) | 34 | 32 | - | - | 25 | 40 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Newinn Magicob 1y 15 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R570 W110 P316 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 25 (5) | 41 (5) | 53 (4) | 42 (6) | 52 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | 25 | 30 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Drive On Shelbyd 1y 4 | G A Griffiths — 23% R157 W36 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 24 (5) | 32 (2) | 32 (1) | 26 (3) | 19 (6) | 35 (2) | 34 (3) | 32 (4) | - | - | 2 | 28 | 18 | 27 | 28 | 37 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Winterfield Beard 3y 5 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 34 (2) | 27 (3) | 36 (1) | 25 (4) | 35 (1) | 19 (6) | 18 (5) | 35 (1) | 45 (6) | 25 (5) | 36 | 28 | 42 | 38 | 29 | 44 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Winterfield Riod 2y 16 | C Jones — 16% R255 W41 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 32 (2) | 19 (6) | 28 (5) | 31 (5) | 36 (3) | 42 (1) | 30 (4) | 34 (3) | 32 (3) | 28 (6) | 47 | 29 | 20 | 20 | 30 | 49 | 5 | 5/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Neonpulse | 15.90 | 16.03 | 15.95 | 50 | +0.05 | Best trap draw | |
| 2 | Newinn Magico | 16.14 | 16.14 | 16.14 | 41 | 0.00 | Slowest, worst trap | |
| 3 | Drive On Shelby | 15.88 | 16.01 | 16.17 | 47 | +0.29 | Fair trap draw | |
| 4 | Winterfield Bear | 15.80 | 16.07 | 15.83 | 52 | +0.03 | Second fastest | |
| 6 | Winterfield Rio | 15.61 | 15.86 | 15.74 | 61 | +0.13 | Model pick |
Monmore's sprint trip is decided early — trap 1 has been the strongest draw historically at close to one in four, and the fastest dog in the field wins around one in five races at this grade, edging out the ratings model as the best single guide. Winterfield Rio is clearly the fastest of this group by a wide margin and also rates best on recent form, a strong combination even from a wider draw. Winterfield Bear, from the same stable, is the closest on the clock and has been racing consistently. Newinn Magico is well below the pace of the leaders on the clock and has more to find.
Clearly the fastest dog in this field, well clear of the rest on the clock, and also rates best on average performance — a strong combination at a grade and distance where raw speed is the number one guide to the winner. Second last time out and her recent form has been solid. Trainer C Jones has a fair strike rate at the track. Drawn wide in trap 6, which isn't the strongest box at this grade, but the pace advantage looks large enough to matter.
Second-fastest in this field on the clock, not far behind the pick, and finished second last time out. Trained from the same yard as the selection, so there's clear evidence this stable has the pace to be competitive at this grade. Trainer C Jones has a fair strike rate at the track. The closest thing to the pick on raw figures.
Lands the strongest draw at this grade but only ranks third on speed in this field, and recent form of 26, 29 and 25 is fairly modest. Trainer R Taberner has a modest strike rate at the track. The trap is doing more work for her chances than the raw figures.
Slowest in this field on the clock and drawn in trap 2, statistically the weakest box at this grade by some distance. There have been much bigger efforts in her past — a 53 a few runs back — but nothing recently to match it. Trainer K Billingham-hine has a decent strike rate at the track. A tough combination of poor draw and modest recent pace.
Middle of the pack on speed and recent form of 24, 32 and 32 is workmanlike rather than eye-catching. Trainer G A Griffiths has the best strike rate among these connections, which offers some encouragement. Drawn in a reasonably productive trap at this grade. Others have the stronger case on the clock.
Key insight: Trap 1 is the standout draw at this grade, winning close to one in four, while trap 2 has been almost unwinnable. Raw speed edges out the ratings model as the best single guide to the winner.
T1:23.6% T2:11.7% T3:20.5% T4:15.1% T5:16.7% T6:16.5%
1,552 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 264m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (264m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 210m | 264m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aero Neonpulse | — | 0.607 | 0.613 | 0.602 |
| 2 | Newinn Magico | — | 0.611 | 0.612 | — |
| 3 | Drive On Shelby | — | 0.606 | 0.629 | — |
| 4 | Winterfield Bear | 0.626 | 0.609 | — | — |
| 6 | Winterfield Rio | — | 0.601 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.